Mash'al vs Kokand-1912: match statistics
Mash'al vs Kokand-1912: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Mash'al played Kokand-1912 in Uzbekistan Super League (Uzbekistan). The match was played on 17 July 2026. Venue: Stadion im. Bahrom Vafoyev. Final score: 1:0.
Current form
Mash'al: 0-0-5, 0.00 points/match. Kokand-1912: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Mash'al scores 0.36 and concedes 1.91 goals per match. Kokand-1912 scores 0.91 and concedes 1.36. League average: 2.55 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Mash'al 36%, Kokand-1912 55%. Over 2.5: Mash'al 45%, Kokand-1912 55%. League level: BTTS 53%, Over 2.5 52%.
xG, shots and style
Kokand-1912 has higher xG: 1.17 vs 1.03. Mash'al: 8.3 shots per match, Kokand-1912: 9.7.
Match halves
Mash'al: half-time lead 0%, second-half goals 0.27. Kokand-1912: half-time lead 9%, second-half goals 0.55.
Goals by minute
Mash'al: 61-75 (2 goals). Kokand-1912: 76-90+ (4 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Uzbekistan Super League: 2.55 goals per match, BTTS 53%, Over 2.5 52%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 2-0-0. Average goals 2.50, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
I predict a Kokand-1912 victory. The visitors show better form and efficiency: 10 goals this season and 6 in the last 5 matches, winning 3 of the last 5 and averaging 1.8 points per match in that period, while Mash'al has 4 goals this season and 0.6 points per match in the last 5. Mash'al have yet to score at home (home goals average 0.00, 100% of home matches without a goal) and have lost all home fixtures (11 defeats, home goal difference -7), conceding 1.4 goals per match on average. xG levels are similar (1.23 Mash'al at home vs 1.24 Kokand away), but Kokand converts chances better (conversion rate approx. 8% vs 0% for Mash'al) and has higher possession (58% vs 51%), which supports the visitors’ game control. Consequently, I expect a clear advantage for Kokand-1912 and a low-scoring game.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
I back BTTS - Yes. Season figures show Mash'al at 60% BTTS and Kokand-1912 at 50%, averaging 55% which is above the league level of 52%. Strong supporting evidence comes from xG and goals conceded: Mash'al concedes xG against 1.3, Kokand-1912 1.5, and over the last 5 matches they conceded on average 1.8 (Mash'al) and 1.4 (Kokand-1912) goals — indicating both sides allow scoring opportunities. Both teams also average 3.0 and 3.5 shots on target and 9.4 and 10.0 shots per match respectively, and with conversion rates of 11% (Mash'al) and 8% (Kokand-1912) even a limited number of chances can turn into goals; in the last 5 matches they scored 5 and 6 goals respectively. Counterarguments are relevant — Mash'al has 40% clean sheets season-to-date, Kokand-1912 only 17%, and the away side’s BTTS in the last 5 is low (20%) — so I do not assign a very high probability. On that basis I give 62% probability to Yes and 38% to No, with a moderate edge in favor of both teams scoring.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The xG-based model projects 1.30 xG for Mash'al and 1.27 xG for Kokand, totaling 2.57 expected goals. With that aggregate, a Poisson distribution implies probability of at least 2 goals (Over 1.5) ≈73%, 3+ goals (Over 2.5) ≈47%, and 4+ goals (Over 3.5) only ≈26%. Match stats confirm a moderate tempo: Mash'al at home score on average 1.0 and concede 0.8 with 40% clean sheets, while Kokand away score 0.83 and concede 1.83 with xG 1.24; the difference in shot conversion (11% vs 8%) gives Mash'al a slight edge in efficiency. Both teams register a high share of matches with at least 0.5 goals (80% and 83%) and BTTS 60%/50%, which explains a strong signal for Over 1.5, but the combined 2.57-goal forecast does not provide a convincing signal for Over 2.5. On this basis the safest and best selection is Under 3.5 (≈74% probability), hence the betting recommendation: Under 3.5.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Halftime analysis indicates a high probability of a draw: Mash'al keeps a clean sheet at halftime in 80% of home matches and scores an average of 0.4 goals before the break, which frequently results in a 0:0 scoreline. Kokand concedes an average of 1.33 goals by halftime and is trailing at the break in 67% of fixtures, so when a goal occurs in the first half it is most often scored by Mash'al. In the second half the hosts average 0.6 goals and have goals after the break in 60% of matches, and Mash'al’s shot conversion rate is 11% versus 8% for the visitors — this favors translating first-half advantages into second-half goals. Additionally, average points per match of 1.6 for Mash'al versus 0.5 for Kokand and a higher seasonal home clean-sheet rate for the hosts (40% vs 17%) support Mash'al’s advantage late on; therefore the strongest signal is X/1 (draw at halftime, home win at full-time) with an estimated probability of about 33%.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Mash'al | Kokand-1912 | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 32% | 34% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.14 | 0.28 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Kokand-1912 is 153% better for: goals scored per match.
0.36 goals / match - Mash'al · 0.91 goals / match - Kokand-1912
Kokand-1912 is 40% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.91 goals / match - Mash'al · 1.36 goals / match - Kokand-1912
Mash'al scores in 36% of matches (4 of 11 matches), while Kokand-1912 keeps a clean sheet in 27% (3 of 11 matches).
Kokand-1912 scores in 64% of matches (7 of 11 matches), while Mash'al keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 11 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Mash'al
Over / Under - Kokand-1912
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Kokand-1912 is 128% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.36 pts / match - Mash'al · 0.82 pts / match - Kokand-1912
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Mash'al - second-half results
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Kokand-1912 - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 9% of matches and wins 18%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.60 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -4 | -2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -2 | -2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (2 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): -8 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (4 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Mash'al
Kokand-1912
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Uzbekistan Super League).
Teams vs league
| Mash'al | Liga | Kokand-1912 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.27 | 2.55 | ▼ 2.27 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 36% | 53% | ▲ 55% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 45% | 52% | ▲ 55% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 0% | 27% | • 27% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 64% | 68% | ▼ 64% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 82% | 78% | ▼ 55% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Mash'al 2 - 0 - 0 Kokand-1912. Average goals 2.50, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Mash'al vs Kokand-1912?
The Uzbekistan Super League match finished Mash'al 1:0 Kokand-1912. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Mash'al and Kokand-1912?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Mash'al won 2, Kokand-1912 won 0 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 2.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Mash'al vs Kokand-1912?
Mash'al score 0.36 goals per game on average and Kokand-1912 0.91. The Uzbekistan Super League average is 2.55 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 52% of games. Both teams score in 36% of Mash'al's matches and 55% of Kokand-1912's.
What form are Mash'al and Kokand-1912 in?
Over the last 5 games Mash'al have a 0-0-5 record (0.00 points per game) and Kokand-1912 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Mash'al vs Kokand-1912?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.