Mathare United vs Ulinzi Stars: match statistics
Ulinzi Stars perform significantly better in away fixtures than Mathare United does at home. The hosts possess a disastrous home record, suffering 67% losses with only 33% wins, conceding an average of 1.17 goals per match. Conversely, Ulinzi Stars display superior efficiency on the road with a 38% win rate and a neutral goal difference (GD=0), averaging 1 goal per away match. Mathare United remains winless in their last three home games, while the visitors have demonstrated greater stability over their last eight away outings. Key differentiators include Ulinzi Stars' higher scoring output (15 season goals vs. 9 for the hosts) and superior away clean sheet percentage (38% vs. 33%). While the data supports an away victory, the poor recent form of both sides suggests a draw remains a plausible outcome.
Mathare United vs Ulinzi Stars: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Mathare United played Ulinzi Stars in Kenyan Premier League (Kenya). The match was played on 15 January 2026. Final score: 1:0.
Current form
Mathare United: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match. Ulinzi Stars: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Mathare United scores 0.56 and concedes 0.88 goals per match. Ulinzi Stars scores 1.00 and concedes 1.06. League average: 1.92 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Mathare United 19%, Ulinzi Stars 56%. Over 2.5: Mathare United 13%, Ulinzi Stars 44%. League level: BTTS 41%, Over 2.5 30%.
xG, shots and style
Mathare United has higher xG: 1.59 vs 1.48. Mathare United: 12.9 shots per match, Ulinzi Stars: 10.7.
Match halves
Mathare United: half-time lead 13%, second-half goals 0.25. Ulinzi Stars: half-time lead 0%, second-half goals 0.19.
Goals by minute
Mathare United: 0-15 (3 goals). Ulinzi Stars: 0-15 (11 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Kenyan Premier League: 1.92 goals per match, BTTS 41%, Over 2.5 30%.
Head-to-head
No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Ulinzi Stars perform significantly better in away fixtures than Mathare United does at home. The hosts possess a disastrous home record, suffering 67% losses with only 33% wins, conceding an average of 1.17 goals per match. Conversely, Ulinzi Stars display superior efficiency on the road with a 38% win rate and a neutral goal difference (GD=0), averaging 1 goal per away match. Mathare United remains winless in their last three home games, while the visitors have demonstrated greater stability over their last eight away outings. Key differentiators include Ulinzi Stars' higher scoring output (15 season goals vs. 9 for the hosts) and superior away clean sheet percentage (38% vs. 33%). While the data supports an away victory, the poor recent form of both sides suggests a draw remains a plausible outcome.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Mathare United | Ulinzi Stars | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 24% | 33% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.14 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.18 | 0.29 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Ulinzi Stars is 79% better for: goals scored per match.
0.56 goals / match - Mathare United · 1 goals / match - Ulinzi Stars
Mathare United is 20% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.88 goals / match - Mathare United · 1.06 goals / match - Ulinzi Stars
Mathare United scores in 50% of matches (8 of 16 matches), while Ulinzi Stars keeps a clean sheet in 31% (5 of 16 matches).
Ulinzi Stars scores in 75% of matches (12 of 16 matches), while Mathare United keeps a clean sheet in 44% (7 of 16 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Mathare United
Over / Under - Ulinzi Stars
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Mathare United is 31% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.06 pts / match - Mathare United · 0.81 pts / match - Ulinzi Stars
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Mathare United - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 13% of matches and wins 31%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Ulinzi Stars - second-half results
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.60 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 20% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 80% |
| No goal | 100% | 100% |
| Goal difference | -2 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.0 |
| Average goals in match | 0.2 | 0.0 |
| 1 goal | 20% | 0% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 100% |
| No goal | 100% | 100% |
| Goal difference | -1 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (3 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (11 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Mathare United
Ulinzi Stars
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Kenyan Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Mathare United | Liga | Ulinzi Stars | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 1.44 | 1.92 | ▲ 2.06 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 19% | 41% | ▲ 56% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 13% | 30% | ▲ 44% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 44% | 38% | ▼ 31% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 31% | 33% | ▼ 31% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 44% | 35% | ▼ 25% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
FAQ
What was the result of Mathare United vs Ulinzi Stars?
The Kenyan Premier League match finished Mathare United 1:0 Ulinzi Stars. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Mathare United vs Ulinzi Stars?
Mathare United score 0.56 goals per game on average and Ulinzi Stars 1.00. The Kenyan Premier League average is 1.92 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 30% of games. Both teams score in 19% of Mathare United's matches and 56% of Ulinzi Stars's.
What form are Mathare United and Ulinzi Stars in?
Over the last 5 games Mathare United have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and Ulinzi Stars 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Mathare United vs Ulinzi Stars?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Mathare United vs Ulinzi Stars: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.