Marsaxlokk vs Valletta: match statistics
Statistical analysis indicates a highly competitive rivalry. Marsaxlokk presents solid home form with a 55% win rate and a positive goal difference (+5), however, Valletta boasts a better away defense, conceding on average only 0.5 goals per match and keeping a clean sheet in half of their away fixtures. Both teams have an identical points return in their last 5 matches (1.6 PPG) and similar xG metrics, suggesting comparable attacking potential. Valletta draws more frequently away from home (42% draws), and their recent form (DLDWW) shows stability. Considering the hosts' home advantage and the visitors' defensive solidity, a draw seems the most likely outcome, although Marsaxlokk holds a slight edge due to the home-field factor.
Marsaxlokk vs Valletta: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Marsaxlokk played Valletta in Maltese Premier League (Malta). The match was played on 13 March 2026. Final score: 1:1.
Current form
Marsaxlokk: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match. Valletta: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Marsaxlokk scores 1.19 and concedes 1.04 goals per match. Valletta scores 1.35 and concedes 0.65. League average: 2.49 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Marsaxlokk 54%, Valletta 38%. Over 2.5: Marsaxlokk 46%, Valletta 27%. League level: BTTS 49%, Over 2.5 43%.
xG, shots and style
Valletta has higher xG: 1.27 vs 1.16. Marsaxlokk: 8.0 shots per match, Valletta: 8.4.
Match halves
Marsaxlokk: half-time lead 27%, second-half goals 0.62. Valletta: half-time lead 27%, second-half goals 0.92.
Goals by minute
Marsaxlokk: 31-45+ (6 goals). Valletta: 76-90+ (10 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Maltese Premier League: 2.49 goals per match, BTTS 49%, Over 2.5 43%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-2. Average goals 2.50, BTTS 50%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Statistical analysis indicates a highly competitive rivalry. Marsaxlokk presents solid home form with a 55% win rate and a positive goal difference (+5), however, Valletta boasts a better away defense, conceding on average only 0.5 goals per match and keeping a clean sheet in half of their away fixtures. Both teams have an identical points return in their last 5 matches (1.6 PPG) and similar xG metrics, suggesting comparable attacking potential. Valletta draws more frequently away from home (42% draws), and their recent form (DLDWW) shows stability. Considering the hosts' home advantage and the visitors' defensive solidity, a draw seems the most likely outcome, although Marsaxlokk holds a slight edge due to the home-field factor.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Marsaxlokk | Valletta | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 47% | 39% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.14 | 0.15 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.32 | 0.41 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Valletta is 13% better for: goals scored per match.
1.19 goals / match - Marsaxlokk · 1.35 goals / match - Valletta
Valletta is 60% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.04 goals / match - Marsaxlokk · 0.65 goals / match - Valletta
Marsaxlokk scores in 73% of matches (19 of 26 matches), while Valletta keeps a clean sheet in 46% (12 of 26 matches).
Valletta scores in 65% of matches (17 of 26 matches), while Marsaxlokk keeps a clean sheet in 31% (8 of 26 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Marsaxlokk
Over / Under - Valletta
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Valletta is 11% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.31 pts / match - Marsaxlokk · 1.46 pts / match - Valletta
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Marsaxlokk - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 27% of matches and wins 46%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Valletta - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 27% of matches and wins 46%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +2 | -2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 0.4 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +2 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (6 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (10 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +5 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Marsaxlokk
Valletta
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Maltese Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Marsaxlokk | Liga | Valletta | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.23 | 2.49 | ▼ 2.00 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 54% | 49% | ▼ 38% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 46% | 43% | ▼ 27% |
| Clean sheets | • 31% | 30% | ▲ 46% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 58% | 67% | ▼ 42% |
| Goal after half-time | • 73% | 74% | ▼ 65% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Marsaxlokk 0 - 0 - 2 Valletta. Average goals 2.50, both teams scored in 50% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Marsaxlokk vs Valletta?
The Maltese Premier League match finished Marsaxlokk 1:1 Valletta. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Marsaxlokk and Valletta?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Marsaxlokk won 0, Valletta won 2 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 2.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Marsaxlokk vs Valletta?
Marsaxlokk score 1.19 goals per game on average and Valletta 1.35. The Maltese Premier League average is 2.49 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 43% of games. Both teams score in 54% of Marsaxlokk's matches and 38% of Valletta's.
What form are Marsaxlokk and Valletta in?
Over the last 5 games Marsaxlokk have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Valletta 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Marsaxlokk vs Valletta?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Marsaxlokk vs Valletta: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.