Mathare United vs Tusker: match statistics
Tusker presents decidedly better form than Mathare United, confirmed by the record of the last five matches – 4 victories for the guests against just 2 wins for the hosts. Mathare United has a dismal home record with 67% losses and only 33% wins, while Tusker demonstrates impressive efficiency away with 63% wins and 63% clean sheets. The difference in average goals conceded is distinct – Mathare concedes an average of 1.17 goals at home, while Tusker concedes only 0.5 away. Additionally, Tusker has a positive goal difference (+4) in away matches, whereas the hosts have a negative one (-2) in home games. The guests' form (wwwlw) and the hosts' weakness (wldwl) point to an advantage for Tusker, who should secure the full three points in this clash.
Mathare United vs Tusker: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Mathare United played Tusker in Kenyan Premier League (Kenya). The match was played on 6 February 2026. Final score: 3:1.
Current form
Mathare United: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match. Tusker: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Mathare United scores 0.63 and concedes 0.89 goals per match. Tusker scores 0.89 and concedes 1.00. League average: 1.99 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Mathare United 26%, Tusker 42%. Over 2.5: Mathare United 16%, Tusker 32%. League level: BTTS 43%, Over 2.5 33%.
xG, shots and style
Mathare United has higher xG: 1.59 vs 1.52. Mathare United: 12.8 shots per match, Tusker: 11.9.
Match halves
Mathare United: half-time lead 11%, second-half goals 0.21. Tusker: half-time lead 16%, second-half goals 0.32.
Goals by minute
Mathare United: 0-15 (6 goals). Tusker: 0-15 (8 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Kenyan Premier League: 1.99 goals per match, BTTS 43%, Over 2.5 33%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-0. Average goals 0.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Tusker presents decidedly better form than Mathare United, confirmed by the record of the last five matches – 4 victories for the guests against just 2 wins for the hosts. Mathare United has a dismal home record with 67% losses and only 33% wins, while Tusker demonstrates impressive efficiency away with 63% wins and 63% clean sheets. The difference in average goals conceded is distinct – Mathare concedes an average of 1.17 goals at home, while Tusker concedes only 0.5 away. Additionally, Tusker has a positive goal difference (+4) in away matches, whereas the hosts have a negative one (-2) in home games. The guests' form (wwwlw) and the hosts' weakness (wldwl) point to an advantage for Tusker, who should secure the full three points in this clash.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Mathare United | Tusker | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 26% | 34% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.19 | 0.22 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Tusker is 75% better for: last-5 form.
0.8 pts / match - Mathare United · 1.4 pts / match - Tusker
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Tusker is 41% better for: goals scored per match.
0.63 goals / match - Mathare United · 0.89 goals / match - Tusker
Mathare United is 12% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.89 goals / match - Mathare United · 1 goals / match - Tusker
Mathare United scores in 58% of matches (11 of 19 matches), while Tusker keeps a clean sheet in 37% (7 of 19 matches).
Tusker scores in 74% of matches (14 of 19 matches), while Mathare United keeps a clean sheet in 42% (8 of 19 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Mathare United
Over / Under - Tusker
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Mathare United - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 11% of matches and wins 32%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Tusker - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 16% of matches and wins 42%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.60 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 20% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 80% |
| No goal | 100% | 100% |
| Goal difference | -2 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Average goals in match | 0.0 | 0.2 |
| 1 goal | 0% | 20% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 100% |
| No goal | 100% | 80% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (6 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (8 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Mathare United
Tusker
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Kenyan Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Mathare United | Liga | Tusker | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 1.53 | 1.99 | ▼ 1.89 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 26% | 43% | • 42% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 16% | 33% | • 32% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 42% | 36% | • 37% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 26% | 29% | ▲ 42% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 37% | 32% | • 32% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Mathare United 0 - 1 - 0 Tusker. Average goals 0.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Mathare United vs Tusker?
The Kenyan Premier League match finished Mathare United 3:1 Tusker. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Mathare United vs Tusker?
Mathare United score 0.63 goals per game on average and Tusker 0.89. The Kenyan Premier League average is 1.99 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 33% of games. Both teams score in 26% of Mathare United's matches and 42% of Tusker's.
What form are Mathare United and Tusker in?
Over the last 5 games Mathare United have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and Tusker 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Mathare United vs Tusker?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.