Mārupe vs Super Nova II: match statistics
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Check the betting analysis, pick, value bet and full reasoning for this match.
Mārupe vs Super Nova II: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Mārupe play Super Nova II in 1. Liga (Latvia). The match date is 15 August 2026.
Current form
Mārupe: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match. Super Nova II: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Mārupe scores 1.63 and concedes 1.56 goals per match. Super Nova II scores 1.44 and concedes 1.44. League average: 3.58 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Mārupe 50%, Super Nova II 63%. Over 2.5: Mārupe 75%, Super Nova II 44%. League level: BTTS 63%, Over 2.5 69%.
xG, shots and style
Mārupe has higher xG: 1.54 vs 1.13. Mārupe: 9.8 shots per match, Super Nova II: 7.6.
Match halves
Mārupe: half-time lead 19%, second-half goals 1.25. Super Nova II: half-time lead 44%, second-half goals 0.75.
Goals by minute
Mārupe: 76-90+ (9 goals). Super Nova II: 16-30 (5 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
1. Liga: 3.58 goals per match, BTTS 63%, Over 2.5 69%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-0. Average goals 1.00, BTTS 0%.
Before the match
1X2 odds
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Mārupe | Super Nova II | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 44% | 46% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.16 | 0.15 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.38 | 0.41 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Mārupe is 20% better for: last-5 form.
1.2 pts / match - Mārupe · 1 pts / match - Super Nova II
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Mārupe is 13% better for: goals scored per match.
1.63 goals / match - Mārupe · 1.44 goals / match - Super Nova II
Super Nova II is 8% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.56 goals / match - Mārupe · 1.44 goals / match - Super Nova II
Mārupe scores in 75% of matches (12 of 16 matches), while Super Nova II keeps a clean sheet in 25% (4 of 16 matches).
Super Nova II scores in 81% of matches (13 of 16 matches), while Mārupe keeps a clean sheet in 31% (5 of 16 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Mārupe
Over / Under - Super Nova II
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Super Nova II is 69% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1 pts / match - Mārupe · 1.69 pts / match - Super Nova II
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Mārupe - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 19% of matches and wins 44%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Super Nova II - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 44% of matches and wins 38%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.40 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 1.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 2.4 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 60% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 20% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -3 | -2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (9 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +5 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (5 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): -5 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Mārupe
Super Nova II
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (1. Liga).
Teams vs league
| Mārupe | Liga | Super Nova II | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 3.19 | 3.58 | ▼ 2.88 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 50% | 63% | • 63% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 75% | 69% | ▼ 44% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 31% | 21% | ▲ 25% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 63% | 75% | ▼ 69% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 94% | 86% | ▼ 81% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Mārupe 1 - 0 - 0 Super Nova II. Average goals 1.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
When do Mārupe and Super Nova II play?
Mārupe face Super Nova II on 15 August 2026 in 1. Liga. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.
What do the goal statistics show before Mārupe vs Super Nova II?
Mārupe score 1.63 goals per game on average and Super Nova II 1.44. The 1. Liga average is 3.58 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 69% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Mārupe's matches and 63% of Super Nova II's.
What form are Mārupe and Super Nova II in?
Over the last 5 games Mārupe have a 2-0-3 record (1.20 points per game) and Super Nova II 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Mārupe vs Super Nova II?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.


