Marsa vs Kairouan: match statistics
Marsa performs significantly better at home, achieving a 50% win rate in home matches and maintaining a goal difference of -1, which indicates a solid defense (0.8 goals conceded on average per match). Kairouan, on the other hand, records very poor away results – only 11% wins, as many as 89% of matches without a goal scored, and a negative goal difference of -7. xG statistics also favor the hosts (1.64 vs 1.25), indicating Marsa's greater offensive efficiency. The recent form of both teams confirms the hosts' advantage, as they have earned 1.2 points per match in their last 5 games compared to Kairouan's 0.8 points. Considering all the data, Marsa has a clear advantage, although the hosts' poor scoring efficiency (0.7 goals per match) and the visitors' defensive organization could lead to a close result or a draw.
Marsa vs Kairouan: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Marsa played Kairouan in Ligue 1 (Tunisia). The match was played on 7 February 2026. Final score: 1:2.
Current form
Marsa: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match. Kairouan: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Marsa scores 0.89 and concedes 0.95 goals per match. Kairouan scores 0.58 and concedes 1.53. League average: 1.71 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Marsa 16%, Kairouan 26%. Over 2.5: Marsa 26%, Kairouan 37%. League level: BTTS 26%, Over 2.5 27%.
xG, shots and style
Marsa has higher xG: 1.49 vs 1.09. Marsa: 11.5 shots per match, Kairouan: 8.0.
Match halves
Marsa: half-time lead 11%, second-half goals 0.58. Kairouan: half-time lead 11%, second-half goals 0.32.
Goals by minute
Marsa: 46-60 (5 goals). Kairouan: 76-90+ (5 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Ligue 1: 1.71 goals per match, BTTS 26%, Over 2.5 27%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Marsa performs significantly better at home, achieving a 50% win rate in home matches and maintaining a goal difference of -1, which indicates a solid defense (0.8 goals conceded on average per match). Kairouan, on the other hand, records very poor away results – only 11% wins, as many as 89% of matches without a goal scored, and a negative goal difference of -7. xG statistics also favor the hosts (1.64 vs 1.25), indicating Marsa's greater offensive efficiency. The recent form of both teams confirms the hosts' advantage, as they have earned 1.2 points per match in their last 5 games compared to Kairouan's 0.8 points. Considering all the data, Marsa has a clear advantage, although the hosts' poor scoring efficiency (0.7 goals per match) and the visitors' defensive organization could lead to a close result or a draw.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Marsa | Kairouan | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 43% | 38% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.14 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.18 | 0.19 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Marsa is 50% better for: last-5 form.
1.2 pts / match - Marsa · 0.8 pts / match - Kairouan
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Marsa is 53% better for: goals scored per match.
0.89 goals / match - Marsa · 0.58 goals / match - Kairouan
Marsa is 61% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.95 goals / match - Marsa · 1.53 goals / match - Kairouan
Marsa scores in 47% of matches (9 of 19 matches), while Kairouan keeps a clean sheet in 21% (4 of 19 matches).
Kairouan scores in 37% of matches (7 of 19 matches), while Marsa keeps a clean sheet in 37% (7 of 19 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Marsa
Over / Under - Kairouan
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Marsa is 33% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.84 pts / match - Marsa · 0.63 pts / match - Kairouan
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Marsa - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 11% of matches and wins 37%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Kairouan - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 11% of matches and wins 26%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.60 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 100% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -2 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 20% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 80% |
| No goal | 80% | 100% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (5 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (5 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Marsa
Kairouan
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ligue 1).
Teams vs league
| Marsa | Liga | Kairouan | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 1.84 | 1.71 | ▲ 2.11 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 16% | 26% | • 26% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | • 26% | 27% | ▲ 37% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 37% | 47% | ▼ 21% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 53% | 62% | ▲ 74% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 68% | 58% | • 58% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Other recorded players
Away team
Other recorded players
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Marsa 0 - 0 - 1 Kairouan. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Marsa vs Kairouan?
The Ligue 1 match finished Marsa 1:2 Kairouan. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Marsa vs Kairouan?
Marsa score 0.89 goals per game on average and Kairouan 0.58. The Ligue 1 average is 1.71 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 27% of games. Both teams score in 16% of Marsa's matches and 26% of Kairouan's.
What form are Marsa and Kairouan in?
Over the last 5 games Marsa have a 2-0-3 record (1.20 points per game) and Kairouan 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Marsa vs Kairouan?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.