Marumo Gallants vs TS Galaxy: match statistics
Marumo Gallants vs TS Galaxy: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Marumo Gallants played TS Galaxy in Premier Soccer League (South Africa). The match was played on 6 May 2026. Final score: 1:1.
Current form
Marumo Gallants: 0-3-2, 0.60 points/match. TS Galaxy: 0-1-4, 0.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Marumo Gallants scores 0.69 and concedes 1.35 goals per match. TS Galaxy scores 0.96 and concedes 1.31. League average: 2.04 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Marumo Gallants 50%, TS Galaxy 38%. Over 2.5: Marumo Gallants 35%, TS Galaxy 35%. League level: BTTS 39%, Over 2.5 32%.
xG, shots and style
TS Galaxy has higher xG: 1.28 vs 1.26. Marumo Gallants: 10.6 shots per match, TS Galaxy: 10.7.
Match halves
Marumo Gallants: half-time lead 4%, second-half goals 0.50. TS Galaxy: half-time lead 23%, second-half goals 0.62.
Goals by minute
Marumo Gallants: 61-75 (5 goals). TS Galaxy: 61-75 (8 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Premier Soccer League: 2.04 goals per match, BTTS 39%, Over 2.5 32%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
I predict a draw. Marumo Gallants record 50% draws at home and only 17% wins, averaging 0.75 goals scored and 0.92 conceded per match (1.67 goals per home game). TS Galaxy win only 15% of away fixtures and lose 62%, conceding 1.38 goals on average, while their away xG is 1.26 versus the hosts’ 1.33 xG, indicating balanced offensive chances. In the last 5 matches Marumo have 0 wins (3 draws, 2 losses, 0.6 pts/match), whereas Galaxy also have 0 wins (1 draw, 4 losses, 0.2 pts/match), which further supports a split of points. A lower share of goalless games for the hosts (42% vs 54%) and Marumo’s better home defence make them slight favorites for a point each, hence the edge to a draw.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
The numbers indicate a low goal tempo: Marumo Gallants average 1.0 goal per match (18 goals this season) and TS Galaxy 0.92 goals (25 goals this season); in the last 5 matches both teams have averaged only 0.4 goals per game. Seasonal BTTS rates are 31% for the home side and 46% for the away side versus a league average of 39%, suggesting a moderate baseline probability for Goal/Goal. xG reads 1.3 for Marumo and 1.26 for Galaxy with xG-against of 1.66 and 1.63 respectively, but in the last 5 matches xG-for was 1.24 and 1.31 with actual goals at 0.4, indicating finishing issues. Additionally, Marumo keep a clean sheet in 38% of matches while TS Galaxy in only 8%, so matches often end as one-sided results rather than BTTS - Yes. Considering the poor scoring form (0.4 in last 5), the low seasonal BTTS for the home team (31%) and the overall league average of 39%, I forecast BTTS 32% vs 68% and recommend 'No Goal' (No).
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Based on xG: Marumo Gallants have an attacking xG of 1.30 while TS Galaxy concede 1.63 xG, implying home expected goals ≈1.47; similarly TS Galaxy create 1.26 xG against Marumo’s defense conceding 1.66 xG, implying away expected goals ≈1.46, total ≈2.93 goals. A Poisson model for mean 2.93 estimates probability Over 1.5 ≈79% (≤1.5 ≈21%), Over 2.5 ≈56% (≤2.5 ≈44%) and Over 3.5 ≈34% (≤3.5 ≈66%). Seasonal stats confirm an edge for Over 1.5: both teams have 69% of matches Over 1.5, while only 38% (Marumo) and 31% (TS Galaxy) finish Over 2.5 and 15%/23% Over 3.5, which limits the signal for the 3.5 line. Additionally, hosts average 11.54 shots with 3.15 on target, visitors 9.85 with 3.77 on target, and shot conversion is 9% for both; both teams have attacking xG around 1.24 and 1.31 in the last 5 matches and 40% Over 2.5 in the last 5, further supporting goal occurrence. As a result the strongest signal from the data is Over 1.5 (≈79%), hence the recommendation to play Over at the 1.5 line.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The most likely scenario is a draw at half-time and a home win by full-time (X/1), because hosts draw in the first 45 minutes in 31% of matches while visitors do so in 69% of their games, with home and away teams keeping clean sheets at half-time in 62% and 69% respectively. Marumo Gallants are stronger overall: they win 38% of matches this season versus 15% for TS Galaxy, scoring on average 1.00 goals per game and conceding 1.23, whereas the visitors average 0.92 scored and 1.38 conceded. Additionally, the hosts take more shots (11.54 vs 9.85) and have comparable xG (1.30 vs 1.26), indicating a quantitative advantage with similar quality of chances. A significant signal comes from goal timing: the away side concedes as many as 9 goals in minutes 76–90 this season versus only 1 conceded by the hosts, which increases the probability of a turnaround after the break in Marumo’s favour. On this basis I rate X/1 as the main pick with an estimated probability of 38%; alternatively I assess 1/1 at 20% and a full-time draw (X/X) at 15%.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Marumo Gallants | TS Galaxy | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 29% | 32% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.22 | 0.28 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Marumo Gallants is 200% better for: last-5 form.
0.6 pts / match - Marumo Gallants · 0.2 pts / match - TS Galaxy
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
TS Galaxy is 39% better for: goals scored per match.
0.69 goals / match - Marumo Gallants · 0.96 goals / match - TS Galaxy
Marumo Gallants scores in 50% of matches (13 of 26 matches), while TS Galaxy keeps a clean sheet in 23% (6 of 26 matches).
TS Galaxy scores in 50% of matches (13 of 26 matches), while Marumo Gallants keeps a clean sheet in 8% (2 of 26 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Marumo Gallants
Over / Under - TS Galaxy
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
TS Galaxy is 63% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.73 pts / match - Marumo Gallants · 1.19 pts / match - TS Galaxy
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Marumo Gallants - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 4% of matches and wins 15%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
TS Galaxy - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 23% of matches and wins 27%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -4 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.20 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.2 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 40% |
| No goal | 100% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -6 | -4 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (5 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (8 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Marumo Gallants
TS Galaxy
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Premier Soccer League).
Teams vs league
| Marumo Gallants | Liga | TS Galaxy | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.04 | 2.04 | ▲ 2.27 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 50% | 39% | • 38% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 35% | 32% | ▲ 35% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 8% | 36% | ▼ 23% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 54% | 61% | ▼ 58% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 77% | 70% | ▲ 73% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Marumo Gallants 0 - 0 - 1 TS Galaxy. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Marumo Gallants vs TS Galaxy?
The Premier Soccer League match finished Marumo Gallants 1:1 TS Galaxy. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Marumo Gallants vs TS Galaxy?
Marumo Gallants score 0.69 goals per game on average and TS Galaxy 0.96. The Premier Soccer League average is 2.04 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 32% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Marumo Gallants's matches and 38% of TS Galaxy's.
What form are Marumo Gallants and TS Galaxy in?
Over the last 5 games Marumo Gallants have a 0-3-2 record (0.60 points per game) and TS Galaxy 0-1-4 (0.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Marumo Gallants vs TS Galaxy?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.