Mashujaa vs Polisi Morogoro: match statistics
Mashujaa vs Polisi Morogoro: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Mashujaa played Polisi Morogoro in Ligi kuu Bara (Tanzania). The match was played on 8 October 2026. Final score: 2:1.
Current form
Mashujaa: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match. Polisi Morogoro: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Mashujaa scores 1.00 and concedes 1.00 goals per match. Polisi Morogoro scores 1.50 and concedes 1.17. League average: 2.47 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Mashujaa 50%, Polisi Morogoro 50%. Over 2.5: Mashujaa 50%, Polisi Morogoro 33%. League level: BTTS 47%, Over 2.5 41%.
xG, shots and style
Polisi Morogoro has higher xG: 1.58 vs 1.32. Mashujaa: 6.0 shots per match, Polisi Morogoro: 9.2.
Match halves
Mashujaa: half-time lead 0%, second-half goals 1.00. Polisi Morogoro: half-time lead 50%, second-half goals 0.50.
Goals by minute
Mashujaa: 46-60 (2 goals). Polisi Morogoro: 31-45+ (4 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Ligi kuu Bara: 2.47 goals per match, BTTS 47%, Over 2.5 41%.
Head-to-head
No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Mashujaa have won both of their home matches so far, scoring an average of 2 goals and conceding 1, while Polisi Morogoro average 1.5 goals scored and 2 conceded away from home. The hosts allow chances worth 1.07 xG per match at home, significantly fewer than the visitors do away (1.86 xG), which points to Mashujaa despite the small gap in the quality of chances created: 1.35 to 1.24 xG. Polisi have shown better recent form, winning 3 of their last 5 matches compared with Mashujaa's 2, and scoring 8 goals during that period to the hosts' 5. However, both teams have conceded 6 goals in their last five matches, so home advantage and the visitors' weaker away defence tip the prediction in Mashujaa's favour.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Both teams have averaged 1.5 goals per match, and neither has yet finished a match without scoring, which points towards goals at both ends. Mashujaa create chances worth an average of 1.8 xG, while Polisi Morogoro allow opponents 1.86 xG, making a home goal look likely. The visitors also have reason to find the net: they have averaged 1.6 goals in their last 5 matches, while Mashujaa have conceded 1.2. Caution is warranted, however, as both teams have landed BTTS in 50% of their matches, and the hosts have conceded just 0.75 goals per game on average this season. Even so, the attacking numbers of both sides give a slight edge to the scenario in which both teams score (BTTS - Yes / Goal/Goal).
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Mashujaa average 1.5 goals and generate an xG of 1.80, while Polisi Morogoro concede an average of 2.0 goals, pointing to scoring opportunities for the home side. The visitors also average 1.5 goals, although the hosts concede just 0.75 goals per match, so I assess their contribution more cautiously. Over 1.5 goals is supported by both teams having scored in every match played so far, with this total reached in 100% of Mashujaa matches and 50% of Polisi Morogoro matches. The higher line is less convincing: Over 2.5 goals has landed in only 25% of the hosts' matches, while the league average is 2.47 goals. With a forecast of 2.68 goals, the strongest signal is therefore Over 1.5 goals, without needing to assume a particularly high-scoring game.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Polisi Morogoro led at the break in 3 of their last 5 matches, while Mashujaa had not led at half-time in any of them and had scored no first-half goals. The visitors won 3 of those 5 matches and averaged 1.6 goals, compared with 2 wins and 1.0 goal per game for the hosts. The visitors’ ability to hold their lead is supported by the fact that they conceded an average of just 0.2 goals in the second halves of their last 5 matches and kept 4 clean sheets. Therefore, the visitors leading at half-time and winning at full-time is the strongest single HT/FT scenario, although the hosts’ home xG of 1.80, compared with the visitors’ away xG of 1.24, limits confidence in this pick.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Mashujaa | Polisi Morogoro | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 39% | 44% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.22 | 0.17 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.43 | 0.38 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Polisi Morogoro is 50% better for: last-5 form.
1.2 pts / match - Mashujaa · 1.8 pts / match - Polisi Morogoro
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Polisi Morogoro is 50% better for: goals scored per match.
1 goals / match - Mashujaa · 1.5 goals / match - Polisi Morogoro
Mashujaa is 17% better for: goals conceded per match.
1 goals / match - Mashujaa · 1.17 goals / match - Polisi Morogoro
Mashujaa scores in 67% of matches (4 of 6 matches), while Polisi Morogoro keeps a clean sheet in 50% (3 of 6 matches).
Polisi Morogoro scores in 100% of matches (6 of 6 matches), while Mashujaa keeps a clean sheet in 17% (1 of 6 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Mashujaa
Over / Under - Polisi Morogoro
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Polisi Morogoro is 149% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.67 pts / match - Mashujaa · 1.67 pts / match - Polisi Morogoro
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Mashujaa - second-half results
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Polisi Morogoro - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 50% of matches and wins 50%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.60 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 0.4 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 100% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -2 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.2 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 2.2 | 0.6 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 80% |
| No goal | 20% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (2 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (4 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Mashujaa
Polisi Morogoro
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ligi kuu Bara).
Teams vs league
| Mashujaa | Liga | Polisi Morogoro | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.00 | 2.47 | ▲ 2.67 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 50% | 47% | ▲ 50% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 50% | 41% | ▼ 33% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 17% | 28% | ▲ 50% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 33% | 73% | ▲ 83% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 83% | 71% | ▼ 67% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Other recorded players
Away team
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
- MashujaaGoalMishamo Daud Michael
FAQ
What was the result of Mashujaa vs Polisi Morogoro?
The Ligi kuu Bara match finished Mashujaa 2:1 Polisi Morogoro. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Mashujaa vs Polisi Morogoro?
Mashujaa score 1.00 goals per game on average and Polisi Morogoro 1.50. The Ligi kuu Bara average is 2.47 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 41% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Mashujaa's matches and 50% of Polisi Morogoro's.
What form are Mashujaa and Polisi Morogoro in?
Over the last 5 games Mashujaa have a 2-0-3 record (1.20 points per game) and Polisi Morogoro 3-0-2 (1.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Mashujaa vs Polisi Morogoro?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.