Marines vs Gorilla: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Marines played Gorilla in National Soccer League (Rwanda). The match was played on 22 November 2025. Final score: 1:0.

Current form

Marines: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match. Gorilla: 1-3-1, 1.20 points/match.

Goal statistics

Marines scores 1.17 and concedes 0.67 goals per match. Gorilla scores 0.86 and concedes 0.57. League average: 1.66 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Marines 17%, Gorilla 43%. Over 2.5: Marines 17%, Gorilla 14%. League level: BTTS 32%, Over 2.5 21%.

xG, shots and style

Marines has higher xG: 1.09 vs 0.91. Marines: 7.2 shots per match, Gorilla: 4.7.

Match halves

Marines: half-time lead 17%, second-half goals 1.00. Gorilla: half-time lead 14%, second-half goals 0.57.

Goals by minute

Marines: 76-90+ (5 goals). Gorilla: 16-30 (2 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

National Soccer League: 1.66 goals per match, BTTS 32%, Over 2.5 21%.

Head-to-head

No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.

Half-by-half

1 : 0
1st half
0 : 0
2nd half

Match statistics

50Possession (%)50
MarinesGorilla
6Shots4
MarinesGorilla
2Shots on target0
MarinesGorilla
1.07xG0.79
MarinesGorilla
4Corners4
MarinesGorilla
76Dangerous attacks73
MarinesGorilla
-1Fouls-1
MarinesGorilla
-1Cards-1
MarinesGorilla

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

1.17Goals scored / match0.86
MarinesGorilla
0.67Goals conceded / match0.57
MarinesGorilla
49%Average possession50%
MarinesGorilla
2.67Shots on target / match2.29
MarinesGorilla

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

7.17Shots per match4.71
MarinesGorilla
2.67Shots on target2.29
MarinesGorilla
16.3%Shot conversion18.2%
MarinesGorilla
49%Possession50%
MarinesGorilla
1.09xG for0.91
MarinesGorilla
0.96xG against1.22
MarinesGorilla

Shooting quality

Marines: Efficient finishingGorilla: Efficient finishing
MarinesGorilla
Accuracy (shots on target)37%49%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.150.19
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.440.38

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Marines
WLLLW
Season result split
50% W0% R50% P
Season (W-D-L)
3-0-3
1.50 pts / match · goal difference +3
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-0-3
1.20 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
1-0-2
Last 5 at home
1-0-2
WLL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.0Goals conceded: 0.8xG: 1.07Opponent xG: 0.93BTTS: 20%Over 2.5: 20%
Gorilla
DDDWL
Season result split
29% W57% R14% P
Season (W-D-L)
2-4-1
1.43 pts / match · goal difference +2
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-3-1
1.20 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
0-2-0
Last 5 away
0-2-0
DD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 0.6Goals conceded: 0.6xG: 0.96Opponent xG: 1.29BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 20%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Marines is 36% better for: goals scored per match.

1.17 goals / match - Marines · 0.86 goals / match - Gorilla

Gorilla is 18% better for: goals conceded per match.

0.67 goals / match - Marines · 0.57 goals / match - Gorilla

Marines scoring profile: mixed

Marines scores in 67% of matches (4 of 6 matches), while Gorilla keeps a clean sheet in 43% (3 of 7 matches).

Gorilla scoring profile: mixed

Gorilla scores in 57% of matches (4 of 7 matches), while Marines keeps a clean sheet in 50% (3 of 6 matches).

7Goals scored (season)6
MarinesGorilla
4Goals conceded (season)4
MarinesGorilla
1.83Average goals in match1.43
MarinesGorilla
5Goals scored (last 5)3
MarinesGorilla
4Goals conceded (last 5)3
MarinesGorilla

How often they score at least...

67%1 goal57%
MarinesGorilla
50%2 goals29%
MarinesGorilla
0%3 goals0%
MarinesGorilla
0%4 goals0%
MarinesGorilla

How often they concede at least...

50%1 goal57%
MarinesGorilla
17%2 goals0%
MarinesGorilla
0%3 goals0%
MarinesGorilla
0%4 goals0%
MarinesGorilla

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

Goal patterns

0%BTTS at half-time0%
MarinesGorilla
0%BTTS in both halves0%
MarinesGorilla
17%Scored in both halves0%
MarinesGorilla

BTTS and goal count

17%Min. 3 goals and BTTS14%
MarinesGorilla
0%Min. 3 goals without BTTS0%
MarinesGorilla
20%BTTS - last 540%
MarinesGorilla

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

33%Min. 1 goal before half-time29%
MarinesGorilla
0%Min. 2 goals before half-time14%
MarinesGorilla
0%Min. 3 goals before half-time0%
MarinesGorilla

2nd half

100%Min. 1 goal after half-time71%
MarinesGorilla
50%Min. 2 goals after half-time29%
MarinesGorilla
0%Min. 3 goals after half-time0%
MarinesGorilla

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Marines - half-time state
17% leading67% draw17% trailing
Gorilla - half-time state
14% leading71% draw14% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.17Points per match (1st half)1.14
MarinesGorilla
0.17Goals scored (1st half)0.29
MarinesGorilla
0.17Goals conceded (1st half)0.14
MarinesGorilla
0.33Average goals (1st half)0.43
MarinesGorilla
83%Clean sheet before half-time86%
MarinesGorilla
83%No goal before half-time86%
MarinesGorilla

After half-time (2nd half)

1.67Points per match (2nd half)1.29
MarinesGorilla
1Goals scored (2nd half)0.57
MarinesGorilla
0.5Goals conceded (2nd half)0.43
MarinesGorilla
1.5Average goals (2nd half)1
MarinesGorilla
50%Clean sheet after half-time57%
MarinesGorilla
33%No goal after half-time57%
MarinesGorilla

Marines - second-half results

50% W17% R33% P
7
Half-time points
1
Half-time goals
0
Goal difference (1st half)
10
Second-half points
+3
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.17
PPG before half-time
Lead holding294%

Leads at half-time in 17% of matches and wins 50%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.3

Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Gorilla - second-half results

29% W43% R29% P
8
Half-time points
2
Half-time goals
+1
Goal difference (1st half)
9
Second-half points
+1
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.14
PPG before half-time
Lead holding207%

Leads at half-time in 14% of matches and wins 29%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.3

Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Marines - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.201.40
Goals scored / match0.20.8
Goals conceded / match0.20.6
Average goals in match0.41.4
1 goal40%100%
2 goals0%40%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet80%40%
No goal80%40%
Goal difference0+1
Half-time: 20% leading - 60% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 20% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 1
Gorilla - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.400.60
Goals scored / match0.40.2
Goals conceded / match0.00.6
Average goals in match0.40.8
1 goal20%60%
2 goals20%20%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet100%40%
No goal80%80%
Goal difference+2-2
Half-time: 20% leading - 80% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 60% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 2

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Marines
ScoredConceded
0
0
0-15
0
1
16-30
1
0
31-45
0
1
46-60
1
1
61-75
5
1
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (5 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (1). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.

Gorilla
ScoredConceded
0
0
0-15
2
0
16-30
0
1
31-45
0
0
46-60
2
1
61-75
2
2
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (2 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

1.63
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
0.9 : 0.8
Estimated goal split
home : away
98%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
30%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-100%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
38%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
14%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 7 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Marines

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.13
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.37
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-4.6 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.08
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.29
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
143%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
80%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.30
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.8
Late goals
71% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 0% come in the first quarter-hour.
71%

Gorilla

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.31
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.60
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-4.5 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.05
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.65
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
102%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
70%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.23
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.3
Late goals
33% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 0% come in the first quarter-hour.
33%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (National Soccer League).

Teams vs league

MarinesLigaGorilla
Average goals in match 1.831.66 1.43
Both teams scored 17%32% 43%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 17%21% 14%
Clean sheets 50%44% 43%
Goal before half-time 33%52% 29%
Goal after half-time 100%63% 71%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

1.66
Average goals per match
32%
Both teams scored
21%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
44%
Clean sheets
0.82
Home goals / match
0.84
Away goals / match
+-2%
Home attack advantage
+-2%
Home defence advantage
+4%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
52%
1 goal
18%
2 goals
5%
3 goals
0%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
63%
1 goal
27%
2 goals
2%
3 goals
0%
4 goals

FAQ

What was the result of Marines vs Gorilla?

The National Soccer League match finished Marines 1:0 Gorilla. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before Marines vs Gorilla?

Marines score 1.17 goals per game on average and Gorilla 0.86. The National Soccer League average is 1.66 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 21% of games. Both teams score in 17% of Marines's matches and 43% of Gorilla's.

What form are Marines and Gorilla in?

Over the last 5 games Marines have a 2-0-3 record (1.20 points per game) and Gorilla 1-3-1 (1.20 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Marines vs Gorilla?

This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.