Finland - VeikkausliigaData current as of 08 September 2026

Mariehamn vs TPS: match statistics

Reasoning:

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Mariehamn vs TPS: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Mariehamn play TPS in Veikkausliiga (Finland). The match date is 12 September 2026.

Current form

Mariehamn: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match. TPS: 2-3-0, 1.80 points/match.

Goal statistics

Mariehamn scores 0.77 and concedes 1.95 goals per match. TPS scores 1.27 and concedes 1.05. League average: 2.58 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Mariehamn 36%, TPS 55%. Over 2.5: Mariehamn 45%, TPS 45%. League level: BTTS 49%, Over 2.5 46%.

xG, shots and style

TPS has higher xG: 1.45 vs 1.13. Mariehamn: 9.3 shots per match, TPS: 11.8.

Match halves

Mariehamn: half-time lead 18%, second-half goals 0.41. TPS: half-time lead 23%, second-half goals 0.68.

Goals by minute

Mariehamn: 61-75 (5 goals). TPS: 76-90+ (9 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Veikkausliiga: 2.58 goals per match, BTTS 49%, Over 2.5 46%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-1. Average goals 2.50, BTTS 50%.

Before the match

1X2 odds

(3.08)
(3.45)
(2.11)

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

0.77Goals scored / match1.27
MariehamnTPS
1.95Goals conceded / match1.05
MariehamnTPS
46%Average possession46%
MariehamnTPS
3.05Shots on target / match4.36
MariehamnTPS

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

9.27Shots per match11.77
MariehamnTPS
3.05Shots on target4.36
MariehamnTPS
8.3%Shot conversion10.8%
MariehamnTPS
46%Possession46%
MariehamnTPS
1.13xG for1.45
MariehamnTPS
2.03xG against1.65
MariehamnTPS

Shooting quality

Mariehamn: BalancedTPS: Balanced
MariehamnTPS
Accuracy (shots on target)33%37%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.120.12
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.250.29

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Mariehamn
LLWWW
Season result split
14% W23% R64% P
Season (W-D-L)
3-5-14
0.64 pts / match · goal difference -26
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-0-2
1.80 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
2-4-5
Last 5 at home
2-1-2
LLDWW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.6Goals conceded: 1.4xG: 1.52Opponent xG: 1.45BTTS: 20%Over 2.5: 40%
TPS
WDWDD
Unbeaten in the last 5 matches
Season result split
36% W32% R32% P
Season (W-D-L)
8-7-7
1.41 pts / match · goal difference +5
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-3-0
1.80 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
1-5-5
Last 5 away
1-2-2
LLDWD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.6Goals conceded: 0.6xG: 1.43Opponent xG: 1.84BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 40%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

TPS is 65% better for: goals scored per match.

0.77 goals / match - Mariehamn · 1.27 goals / match - TPS

TPS is 86% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.95 goals / match - Mariehamn · 1.05 goals / match - TPS

Mariehamn scoring profile: mixed

Mariehamn scores in 45% of matches (10 of 22 matches), while TPS keeps a clean sheet in 32% (7 of 22 matches).

TPS scoring profile: very strong

TPS scores in 77% of matches (17 of 22 matches), while Mariehamn keeps a clean sheet in 9% (2 of 22 matches).

17Goals scored (season)28
MariehamnTPS
43Goals conceded (season)23
MariehamnTPS
2.73Average goals in match2.32
MariehamnTPS
8Goals scored (last 5)8
MariehamnTPS
7Goals conceded (last 5)3
MariehamnTPS

How often they score at least...

45%1 goal77%
MariehamnTPS
23%2 goals32%
MariehamnTPS
5%3 goals18%
MariehamnTPS
5%4 goals0%
MariehamnTPS

How often they concede at least...

91%1 goal68%
MariehamnTPS
59%2 goals27%
MariehamnTPS
32%3 goals9%
MariehamnTPS
14%4 goals0%
MariehamnTPS

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

Goal patterns

14%BTTS at half-time18%
MariehamnTPS
9%BTTS in both halves5%
MariehamnTPS
14%Scored in both halves27%
MariehamnTPS

BTTS and goal count

18%Min. 3 goals and BTTS36%
MariehamnTPS
27%Min. 3 goals without BTTS9%
MariehamnTPS
20%BTTS - last 560%
MariehamnTPS

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

82%Min. 1 goal before half-time64%
MariehamnTPS
36%Min. 2 goals before half-time32%
MariehamnTPS
5%Min. 3 goals before half-time18%
MariehamnTPS

2nd half

86%Min. 1 goal after half-time77%
MariehamnTPS
36%Min. 2 goals after half-time36%
MariehamnTPS
14%Min. 3 goals after half-time5%
MariehamnTPS

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

TPS is 33% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

0.82 pts / match - Mariehamn · 1.09 pts / match - TPS

Mariehamn - half-time state
18% leading27% draw55% trailing
TPS - half-time state
23% leading41% draw36% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

0.82Points per match (1st half)1.09
MariehamnTPS
0.36Goals scored (1st half)0.59
MariehamnTPS
0.91Goals conceded (1st half)0.55
MariehamnTPS
1.27Average goals (1st half)1.14
MariehamnTPS
32%Clean sheet before half-time59%
MariehamnTPS
73%No goal before half-time59%
MariehamnTPS

After half-time (2nd half)

0.64Points per match (2nd half)1.45
MariehamnTPS
0.41Goals scored (2nd half)0.68
MariehamnTPS
1.05Goals conceded (2nd half)0.5
MariehamnTPS
1.45Average goals (2nd half)1.18
MariehamnTPS
27%Clean sheet after half-time55%
MariehamnTPS
68%No goal after half-time36%
MariehamnTPS

Mariehamn - second-half results

14% W23% R64% P
18
Half-time points
8
Half-time goals
-12
Goal difference (1st half)
14
Second-half points
-14
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.82
PPG before half-time
Lead holding78%

Leads at half-time in 18% of matches and wins 14%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.

Defence after half-time+0.1

Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

TPS - second-half results

32% W50% R18% P
24
Half-time points
13
Half-time goals
+1
Goal difference (1st half)
32
Second-half points
+4
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.09
PPG before half-time
Lead holding157%

Leads at half-time in 23% of matches and wins 36%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time-0.1

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Mariehamn - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.401.60
Goals scored / match0.80.8
Goals conceded / match1.00.4
Average goals in match1.81.2
1 goal80%80%
2 goals60%40%
3 goals20%0%
Clean sheet40%60%
No goal60%40%
Goal difference-1+2
Half-time: 40% leading - 20% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 40% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 4
TPS - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.601.80
Goals scored / match0.80.8
Goals conceded / match0.20.4
Average goals in match1.01.2
1 goal60%80%
2 goals40%40%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet80%60%
No goal60%20%
Goal difference+3+2
Half-time: 40% leading - 40% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 60% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 4

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Mariehamn
ScoredConceded
3
5
0-15
1
9
16-30
4
6
31-45
3
6
46-60
5
6
61-75
1
11
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (5 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): -10 - late phases are a weakness.

TPS
ScoredConceded
2
0
0-15
4
5
16-30
7
7
31-45
6
2
46-60
0
5
61-75
9
4
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (9 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +5 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.52
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
0.9 : 1.6
Estimated goal split
home : away
98%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
46%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-1%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
35%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
13%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 8 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Mariehamn

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.90
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.28
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+5.1 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.36
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.08
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
53%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
173%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+1.16
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.0
Late goals
6% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 18% come in the first quarter-hour.
6%

TPS

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.20
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.42
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-8.4 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.18
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.60
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
112%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
72%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.39
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.1
Late goals
32% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 7% come in the first quarter-hour.
32%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Veikkausliiga).

Teams vs league

MariehamnLigaTPS
Average goals in match 2.732.58 2.32
Both teams scored 36%49% 55%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 45%46% 45%
Clean sheets 9%29% 32%
Goal before half-time 82%73% 64%
Goal after half-time 86%75% 77%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.58
Average goals per match
49%
Both teams scored
46%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
29%
Clean sheets
1.45
Home goals / match
1.13
Away goals / match
+28%
Home attack advantage
+22%
Home defence advantage
+17%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
73%
1 goal
35%
2 goals
15%
3 goals
4%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
75%
1 goal
37%
2 goals
14%
3 goals
3%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Recent meetings (2): Mariehamn 0 - 1 - 1 TPS. Average goals 2.50, both teams scored in 50% matches.

FAQ

When do Mariehamn and TPS play?

Mariehamn face TPS on 12 September 2026 in Veikkausliiga. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between Mariehamn and TPS?

In the last 2 head-to-head matches Mariehamn won 0, TPS won 1 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 2.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Mariehamn vs TPS?

Mariehamn score 0.77 goals per game on average and TPS 1.27. The Veikkausliiga average is 2.58 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 46% of games. Both teams score in 36% of Mariehamn's matches and 55% of TPS's.

What form are Mariehamn and TPS in?

Over the last 5 games Mariehamn have a 3-0-2 record (1.80 points per game) and TPS 2-3-0 (1.80 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Mariehamn vs TPS?

The statistical background for Mariehamn vs TPS — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.