Mariehamn vs TPS: match statistics
Mariehamn vs TPS: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Mariehamn played TPS in Veikkausliiga (Finland). The match was played on 12 September 2026. Venue: Wiklöf Holding Arena. Final score: 1:0.
Current form
Mariehamn: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match. TPS: 1-4-0, 1.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Mariehamn scores 0.78 and concedes 1.96 goals per match. TPS scores 1.22 and concedes 1.00. League average: 2.55 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Mariehamn 39%, TPS 52%. Over 2.5: Mariehamn 48%, TPS 43%. League level: BTTS 49%, Over 2.5 46%.
xG, shots and style
TPS has higher xG: 1.43 vs 1.12. Mariehamn: 9.3 shots per match, TPS: 11.7.
Match halves
Mariehamn: half-time lead 17%, second-half goals 0.43. TPS: half-time lead 22%, second-half goals 0.65.
Goals by minute
Mariehamn: 61-75 (6 goals). TPS: 76-90+ (9 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Veikkausliiga: 2.55 goals per match, BTTS 49%, Over 2.5 46%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-1. Average goals 2.50, BTTS 50%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Mariehamn sit 12th and have won just 3 of their 22 matches all season, although their recent form has improved: they have recorded 3 wins in their last five games, scoring 8 goals in the process. TPS are higher up in 8th place, with 8 wins and a 28:23 goal difference, while remaining unbeaten across their last five league fixtures and conceding just 3 goals. However, the visitors’ advantage is weakened by their away record, with only 9% of matches ending in victory and as many as 45% drawn; the hosts have an identical draw percentage in away fixtures, at 36%. TPS create more chances on the road, averaging 1.52 xG compared with Mariehamn’s 1.18 at home, but both teams score fewer than a goal per match in these respective settings: 0.91 and 0.82. Mariehamn’s weak defense, allowing 2.10 xG, gives TPS a strong chance of finding the net, but both teams’ high draw tendency and limited scoring efficiency point towards a share of the points.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
BTTS - No has a slight edge, as Mariehamn keep a clean sheet in 55% of matches, while TPS fail to score in 36% of games. The hosts concede an average of just 0.82 goals per match, whereas TPS’s scoring rate is only 0.91 goals, despite their average xG reaching 1.52. Mariehamn should create chances against a TPS defence that concedes an average of 1.27 goals and has kept a clean sheet in only 9% of matches, but this does not guarantee a goal for the visitors. Additionally, BTTS occurred in only 20% of the hosts’ last five matches, while TPS conceded just 3 goals during this period, making a scenario in which at least one team fails to score more likely.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The strongest signal is Under 3.5 goals, as Mariehamn’s matches finished below this line in 82% of cases, while the figure for TPS was 73%. Mariehamn concede just 0.82 goals per match on average and keep a clean sheet in 55% of their games, limiting the potential of TPS, who average 0.91 goals scored. The hosts do score 1.64 goals per match, but TPS concede an average of 1.27, so the projected 1.40 goals for Mariehamn remains moderate. In the last 5 matches, Over 2.5 goals landed in only 40% of games for both teams, while the combined projected total of 2.40 goals clearly supports a scenario of no more than three goals.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Mariehamn have a clearly superior overall season record: they win 64% of their matches and average 2.09 points per game, while TPS win just 9% of matches and average 0.73 points. The home side are also more effective in attack, scoring an average of 1.64 goals compared with TPS’s 0.91, while their defence concedes just 0.82 goals per match versus 1.27 for the visitors. Before half-time, Mariehamn have led in 36% of matches and scored an average of 0.82 goals, whereas TPS have found the net only 0.36 times and have been behind at the break in 45% of their appearances. A strong argument for maintaining the lead is the home side’s defence: they keep a clean sheet in 55% of matches, compared with just 9% for TPS. TPS’s form over the last five rounds, unbeaten and conceding only 0.6 goals on average, increases the risk of a draw; however, the most likely scenario remains Mariehamn leading at the break and securing the win at full-time (1/1).
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Mariehamn | TPS | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 33% | 36% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.26 | 0.29 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Mariehamn is 29% better for: last-5 form.
1.8 pts / match - Mariehamn · 1.4 pts / match - TPS
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
TPS is 56% better for: goals scored per match.
0.78 goals / match - Mariehamn · 1.22 goals / match - TPS
TPS is 96% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.96 goals / match - Mariehamn · 1 goals / match - TPS
Mariehamn scores in 48% of matches (11 of 23 matches), while TPS keeps a clean sheet in 35% (8 of 23 matches).
TPS scores in 74% of matches (17 of 23 matches), while Mariehamn keeps a clean sheet in 9% (2 of 23 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Mariehamn
Over / Under - TPS
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
TPS is 40% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.78 pts / match - Mariehamn · 1.09 pts / match - TPS
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Mariehamn - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 17% of matches and wins 13%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
TPS - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 22% of matches and wins 35%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 20% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (6 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): -11 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (9 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +5 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Mariehamn
TPS
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Veikkausliiga).
Teams vs league
| Mariehamn | Liga | TPS | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.74 | 2.55 | ▼ 2.22 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 39% | 49% | ▲ 52% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 48% | 46% | ▼ 43% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 9% | 29% | ▲ 35% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 83% | 73% | ▼ 61% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 87% | 75% | • 74% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Mariehamn 0 - 1 - 1 TPS. Average goals 2.50, both teams scored in 50% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Mariehamn vs TPS?
The Veikkausliiga match finished Mariehamn 1:0 TPS. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Mariehamn and TPS?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Mariehamn won 0, TPS won 1 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 2.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Mariehamn vs TPS?
Mariehamn score 0.78 goals per game on average and TPS 1.22. The Veikkausliiga average is 2.55 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 46% of games. Both teams score in 39% of Mariehamn's matches and 52% of TPS's.
What form are Mariehamn and TPS in?
Over the last 5 games Mariehamn have a 3-0-2 record (1.80 points per game) and TPS 1-4-0 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Mariehamn vs TPS?
The statistical background for Mariehamn vs TPS — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.