Mārupe vs Valmiera / BSS: match statistics
Mārupe vs Valmiera / BSS: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Mārupe play Valmiera / BSS in 1. Liga (Latvia). The match date is 18 April 2026 at 17:00. Final score: 2:3.
Current form
Mārupe: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match. Valmiera / BSS: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Mārupe scores 1.83 and concedes 1.25 goals per match. Valmiera / BSS scores 2.67 and concedes 1.00. League average: 3.48 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Mārupe 50%, Valmiera / BSS 75%. Over 2.5: Mārupe 75%, Valmiera / BSS 75%. League level: BTTS 62%, Over 2.5 68%.
xG, shots and style
Valmiera / BSS has higher xG: 1.94 vs 1.53. Mārupe: 9.9 shots per match, Valmiera / BSS: 13.9.
Match halves
Mārupe: half-time lead 25%, second-half goals 1.42. Valmiera / BSS: half-time lead 42%, second-half goals 2.08.
Goals by minute
Mārupe: 76-90+ (8 goals). Valmiera / BSS: 76-90+ (11 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
1. Liga: 3.48 goals per match, BTTS 62%, Over 2.5 68%.
Head-to-head
No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.
Match description
Valmiera/BSS holds a clear offensive edge and superior form: 19 goals in the last 5 matches and 4 wins, averaging 2.4 points per match in that period, while Mārupe scored 8 goals and averages 1.4 points per match over the last five. The visitors register an average of 11 shots on target away versus 7.5 for the hosts and have a higher conversion rate (24% vs 20%), indicating better quality of created chances despite a similar goals-per-game average (around 4). Mārupe defends extremely well at home: 100% home wins, an average of 0 goals conceded per match and xG against of only 0.69, which makes it very difficult for opponents to score easily. Conversely Valmiera concedes on average 1 goal away and has xG against of 1.81 plus 9 goals conceded in the last 5 matches, so the game could be open and high-scoring; however, given Valmiera’s superior finishing and form (19 goals, 11 shots on target and 24% conversion), I forecast an away win with a moderate risk of a draw.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Mārupe | Valmiera / BSS | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 45% | 57% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.15 | 0.14 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.41 | 0.34 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Valmiera / BSS is 67% better for: last-5 form.
1.2 pts / match - Mārupe · 2 pts / match - Valmiera / BSS
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Valmiera / BSS is 46% better for: goals scored per match.
1.83 goals / match - Mārupe · 2.67 goals / match - Valmiera / BSS
Valmiera / BSS is 25% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.25 goals / match - Mārupe · 1 goals / match - Valmiera / BSS
Mārupe scores in 83% of matches (10 of 12 matches), while Valmiera / BSS keeps a clean sheet in 25% (3 of 12 matches).
Valmiera / BSS scores in 92% of matches (11 of 12 matches), while Mārupe keeps a clean sheet in 42% (5 of 12 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Mārupe
Over / Under — Valmiera / BSS
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Valmiera / BSS is 50% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.17 pts / match - Mārupe · 1.75 pts / match - Valmiera / BSS
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Mārupe - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 25% of matches and wins 50%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Valmiera / BSS - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 42% of matches and wins 75%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.7 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.40 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 1.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 2.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -4 | +3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.20 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 1.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 2.4 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 60% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +4 | +2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (8 goli). Concedes most in 61-75 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (11 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +7 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Mārupe
Valmiera / BSS
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (1. Liga).
Teams vs league
| Mārupe | Liga | Valmiera / BSS | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 3.08 | 3.48 | ▲ 3.67 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 50% | 62% | ▲ 75% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 75% | 68% | ▲ 75% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 42% | 22% | ▲ 25% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 67% | 71% | ▼ 58% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 92% | 85% | ▲ 92% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
FAQ
What was the result of Mārupe vs Valmiera / BSS?
The 1. Liga match finished Mārupe 2:3 Valmiera / BSS. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Mārupe vs Valmiera / BSS?
Mārupe score 1.83 goals per game on average and Valmiera / BSS 2.67. The 1. Liga average is 3.48 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 68% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Mārupe's matches and 75% of Valmiera / BSS's.
What form are Mārupe and Valmiera / BSS in?
Over the last 5 games Mārupe have a 2-0-3 record (1.20 points per game) and Valmiera / BSS 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Mārupe vs Valmiera / BSS?
The statistical background for Mārupe vs Valmiera / BSS — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.