Mathare United vs Sofapaka: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Mathare United played Sofapaka in Kenyan Premier League (Kenya). The match was played on 15 December 2025. Final score: 1:0.

Current form

Mathare United: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. Sofapaka: 0-1-4, 0.20 points/match.

Goal statistics

Mathare United scores 0.62 and concedes 0.85 goals per match. Sofapaka scores 0.85 and concedes 1.23. League average: 1.93 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Mathare United 23%, Sofapaka 31%. Over 2.5: Mathare United 15%, Sofapaka 31%. League level: BTTS 41%, Over 2.5 30%.

xG, shots and style

Mathare United has higher xG: 1.67 vs 1.42. Mathare United: 13.2 shots per match, Sofapaka: 9.9.

Match halves

Mathare United: half-time lead 15%, second-half goals 0.31. Sofapaka: half-time lead 23%, second-half goals 0.38.

Goals by minute

Mathare United: 0-15 (2 goals). Sofapaka: 0-15 (3 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Kenyan Premier League: 1.93 goals per match, BTTS 41%, Over 2.5 30%.

Head-to-head

No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.

Half-by-half

0 : 0
1st half
0 : 0
2nd half

Match statistics

58Possession (%)42
Mathare UnitedSofapaka
6Shots6
Mathare UnitedSofapaka
4Shots on target2
Mathare UnitedSofapaka
1.1xG1.09
Mathare UnitedSofapaka
3Corners2
Mathare UnitedSofapaka
58Dangerous attacks76
Mathare UnitedSofapaka
-1Fouls-1
Mathare UnitedSofapaka
-1Cards-1
Mathare UnitedSofapaka

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

Mathare UnitedSofapaka
0.62Goals scored / match0.85
Mathare UnitedSofapaka
0.85Goals conceded / match1.23
Mathare UnitedSofapaka
51%Average possession46%
Mathare UnitedSofapaka
3.23Shots on target / match3.62
Mathare UnitedSofapaka

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

13.23Shots per match9.92
Mathare UnitedSofapaka
3.23Shots on target3.62
Mathare UnitedSofapaka
4.7%Shot conversion8.5%
Mathare UnitedSofapaka
51%Possession46%
Mathare UnitedSofapaka
1.67xG for1.42
Mathare UnitedSofapaka
1.53xG against1.53
Mathare UnitedSofapaka

Shooting quality

Mathare United: BalancedSofapaka: Balanced
Mathare UnitedSofapaka
Accuracy (shots on target)24%36%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.130.14
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.190.23

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Mathare United is 600% better for: last-5 form.

1.4 pts / match - Mathare United · 0.2 pts / match - Sofapaka

Mathare United
WLWLD
Season result split
31% W23% R46% P
Season (W-D-L)
4-3-6
1.15 pts / match · goal difference -3
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-1-2
1.40 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
1-0-4
Last 5 at home
1-0-4
LLLWL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 0.6Goals conceded: 0.4xG: 2.09Opponent xG: 1.61BTTS: 0%Over 2.5: 0%
Sofapaka
LLDLL
No win in the last 5 matches
Season result split
23% W23% R54% P
Season (W-D-L)
3-3-7
0.92 pts / match · goal difference -5
Last 5 (W-D-L)
0-1-4
0.20 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
2-1-3
Last 5 away
2-0-3
WWLLL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 0.2Goals conceded: 1.6xG: 1.17Opponent xG: 1.33BTTS: 20%Over 2.5: 20%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Sofapaka is 37% better for: goals scored per match.

0.62 goals / match - Mathare United · 0.85 goals / match - Sofapaka

Mathare United is 45% better for: goals conceded per match.

0.85 goals / match - Mathare United · 1.23 goals / match - Sofapaka

Mathare United scoring profile: strong

Mathare United scores in 54% of matches (7 of 13 matches), while Sofapaka keeps a clean sheet in 23% (3 of 13 matches).

Sofapaka scoring profile: mixed

Sofapaka scores in 46% of matches (6 of 13 matches), while Mathare United keeps a clean sheet in 46% (6 of 13 matches).

8Goals scored (season)11
Mathare UnitedSofapaka
11Goals conceded (season)16
Mathare UnitedSofapaka
1.46Average goals in match2.08
Mathare UnitedSofapaka
3Goals scored (last 5)1
Mathare UnitedSofapaka
2Goals conceded (last 5)8
Mathare UnitedSofapaka

How often they score at least...

54%1 goal46%
Mathare UnitedSofapaka
8%2 goals31%
Mathare UnitedSofapaka
0%3 goals8%
Mathare UnitedSofapaka
0%4 goals0%
Mathare UnitedSofapaka

How often they concede at least...

54%1 goal77%
Mathare UnitedSofapaka
31%2 goals38%
Mathare UnitedSofapaka
0%3 goals8%
Mathare UnitedSofapaka
0%4 goals0%
Mathare UnitedSofapaka

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

41%
League average

Goal patterns

0%BTTS at half-time8%
Mathare UnitedSofapaka
0%BTTS in both halves0%
Mathare UnitedSofapaka
0%Scored in both halves15%
Mathare UnitedSofapaka

BTTS and goal count

15%Min. 3 goals and BTTS23%
Mathare UnitedSofapaka
0%Min. 3 goals without BTTS8%
Mathare UnitedSofapaka
0%BTTS - last 520%
Mathare UnitedSofapaka

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

23%Min. 1 goal before half-time54%
Mathare UnitedSofapaka
0%Min. 2 goals before half-time23%
Mathare UnitedSofapaka
0%Min. 3 goals before half-time0%
Mathare UnitedSofapaka

2nd half

46%Min. 1 goal after half-time46%
Mathare UnitedSofapaka
46%Min. 2 goals after half-time15%
Mathare UnitedSofapaka
0%Min. 3 goals after half-time8%
Mathare UnitedSofapaka

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Mathare United - half-time state
15% leading77% draw8% trailing
Sofapaka - half-time state
23% leading54% draw23% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.23Points per match (1st half)1.23
Mathare UnitedSofapaka
0.15Goals scored (1st half)0.38
Mathare UnitedSofapaka
0.08Goals conceded (1st half)0.38
Mathare UnitedSofapaka
0.23Average goals (1st half)0.77
Mathare UnitedSofapaka
92%Clean sheet before half-time69%
Mathare UnitedSofapaka
85%No goal before half-time69%
Mathare UnitedSofapaka

After half-time (2nd half)

0.92Points per match (2nd half)1.08
Mathare UnitedSofapaka
0.31Goals scored (2nd half)0.38
Mathare UnitedSofapaka
0.62Goals conceded (2nd half)0.38
Mathare UnitedSofapaka
0.92Average goals (2nd half)0.77
Mathare UnitedSofapaka
62%Clean sheet after half-time69%
Mathare UnitedSofapaka
77%No goal after half-time77%
Mathare UnitedSofapaka

Mathare United - second-half results

8% W69% R23% P
16
Half-time points
2
Half-time goals
+1
Goal difference (1st half)
12
Second-half points
-4
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.23
PPG before half-time
Lead holding207%

Leads at half-time in 15% of matches and wins 31%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.5

Concedes 0.5 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Sofapaka - second-half results

15% W62% R23% P
16
Half-time points
5
Half-time goals
0
Goal difference (1st half)
14
Second-half points
0
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.23
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at half-time in 23% of matches and wins 23%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time0.0

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Mathare United - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.001.40
Goals scored / match0.00.4
Goals conceded / match0.00.0
Average goals in match0.00.4
1 goal0%20%
2 goals0%20%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet100%100%
No goal100%80%
Goal difference0+2
Half-time: 0% leading - 100% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 80% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 0
Sofapaka - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.800.80
Goals scored / match0.00.0
Goals conceded / match0.40.2
Average goals in match0.40.2
1 goal20%20%
2 goals20%0%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet80%80%
No goal100%100%
Goal difference-2-1
Half-time: 0% leading - 80% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 80% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 0

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Mathare United
ScoredConceded
2
2
0-15
0
1
16-30
2
0
31-45
2
2
46-60
1
2
61-75
1
4
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (2 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.

Sofapaka
ScoredConceded
3
8
0-15
2
2
16-30
1
1
31-45
0
2
46-60
2
2
61-75
3
1
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (3 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

1.77
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
0.9 : 0.8
Estimated goal split
home : away
92%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
27%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-100%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
25%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
25%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 4 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Mathare United

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.14
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.37
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+1.5 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-1.05
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.68
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
70%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
82%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.25
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.2
Late goals
13% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 25% come in the first quarter-hour.
13%

Sofapaka

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.11
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.27
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-0.5 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.57
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.30
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
82%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
140%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.72
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
0.0
Late goals
27% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 27% come in the first quarter-hour.
27%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Kenyan Premier League).

Teams vs league

Mathare UnitedLigaSofapaka
Average goals in match 1.461.93 2.08
Both teams scored 23%41% 31%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 15%30% 31%
Clean sheets 46%38% 23%
Goal before half-time 23%38% 54%
Goal after half-time 46%40% 46%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

1.93
Average goals per match
41%
Both teams scored
30%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
38%
Clean sheets
0.88
Home goals / match
1.04
Away goals / match
+-15%
Home attack advantage
+-18%
Home defence advantage
+-16%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
38%
1 goal
16%
2 goals
3%
3 goals
2%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
40%
1 goal
21%
2 goals
3%
3 goals
1%
4 goals

FAQ

What was the result of Mathare United vs Sofapaka?

The Kenyan Premier League match finished Mathare United 1:0 Sofapaka. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before Mathare United vs Sofapaka?

Mathare United score 0.62 goals per game on average and Sofapaka 0.85. The Kenyan Premier League average is 1.93 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 30% of games. Both teams score in 23% of Mathare United's matches and 31% of Sofapaka's.

What form are Mathare United and Sofapaka in?

Over the last 5 games Mathare United have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Sofapaka 0-1-4 (0.20 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Mathare United vs Sofapaka?

This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.