Mashujaa vs Simba: match statistics
Mashujaa vs Simba: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Mashujaa played Simba in Ligi kuu Bara (Tanzania). The match was played on 14 May 2026. Final score: 0:3.
Current form
Mashujaa: 1-4-0, 1.40 points/match. Simba: 4-1-0, 2.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Mashujaa scores 0.55 and concedes 0.73 goals per match. Simba scores 1.76 and concedes 0.43. League average: 2.07 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Mashujaa 18%, Simba 29%. Over 2.5: Mashujaa 14%, Simba 48%. League level: BTTS 34%, Over 2.5 37%.
xG, shots and style
Simba has higher xG: 1.55 vs 1.38. Mashujaa: 8.2 shots per match, Simba: 8.5.
Match halves
Mashujaa: half-time lead 18%, second-half goals 0.23. Simba: half-time lead 57%, second-half goals 0.71.
Goals by minute
Mashujaa: 31-45+ (4 goals). Simba: 31-45+ (9 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Ligi kuu Bara: 2.07 goals per match, BTTS 34%, Over 2.5 37%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Simba is the clear favorite: they have scored 37 goals this season versus Mashujaa’s 12, and in the last five matches the visitors have netted 13 goals while the hosts only 2. The visitors show higher finishing efficiency — shot conversion 15% versus 7% for Mashujaa — and better form (2.6 points per game over the last 5 vs 1.4 for the hosts). Mashujaa, however, defend strongly at home: 82% of home matches end with a clean sheet and they concede only 0.18 goals per game on average, while also attempting more shots (10.11 vs 8.5), indicating weaker finishing. xG shows similar quality of chances (1.47 for Mashujaa at home vs 1.41 for Simba away), yet Simba has lower xG against (1.06 vs 1.44), which means better restriction of opponents and more efficient chance conversion. Considering Simba’s shooting advantage (37 vs 12), 4 wins in the last 5 matches and higher efficiency, I predict an away win, although Mashujaa’s high share of home draws (55%) gives a realistic chance of a points split.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
I assess BTTS probability at 25% (YES) and 75% (NO). Mashujaa has a seasonal BTTS rate of 18% and keeps a clean sheet in 73% of matches with an average conceded goals of 0.45 per game, while despite a seasonal goals-scored average of 2.18 their last 5 home matches yield only 0.4 goals per game, indicating a recent drop in offensive efficiency. Simba has a seasonal BTTS of 40% and is strong offensively — 13 goals in the last 5 matches (avg 2.6) and last5 xG_for ~1.41 — so the away side has a realistic chance to score. However, the league is low-scoring (avg 2.03 goals per match) and both teams generally concede few goals (seasonal averages 0.45 and 0.4) with clean sheets 73% for the home side and 60% for the visitors, which favors a No Goal scenario. In summary: despite Simba’s form, the probability of both teams scoring is weakened by Mashujaa’s strong clean sheet stats and low conceded average, therefore I recommend a 'no' (75%).
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The xG-based model projects 1.36 expected goals for Mashujaa (xG 1.66 vs xG conceded 1.06) and 1.09 for Simba (xG 1.41 vs xG conceded 0.76), totaling about 2.45 goals. With lambda = 2.45 the Poisson distribution implies roughly a 70% probability of at least 2 goals (Over 1.5), about 44% for Over 2.5 and around 23% for Over 3.5. Seasonal stats support Over 1.5: Mashujaa has Over 1.5 in 91% of matches, Simba in 60%, while Over 2.5 occurs for the home side in 55% and for the away side in 40%, yielding a mixed signal for the 2.5 line. Mashujaa scores on average 2.18 goals with 10.9 shots and 4.4 on-target (conversion rate 19%), and Simba averages 1.30 goals with 8.5 shots and a 15% conversion; considering xG, seasonal overs and these figures, the safest and strongest pick is Over 1.5.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Mashujaa led at the break in 9 of 11 matches (82%) and score on average 1.36 goals by half-time while conceding only 0.09, which clearly favors them in the first 45 minutes. Over the full match the hosts average 2.18 goals and have kept a clean sheet in 73% of games this season, whereas Simba record 1.3 goals per game and concede 0.4 on average; additionally Mashujaa’s xG is 1.66 versus 1.41 for Simba, so the advantage is also visible qualitatively. Mashujaa have a 91% clean sheet rate at half-time and have effectively never been trailing at the break (trailingAtHTPercentage_home 0), hence the strongest signal is the hosts leading after 45 minutes. Simba, however, are in good form over the last five matches (leading at the break in 80% of them), which introduces a small risk of a turnaround after half-time; nonetheless the most likely scenario is 1/1 (lead at half-time and full-time).
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Mashujaa | Simba | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 31% | 40% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.17 | 0.18 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.22 | 0.52 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Simba is 86% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / match - Mashujaa · 2.6 pts / match - Simba
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Simba is 220% better for: goals scored per match.
0.55 goals / match - Mashujaa · 1.76 goals / match - Simba
Simba is 70% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.73 goals / match - Mashujaa · 0.43 goals / match - Simba
Mashujaa scores in 41% of matches (9 of 22 matches), while Simba keeps a clean sheet in 67% (14 of 21 matches).
Simba scores in 76% of matches (16 of 21 matches), while Mashujaa keeps a clean sheet in 59% (13 of 22 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Mashujaa
Over / Under - Simba
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Simba is 88% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.14 pts / match - Mashujaa · 2.14 pts / match - Simba
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Mashujaa - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 18% of matches and wins 27%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Simba - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 57% of matches and wins 62%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.0 |
| Average goals in match | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 20% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 100% |
| No goal | 80% | 80% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.60 | 2.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.6 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 2.0 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 60% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 80% |
| No goal | 20% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +6 | +4 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (4 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (9 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Mashujaa
Simba
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ligi kuu Bara).
Teams vs league
| Mashujaa | Liga | Simba | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 1.27 | 2.07 | ▲ 2.19 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 18% | 34% | ▼ 29% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 14% | 37% | ▲ 48% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 59% | 41% | ▲ 67% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 45% | 56% | ▲ 67% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 32% | 61% | ▲ 67% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Away team
Other recorded players
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Mashujaa 0 - 0 - 1 Simba. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Mashujaa vs Simba?
The Ligi kuu Bara match finished Mashujaa 0:3 Simba. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Mashujaa vs Simba?
Mashujaa score 0.55 goals per game on average and Simba 1.76. The Ligi kuu Bara average is 2.07 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 37% of games. Both teams score in 18% of Mashujaa's matches and 29% of Simba's.
What form are Mashujaa and Simba in?
Over the last 5 games Mashujaa have a 1-4-0 record (1.40 points per game) and Simba 4-1-0 (2.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Mashujaa vs Simba?
The statistical background for Mashujaa vs Simba — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.