Mathare United vs Leopards: match statistics
Leopards are displaying significantly better form and statistics this season. The away team has amassed 12 wins with only 3 defeats, and their goal difference stands at an impressive +16 (30 scored, 14 conceded). In their last five matches, Leopards have won four games undefeated, averaging 2.6 points per match. Mathare United, on the other hand, is in a crisis – with just 7 wins against 11 losses this season and a negative goal difference. The home side's form is particularly concerning, with a 64% loss rate and only a 36% win rate at their own stadium. Leopards win 50% of their away matches and keep a clean sheet in 58% of cases, which, combined with Mathare's weak attack (averaging 0.91 goals at home), gives them a clear advantage. All key indicators, including xG, possession, and efficiency, point towards an away victory.
Mathare United vs Leopards: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Mathare United played Leopards in Kenyan Premier League (Kenya). The match was played on 8 March 2026. Final score: 4:1.
Current form
Mathare United: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match. Leopards: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Mathare United scores 0.74 and concedes 0.96 goals per match. Leopards scores 1.35 and concedes 0.61. League average: 2.07 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Mathare United 35%, Leopards 39%. Over 2.5: Mathare United 22%, Leopards 35%. League level: BTTS 46%, Over 2.5 34%.
xG, shots and style
Mathare United has higher xG: 1.51 vs 1.40. Mathare United: 12.0 shots per match, Leopards: 8.8.
Match halves
Mathare United: half-time lead 9%, second-half goals 0.17. Leopards: half-time lead 4%, second-half goals 0.39.
Goals by minute
Mathare United: 0-15 (11 goals). Leopards: 0-15 (20 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Kenyan Premier League: 2.07 goals per match, BTTS 46%, Over 2.5 34%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Leopards are displaying significantly better form and statistics this season. The away team has amassed 12 wins with only 3 defeats, and their goal difference stands at an impressive +16 (30 scored, 14 conceded). In their last five matches, Leopards have won four games undefeated, averaging 2.6 points per match. Mathare United, on the other hand, is in a crisis – with just 7 wins against 11 losses this season and a negative goal difference. The home side's form is particularly concerning, with a 64% loss rate and only a 36% win rate at their own stadium. Leopards win 50% of their away matches and keep a clean sheet in 58% of cases, which, combined with Mathare's weak attack (averaging 0.91 goals at home), gives them a clear advantage. All key indicators, including xG, possession, and efficiency, point towards an away victory.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Mathare United | Leopards | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 27% | 36% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.16 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.23 | 0.43 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Leopards is 150% better for: last-5 form.
0.8 pts / match - Mathare United · 2 pts / match - Leopards
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Leopards is 82% better for: goals scored per match.
0.74 goals / match - Mathare United · 1.35 goals / match - Leopards
Leopards is 57% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.96 goals / match - Mathare United · 0.61 goals / match - Leopards
Mathare United scores in 61% of matches (14 of 23 matches), while Leopards keeps a clean sheet in 48% (11 of 23 matches).
Leopards scores in 70% of matches (16 of 23 matches), while Mathare United keeps a clean sheet in 35% (8 of 23 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Mathare United
Over / Under - Leopards
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Mathare United - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 9% of matches and wins 30%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Leopards - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 4% of matches and wins 57%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Average goals in match | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 1 goal | 0% | 0% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 100% |
| No goal | 100% | 100% |
| Goal difference | 0 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Average goals in match | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 1 goal | 0% | 0% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 100% |
| No goal | 100% | 100% |
| Goal difference | 0 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (11 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (20 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Mathare United
Leopards
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Kenyan Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Mathare United | Liga | Leopards | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 1.70 | 2.07 | ▼ 1.96 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 35% | 46% | ▼ 39% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 22% | 34% | • 35% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 35% | 33% | ▲ 48% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 22% | 24% | ▼ 22% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 30% | 25% | ▲ 30% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Mathare United 0 - 0 - 1 Leopards. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Mathare United vs Leopards?
The Kenyan Premier League match finished Mathare United 4:1 Leopards. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Mathare United vs Leopards?
Mathare United score 0.74 goals per game on average and Leopards 1.35. The Kenyan Premier League average is 2.07 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 34% of games. Both teams score in 35% of Mathare United's matches and 39% of Leopards's.
What form are Mathare United and Leopards in?
Over the last 5 games Mathare United have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and Leopards 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Mathare United vs Leopards?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.