Marsa vs Gabès: match statistics
Marsa presents significantly better form and statistics in home matches than Gabès does on the road. The hosts have won 44% of their matches at home and hold a more favorable goal difference (-2 compared to -14 for the guests), while Gabès has not won a single away match this season (0% wins). The average xG for Marsa in home matches is 1.59 compared to just 0.94 xG for Gabès away, indicating a significant offensive advantage for the hosts. The visitors concede an average of 2 goals per away match and have a dismal streak of 9 games without an away victory. Additionally, Marsa has better possession (56% vs 41%) and more shots on goal (5.56 vs 3.13), confirming their domination. All indicators point to a clear advantage for the hosts, who should capitalize on their home field advantage.
Marsa vs Gabès: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Marsa played Gabès in Ligue 1 (Tunisia). The match was played on 28 January 2026. Final score: 1:0.
Current form
Marsa: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match. Gabès: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Marsa scores 0.94 and concedes 1.00 goals per match. Gabès scores 0.53 and concedes 1.35. League average: 1.79 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Marsa 18%, Gabès 41%. Over 2.5: Marsa 29%, Gabès 41%. League level: BTTS 28%, Over 2.5 29%.
xG, shots and style
Marsa has higher xG: 1.51 vs 1.04. Marsa: 11.7 shots per match, Gabès: 7.5.
Match halves
Marsa: half-time lead 12%, second-half goals 0.59. Gabès: half-time lead 24%, second-half goals 0.18.
Goals by minute
Marsa: 46-60 (5 goals). Gabès: 0-15 (2 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Ligue 1: 1.79 goals per match, BTTS 28%, Over 2.5 29%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Marsa presents significantly better form and statistics in home matches than Gabès does on the road. The hosts have won 44% of their matches at home and hold a more favorable goal difference (-2 compared to -14 for the guests), while Gabès has not won a single away match this season (0% wins). The average xG for Marsa in home matches is 1.59 compared to just 0.94 xG for Gabès away, indicating a significant offensive advantage for the hosts. The visitors concede an average of 2 goals per away match and have a dismal streak of 9 games without an away victory. Additionally, Marsa has better possession (56% vs 41%) and more shots on goal (5.56 vs 3.13), confirming their domination. All indicators point to a clear advantage for the hosts, who should capitalize on their home field advantage.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Marsa | Gabès | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 43% | 41% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.14 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.19 | 0.17 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Marsa is 50% better for: last-5 form.
1.2 pts / match - Marsa · 0.8 pts / match - Gabès
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Marsa is 77% better for: goals scored per match.
0.94 goals / match - Marsa · 0.53 goals / match - Gabès
Marsa is 35% better for: goals conceded per match.
1 goals / match - Marsa · 1.35 goals / match - Gabès
Marsa scores in 47% of matches (8 of 17 matches), while Gabès keeps a clean sheet in 24% (4 of 17 matches).
Gabès scores in 47% of matches (8 of 17 matches), while Marsa keeps a clean sheet in 35% (6 of 17 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Marsa
Over / Under - Gabès
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Gabès is 44% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.82 pts / match - Marsa · 1.18 pts / match - Gabès
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Marsa - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 12% of matches and wins 35%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Gabès - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 24% of matches and wins 12%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -1 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -4 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (5 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (2 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): -5 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Marsa
Gabès
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ligue 1).
Teams vs league
| Marsa | Liga | Gabès | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 1.94 | 1.79 | • 1.88 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 18% | 28% | ▲ 41% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | • 29% | 29% | ▲ 41% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 35% | 45% | ▼ 24% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 59% | 65% | ▼ 59% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 65% | 59% | ▲ 65% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Marsa 0 - 0 - 1 Gabès. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Marsa vs Gabès?
The Ligue 1 match finished Marsa 1:0 Gabès. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Marsa vs Gabès?
Marsa score 0.94 goals per game on average and Gabès 0.53. The Ligue 1 average is 1.79 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 29% of games. Both teams score in 18% of Marsa's matches and 41% of Gabès's.
What form are Marsa and Gabès in?
Over the last 5 games Marsa have a 2-0-3 record (1.20 points per game) and Gabès 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Marsa vs Gabès?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Marsa vs Gabès: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.