Mārupe vs JFK Ventspils: match statistics
Mārupe vs JFK Ventspils: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Mārupe play JFK Ventspils in 1. Liga (Latvia). The match date is 14 June 2026 at 16:00. Final score: 1:2.
Current form
Mārupe: 1-0-4, 0.60 points/match. JFK Ventspils: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Mārupe scores 1.69 and concedes 1.46 goals per match. JFK Ventspils scores 1.23 and concedes 1.77. League average: 3.43 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Mārupe 46%, JFK Ventspils 62%. Over 2.5: Mārupe 77%, JFK Ventspils 62%. League level: BTTS 60%, Over 2.5 68%.
xG, shots and style
Mārupe has higher xG: 1.46 vs 1.27. Mārupe: 9.5 shots per match, JFK Ventspils: 6.3.
Match halves
Mārupe: half-time lead 23%, second-half goals 1.31. JFK Ventspils: half-time lead 31%, second-half goals 0.62.
Goals by minute
Mārupe: 76-90+ (8 goals). JFK Ventspils: 76-90+ (4 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
1. Liga: 3.43 goals per match, BTTS 60%, Over 2.5 68%.
Head-to-head
2 H2H matches: 0-0-2. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 50%.
Match description
I predict a home win (1): Mārupe have scored 19 goals this season and average 2.75 goals per home game, with an average home xG of 1.81 versus opponent xG 1.07. In their last 5 matches they have 4 wins and 10 goals scored. JFK Ventspils have yet to register a win this season (0 wins, 3 draws, 5 losses), have scored 9 goals and concede an average of 3.0 goals away with an away goal difference of -5, indicating clear defensive issues. The disparity in form and efficiency is also reflected in average points from the last 5 games: Mārupe 2.4 vs Ventspils 0.8. Home side average 13.75 shots with 5.75 on target and 20% conversion, while visitors average 11.33 shots with 6.0 on target and 18% conversion. Mārupe have kept 50% clean sheets at home, whereas Ventspils have 0% clean sheets away; neither team has a match without scoring in their stats (0%), so the visitors can score, but the advantage lies with the hosts. Considering superior xG, a higher volume of created chances (13.75 vs 11.33) and form (4 wins from last 5), I back a Mārupe victory.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Mārupe | JFK Ventspils | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 45% | 46% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.15 | 0.20 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.39 | 0.42 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
JFK Ventspils is 133% better for: last-5 form.
0.6 pts / match - Mārupe · 1.4 pts / match - JFK Ventspils
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Mārupe is 37% better for: goals scored per match.
1.69 goals / match - Mārupe · 1.23 goals / match - JFK Ventspils
Mārupe is 21% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.46 goals / match - Mārupe · 1.77 goals / match - JFK Ventspils
Mārupe scores in 77% of matches (10 of 13 matches), while JFK Ventspils keeps a clean sheet in 15% (2 of 13 matches).
JFK Ventspils scores in 69% of matches (9 of 13 matches), while Mārupe keeps a clean sheet in 38% (5 of 13 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Mārupe
Over / Under — JFK Ventspils
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
JFK Ventspils is 14% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.08 pts / match - Mārupe · 1.23 pts / match - JFK Ventspils
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Mārupe - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 23% of matches and wins 46%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
JFK Ventspils - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 31% of matches and wins 15%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.20 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.2 | 1.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 0% | 20% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -5 | -4 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +4 | -4 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (8 goli). Concedes most in 61-75 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (4 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Mārupe
JFK Ventspils
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (1. Liga).
Teams vs league
| Mārupe | Liga | JFK Ventspils | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 3.15 | 3.43 | ▼ 3.00 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 46% | 60% | ▲ 62% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 77% | 68% | ▼ 62% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 38% | 23% | ▼ 15% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 69% | 71% | ▲ 77% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 92% | 84% | ▼ 69% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Mārupe 0 - 0 - 2 JFK Ventspils. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 50% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Mārupe vs JFK Ventspils?
The 1. Liga match finished Mārupe 1:2 JFK Ventspils. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Mārupe and JFK Ventspils?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Mārupe won 0, JFK Ventspils won 2 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Mārupe vs JFK Ventspils?
Mārupe score 1.69 goals per game on average and JFK Ventspils 1.23. The 1. Liga average is 3.43 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 68% of games. Both teams score in 46% of Mārupe's matches and 62% of JFK Ventspils's.
What form are Mārupe and JFK Ventspils in?
Over the last 5 games Mārupe have a 1-0-4 record (0.60 points per game) and JFK Ventspils 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Mārupe vs JFK Ventspils?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.