Marsaxlokk vs Hibernians: match statistics
Marsaxlokk display solid home form with 56% wins and only 22% losses at their own stadium, giving them a psychological advantage. Hibernians, however, show a much weaker away performance – just 29% wins and as many as 43% losses, without keeping a single clean sheet in away matches. Despite this, Hibernians are in excellent form in their last five matches (4 wins, 1 draw) with 2.6 points per game, while Marsaxlokk average 2.0 points. xG analysis indicates a slight advantage for the visitors (1.31 vs 1.06 for the hosts), suggesting a somewhat better quality of chances created. Taking into account Marsaxlokk's home solidity and Hibernians' good current form alongside their poor away results, I expect a balanced, fierce encounter with the highest probability of a draw.
Marsaxlokk vs Hibernians: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Marsaxlokk played Hibernians in Maltese Premier League (Malta). The match was played on 15 February 2026. Final score: 2:1.
Current form
Marsaxlokk: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match. Hibernians: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Marsaxlokk scores 1.24 and concedes 1.05 goals per match. Hibernians scores 1.71 and concedes 1.48. League average: 2.53 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Marsaxlokk 52%, Hibernians 62%. Over 2.5: Marsaxlokk 48%, Hibernians 57%. League level: BTTS 48%, Over 2.5 44%.
xG, shots and style
Hibernians has higher xG: 1.20 vs 1.15. Marsaxlokk: 7.9 shots per match, Hibernians: 7.4.
Match halves
Marsaxlokk: half-time lead 24%, second-half goals 0.71. Hibernians: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 1.00.
Goals by minute
Marsaxlokk: 46-60 (5 goals). Hibernians: 16-30 (8 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Maltese Premier League: 2.53 goals per match, BTTS 48%, Over 2.5 44%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-0. Average goals 4.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Marsaxlokk display solid home form with 56% wins and only 22% losses at their own stadium, giving them a psychological advantage. Hibernians, however, show a much weaker away performance – just 29% wins and as many as 43% losses, without keeping a single clean sheet in away matches. Despite this, Hibernians are in excellent form in their last five matches (4 wins, 1 draw) with 2.6 points per game, while Marsaxlokk average 2.0 points. xG analysis indicates a slight advantage for the visitors (1.31 vs 1.06 for the hosts), suggesting a somewhat better quality of chances created. Taking into account Marsaxlokk's home solidity and Hibernians' good current form alongside their poor away results, I expect a balanced, fierce encounter with the highest probability of a draw.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Marsaxlokk | Hibernians | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 46% | 48% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.15 | 0.16 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.34 | 0.48 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Hibernians is 38% better for: goals scored per match.
1.24 goals / match - Marsaxlokk · 1.71 goals / match - Hibernians
Marsaxlokk is 41% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.05 goals / match - Marsaxlokk · 1.48 goals / match - Hibernians
Marsaxlokk scores in 76% of matches (16 of 21 matches), while Hibernians keeps a clean sheet in 14% (3 of 21 matches).
Hibernians scores in 76% of matches (16 of 21 matches), while Marsaxlokk keeps a clean sheet in 33% (7 of 21 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Marsaxlokk
Over / Under - Hibernians
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Hibernians is 11% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.24 pts / match - Marsaxlokk · 1.38 pts / match - Hibernians
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Marsaxlokk - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 24% of matches and wins 48%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Hibernians - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 43%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.20 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 20% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +3 | -2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (5 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (8 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Marsaxlokk
Hibernians
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Maltese Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Marsaxlokk | Liga | Hibernians | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.29 | 2.53 | ▲ 3.19 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 52% | 48% | ▲ 62% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 48% | 44% | ▲ 57% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 33% | 30% | ▼ 14% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 57% | 69% | ▲ 81% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 76% | 73% | ▲ 86% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Marsaxlokk 0 - 1 - 0 Hibernians. Average goals 4.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Marsaxlokk vs Hibernians?
The Maltese Premier League match finished Marsaxlokk 2:1 Hibernians. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Marsaxlokk vs Hibernians?
Marsaxlokk score 1.24 goals per game on average and Hibernians 1.71. The Maltese Premier League average is 2.53 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 44% of games. Both teams score in 52% of Marsaxlokk's matches and 62% of Hibernians's.
What form are Marsaxlokk and Hibernians in?
Over the last 5 games Marsaxlokk have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and Hibernians 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Marsaxlokk vs Hibernians?
The statistical background for Marsaxlokk vs Hibernians — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.