Mash'al vs Bunyodkor: match statistics
Mash'al vs Bunyodkor: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Mash'al played Bunyodkor in Uzbekistan Super League (Uzbekistan). The match was played on 7 April 2026. Final score: 0:1.
Current form
Mash'al: 0-0-5, 0.00 points/match. Bunyodkor: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Mash'al scores 0.20 and concedes 2.20 goals per match. Bunyodkor scores 1.20 and concedes 0.60. League average: 2.51 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Mash'al 20%, Bunyodkor 40%. Over 2.5: Mash'al 40%, Bunyodkor 40%. League level: BTTS 46%, Over 2.5 51%.
xG, shots and style
Bunyodkor has higher xG: 1.13 vs 1.02. Mash'al: 8.0 shots per match, Bunyodkor: 9.4.
Match halves
Mash'al: half-time lead 0%, second-half goals 0.20. Bunyodkor: half-time lead 40%, second-half goals 0.40.
Goals by minute
Mash'al: 61-75 (1 goals). Bunyodkor: 31-45+ (2 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Uzbekistan Super League: 2.51 goals per match, BTTS 46%, Over 2.5 51%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-1. Average goals 2.50, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
I back an away win (2). Mash'al has lost all 5 matches this season (0-0-5), conceding 11 and scoring just 1; at home they have a 100% rate of matches without scoring, averaging 0 goals for and 2 conceded per game. Bunyodkor sit 4th with a 3–1–1 record (6 scored, 3 conceded) and on the road they average 1.0 goals scored and only 0.33 conceded, with 67% clean sheets. Mash'al generate home xG of 1.32 and 2.5 shots on target on average, but conversion is 0%, whereas Bunyodkor have away xG of 1.03, ~3 shots on target and 12% conversion, giving the visitors an advantage in finishing despite lower possession (41% vs 55%). Given the hosts’ complete losing run, the significant gap in average goals conceded (2.0 vs 0.33) and Bunyodkor’s superior efficiency, I project an away win with probabilities: 80% win for the visitors, 15% draw, 5% Mash'al victory.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
I predict No Goal (BTTS - No) with 70% probability versus 30% for BTTS - Yes, because the data clearly favor clean sheets. Bunyodkor has 67% clean sheets this season and Mash'al 50%, compared to a league clean sheet rate of 60%, increasing the likelihood of at least one team keeping a clean sheet. In the last 5 matches Bunyodkor averaged 1.2 goals scored and 0.6 conceded, while Mash'al averaged only 0.2 goals scored and 2.2 conceded, indicating strong defensive superiority paired with the hosts’ offensive impotence. Seasonal BTTS is 50% for Mash'al and 33% for Bunyodkor, and Mash'al’s last 5 matches show only 20% BTTS, so historical stats also reduce the probability of both teams scoring. Additionally xG is 1.29 for Mash'al versus 1.03 for Bunyodkor, but the gap between xG against 1.47 and the actual average conceded 0.33 for Bunyodkor suggests high defensive efficiency, hence the selection of No Goal.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Estimated xG is 1.38 for Mash'al and 1.35 for Bunyodkor, totalling 2.73 goals (calculated from xG_for_home 1.29 vs xG_against_away 1.47 and xG_for_away 1.03 vs xG_against_home 1.67). According to a Poisson distribution with mean 2.73, the probability of at least 2 goals (Over 1.5) is about 76%, and at least 3 goals (Over 2.5) about 51%. Mash'al have 100% of home matches over 1.5 goals, while Bunyodkor have 33%, which strengthens the signal for Over 1.5 despite Bunyodkor keeping 67% clean sheets. Seasonal data however show 0% of matches with more than 3.5 goals for both teams, so I rate Over 3.5 low (~25%) despite the Poisson model. As a result the strongest signal from the data is Over 1.5 (pick: Over 1.5) based on 2.73 expected goals and Mash'al’s 100% home results >1.5.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Bunyodkor is the clear favorite: they have a 67% win rate this season and average 2.33 points per match versus Mash'al's 50% and 1.5 points. In their last 5 matches Mash'al lost all 5 (form 'lllll') and score only 0.2 goals per game, while Bunyodkor’s form is 'wldww', with a 60% win rate in the last 5 and 1.2 goals per game. At half-time Mash'al were behind in 100% of those last 5 matches, and Bunyodkor led at the break in 40% of their last 5, which strongly supports a lead for the visitors after 45 minutes. The visitors also concede only 0.33 goals per game on average this season and keep 67% clean sheets, so the most likely scenario is Bunyodkor leading at Half-Time and winning Full-Time (2/2).
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Mash'al | Bunyodkor | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 28% | 32% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.09 | 0.40 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Bunyodkor is 500% better for: goals scored per match.
0.2 goals / match - Mash'al · 1.2 goals / match - Bunyodkor
Bunyodkor is 267% better for: goals conceded per match.
2.2 goals / match - Mash'al · 0.6 goals / match - Bunyodkor
Mash'al scores in 20% of matches (1 of 5 matches), while Bunyodkor keeps a clean sheet in 60% (3 of 5 matches).
Bunyodkor scores in 80% of matches (4 of 5 matches), while Mash'al keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 5 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Mash'al
Over / Under - Bunyodkor
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Mash'al - second-half results
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Bunyodkor - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 40% of matches and wins 60%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.00 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.6 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 0% | 40% |
| No goal | 100% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -8 | -2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 0.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 80% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +2 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (1 goal). Concedes most in 31-45 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (2 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Mash'al
Bunyodkor
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Uzbekistan Super League).
Teams vs league
| Mash'al | Liga | Bunyodkor | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.40 | 2.51 | ▼ 1.80 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 20% | 46% | ▼ 40% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 40% | 51% | ▼ 40% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 0% | 29% | ▲ 60% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 100% | 71% | ▼ 60% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 80% | 78% | ▼ 60% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Mash'al 0 - 1 - 1 Bunyodkor. Average goals 2.50, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Mash'al vs Bunyodkor?
The Uzbekistan Super League match finished Mash'al 0:1 Bunyodkor. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Mash'al and Bunyodkor?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Mash'al won 0, Bunyodkor won 1 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 2.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Mash'al vs Bunyodkor?
Mash'al score 0.20 goals per game on average and Bunyodkor 1.20. The Uzbekistan Super League average is 2.51 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 51% of games. Both teams score in 20% of Mash'al's matches and 40% of Bunyodkor's.
What form are Mash'al and Bunyodkor in?
Over the last 5 games Mash'al have a 0-0-5 record (0.00 points per game) and Bunyodkor 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Mash'al vs Bunyodkor?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Mash'al vs Bunyodkor: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.