Mathare United vs Murang'a SEAL: match statistics
Murang'a SEAL presents decidedly better form and statistics in this clash. The visitors are unbeaten in their last five matches (2 wins, 3 draws) and have scored 6 goals while conceding only 3, whereas Mathare United has won just 2 of their last 5 games. The key advantage for the visitors is visible in away matches – a Win% of 29% and Draw% of 57% are significantly better results than the hosts' 33% home wins with a staggering 67% losses. Murang'a SEAL holds a positive goal difference on the road (+2) and a higher average of goals scored (1.43 vs 0.83), which, given similar xG values, indicates better efficiency. The hosts' form run (lllwlw at home) shows instability, while the visitors are on a wlddddw streak in recent away games. Taking all statistical data into account, Murang'a SEAL has a realistic chance of securing three points, though a draw is also probable given the visitors' tendency to split points (57% draws away).
Mathare United vs Murang'a SEAL: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Mathare United played Murang'a SEAL in Kenyan Premier League (Kenya). The match was played on 10 January 2026. Final score: 0:2.
Current form
Mathare United: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. Murang'a SEAL: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Mathare United scores 0.60 and concedes 0.80 goals per match. Murang'a SEAL scores 1.13 and concedes 1.13. League average: 1.91 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Mathare United 20%, Murang'a SEAL 60%. Over 2.5: Mathare United 13%, Murang'a SEAL 40%. League level: BTTS 40%, Over 2.5 30%.
xG, shots and style
Mathare United has higher xG: 1.59 vs 1.45. Mathare United: 12.7 shots per match, Murang'a SEAL: 11.3.
Match halves
Mathare United: half-time lead 13%, second-half goals 0.27. Murang'a SEAL: half-time lead 13%, second-half goals 0.47.
Goals by minute
Mathare United: 0-15 (3 goals). Murang'a SEAL: 0-15 (8 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Kenyan Premier League: 1.91 goals per match, BTTS 40%, Over 2.5 30%.
Head-to-head
No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Murang'a SEAL presents decidedly better form and statistics in this clash. The visitors are unbeaten in their last five matches (2 wins, 3 draws) and have scored 6 goals while conceding only 3, whereas Mathare United has won just 2 of their last 5 games. The key advantage for the visitors is visible in away matches – a Win% of 29% and Draw% of 57% are significantly better results than the hosts' 33% home wins with a staggering 67% losses. Murang'a SEAL holds a positive goal difference on the road (+2) and a higher average of goals scored (1.43 vs 0.83), which, given similar xG values, indicates better efficiency. The hosts' form run (lllwlw at home) shows instability, while the visitors are on a wlddddw streak in recent away games. Taking all statistical data into account, Murang'a SEAL has a realistic chance of securing three points, though a draw is also probable given the visitors' tendency to split points (57% draws away).
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Mathare United | Murang'a SEAL | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 24% | 34% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.20 | 0.29 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Murang'a SEAL is 14% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / match - Mathare United · 1.6 pts / match - Murang'a SEAL
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Murang'a SEAL is 88% better for: goals scored per match.
0.6 goals / match - Mathare United · 1.13 goals / match - Murang'a SEAL
Mathare United is 41% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.8 goals / match - Mathare United · 1.13 goals / match - Murang'a SEAL
Mathare United scores in 53% of matches (8 of 15 matches), while Murang'a SEAL keeps a clean sheet in 27% (4 of 15 matches).
Murang'a SEAL scores in 73% of matches (11 of 15 matches), while Mathare United keeps a clean sheet in 47% (7 of 15 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Mathare United
Over / Under - Murang'a SEAL
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Mathare United is 22% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.13 pts / match - Mathare United · 0.93 pts / match - Murang'a SEAL
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Mathare United - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 13% of matches and wins 33%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Murang'a SEAL - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 13% of matches and wins 27%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.0 |
| Average goals in match | 0.2 | 0.0 |
| 1 goal | 20% | 0% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 100% |
| No goal | 100% | 100% |
| Goal difference | -1 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.0 |
| Average goals in match | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| 1 goal | 20% | 20% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 100% |
| No goal | 100% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (3 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (8 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Mathare United
Murang'a SEAL
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Kenyan Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Mathare United | Liga | Murang'a SEAL | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 1.40 | 1.91 | ▲ 2.27 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 20% | 40% | ▲ 60% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 13% | 30% | ▲ 40% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 47% | 38% | ▼ 27% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 27% | 34% | ▲ 53% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 40% | 36% | ▲ 60% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
FAQ
What was the result of Mathare United vs Murang'a SEAL?
The Kenyan Premier League match finished Mathare United 0:2 Murang'a SEAL. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Mathare United vs Murang'a SEAL?
Mathare United score 0.60 goals per game on average and Murang'a SEAL 1.13. The Kenyan Premier League average is 1.91 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 30% of games. Both teams score in 20% of Mathare United's matches and 60% of Murang'a SEAL's.
What form are Mathare United and Murang'a SEAL in?
Over the last 5 games Mathare United have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Murang'a SEAL 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Mathare United vs Murang'a SEAL?
The statistical background for Mathare United vs Murang'a SEAL — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.