Mariehamn vs KuPS: match statistics
Mariehamn vs KuPS: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Mariehamn played KuPS in Veikkausliiga (Finland). The match was played on 16 May 2026. Final score: 1:1.
Current form
Mariehamn: 0-2-3, 0.40 points/match. KuPS: 1-3-1, 1.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Mariehamn scores 0.67 and concedes 1.50 goals per match. KuPS scores 1.29 and concedes 1.00. League average: 2.23 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Mariehamn 50%, KuPS 57%. Over 2.5: Mariehamn 33%, KuPS 29%. League level: BTTS 49%, Over 2.5 33%.
xG, shots and style
KuPS has higher xG: 1.78 vs 0.83. Mariehamn: 6.2 shots per match, KuPS: 14.4.
Match halves
Mariehamn: half-time lead 17%, second-half goals 0.33. KuPS: half-time lead 29%, second-half goals 0.71.
Goals by minute
Mariehamn: 31-45+ (2 goals). KuPS: 0-15 (3 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Veikkausliiga: 2.23 goals per match, BTTS 49%, Over 2.5 33%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-1. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 50%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
KuPS are the favorites: they sit 4th in the table versus Mariehamn's 12th and have an away record of 3-3-1, while Mariehamn are winless at home (0-3-3). Offensively KuPS score 1.33 goals per game with an average xG of 1.33 and a conversion rate of 14%, whereas Mariehamn at home average 1.00 goals with xG 1.14 and conversion 11%, giving the visitors a qualitative edge in chance value. Defensively Mariehamn concede 1.33 goals at home on average, but they have a much higher xG against at 1.91 compared to KuPS away xG against 1.35, which means the visitors allow fewer high-value opportunities. Both teams attempt a similar number of shots (9.33 on average, including 3.67 on target), but KuPS’s higher possession (61% vs 53%) and better conversion (14% vs 11%) increase their chances; both sides fail to score in 33% of matches. Considering recent form over the last 5 matches (KuPS 1.6 points vs Mariehamn 1.4 points), I tip a KuPS victory.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Seasonal indicators show Mariehamn has 50% BTTS matches, while KuPS has 67%, against a league average of 47%. xG metrics indicate both teams create chances: Mariehamn has season xG_for 2.13 versus KuPS xG_against 1.35, and KuPS has xG_for 1.33 with Mariehamn xG_against 1.06, meaning both sides have realistic xG values above ~1.0. Additionally, Mariehamn averages 6.75 shots on target and 18.25 shots per match with a conversion rate of 7%, while KuPS records 3.67 shots on target and 9.33 shots with a conversion rate of 14%, indicating KuPS can be efficient with fewer attempts. In the last 5 matches both teams have BTTS at 40%, but Mariehamn conceded average xG_against 1.66 in their last 5 while KuPS had xG_for 1.76, which increases the likelihood of both teams scoring in this tie. Considering seasonal 50% vs 67% BTTS, KuPS’s lack of clean sheets (0%) and the xG and shooting signals, the most confident pick is BTTS - Yes (65%) versus 35% for No.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
xG estimates give 1.74 xG for Mariehamn (home attack xG 2.13 vs xG conceded by KuPS 1.35) and 1.20 xG for KuPS (away attack xG 1.33 vs xG conceded by Mariehamn 1.06), totalling 2.94 xG. Season goals averages are 1.25 for Mariehamn and 1.33 for KuPS (2.58 total), while the league average is 2.18 goals per game, so xG indicates more scoring opportunities than actual goals suggest (2.94 vs 2.58 and 2.18). Mariehamn averages 18.25 shots and 6.75 on target with a 7% conversion rate, whereas KuPS averages 9.33 shots, 3.67 on target and 14% conversion; this explains the gap between xG and actual goals. Seasonal Over 2.5 rates are low: 25% for the home side and 33% for the away (league 32%), and in the last 5 matches the combined goals average is about 2.4 (6+6 goals in the last 5 matches of both teams), hence caution at the 2.5 line. For these reasons the strongest and most profitable signal is Over 1.5 (KuPS has 100% of seasonal matches over 1.5 in the data), therefore I recommend playing Over 1.5 as the best value.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
I select X/1 (draw at half-time, home win) as the most likely scenario because Mariehamn drew at the break in 75% of their matches while winning at home in 50% of games. The hosts have a significant advantage in shot-quality metrics: average xG 2.13 versus 1.33 for KuPS, on average 6.75 shots on target versus 3.67 and 18.25 total shots versus 9.33, which gives them the edge after the break. Mariehamn concedes fewer goals on the season (0.75 vs 1.33) and collects more points in second halves (on average 1.75 points versus 1.33 for KuPS), which supports the possibility of a turnaround after half-time. Additionally, Mariehamn scored 2 goals in minutes 76–90 compared to 1 for the visitors, and the average goals at half-time are 0.5 for the hosts and 0.67 for the visitors, indicating a likely draw at HT and a decision in the second half. On this basis I rate X/1 as the strongest signal; alternatively 1/1 and X/X are reasonable, while scenarios with KuPS leading at half-time are the least probable.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Mariehamn | KuPS | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 38% | 38% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.29 | 0.24 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
KuPS is 200% better for: last-5 form.
0.4 pts / match - Mariehamn · 1.2 pts / match - KuPS
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
KuPS is 93% better for: goals scored per match.
0.67 goals / match - Mariehamn · 1.29 goals / match - KuPS
KuPS is 50% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.5 goals / match - Mariehamn · 1 goals / match - KuPS
Mariehamn scores in 50% of matches (3 of 6 matches), while KuPS keeps a clean sheet in 29% (2 of 7 matches).
KuPS scores in 71% of matches (5 of 7 matches), while Mariehamn keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 6 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Mariehamn
Over / Under - KuPS
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
KuPS is 55% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.83 pts / match - Mariehamn · 1.29 pts / match - KuPS
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Mariehamn - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 17% of matches and wins 0%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
KuPS - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 29% of matches and wins 43%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.40 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -3 | -2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -1 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (2 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (3 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Mariehamn
KuPS
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Veikkausliiga).
Teams vs league
| Mariehamn | Liga | KuPS | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.17 | 2.23 | • 2.29 |
| Both teams scored | • 50% | 49% | ▲ 57% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | • 33% | 33% | ▼ 29% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 0% | 29% | • 29% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 83% | 77% | ▼ 71% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 83% | 74% | ▲ 86% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Mariehamn 1 - 0 - 1 KuPS. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 50% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Mariehamn vs KuPS?
The Veikkausliiga match finished Mariehamn 1:1 KuPS. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Mariehamn and KuPS?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Mariehamn won 1, KuPS won 1 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 3.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Mariehamn vs KuPS?
Mariehamn score 0.67 goals per game on average and KuPS 1.29. The Veikkausliiga average is 2.23 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 33% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Mariehamn's matches and 57% of KuPS's.
What form are Mariehamn and KuPS in?
Over the last 5 games Mariehamn have a 0-2-3 record (0.40 points per game) and KuPS 1-3-1 (1.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Mariehamn vs KuPS?
The statistical background for Mariehamn vs KuPS — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.