Mazatlán vs Guadalajara: match statistics
Guadalajara is the clear favorite in this clash. The visiting team is in significantly better form with a 55% win rate on the road and a record of 13 wins this season, while Mazatlán has won only 2 matches and is in terrible form (0 wins in the last 5 matches). The hosts have the worst goal difference in home matches (-6), conceding an average of over 2 goals per game, and their offensive efficiency is low (xG 1.14). Guadalajara dominates in terms of possession (53% vs 43%), has better xG metrics (1.55 vs 1.14), and a more solid defense (27% clean sheets away). The visitors' form in the last 5 matches (2 points per game) and a positive goal difference (+3) on the road support their victory. Mazatlán has not kept a single clean sheet at home this season, which further increases Guadalajara's chances of securing three points.
Mazatlán vs Guadalajara: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Mazatlán played Guadalajara in Liga MX (Mexico). The match was played on 7 February 2026. Final score: 1:2.
Current form
Mazatlán: 0-1-4, 0.20 points/match. Guadalajara: 4-0-1, 2.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Mazatlán scores 1.10 and concedes 1.86 goals per match. Guadalajara scores 1.70 and concedes 1.22. League average: 2.97 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Mazatlán 71%, Guadalajara 52%. Over 2.5: Mazatlán 62%, Guadalajara 57%. League level: BTTS 57%, Over 2.5 54%.
xG, shots and style
Guadalajara has higher xG: 1.53 vs 1.08. Mazatlán: 9.2 shots per match, Guadalajara: 14.7.
Match halves
Mazatlán: half-time lead 19%, second-half goals 0.62. Guadalajara: half-time lead 43%, second-half goals 0.74.
Goals by minute
Mazatlán: 76-90+ (7 goals). Guadalajara: 31-45+ (11 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Liga MX: 2.97 goals per match, BTTS 57%, Over 2.5 54%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Guadalajara is the clear favorite in this clash. The visiting team is in significantly better form with a 55% win rate on the road and a record of 13 wins this season, while Mazatlán has won only 2 matches and is in terrible form (0 wins in the last 5 matches). The hosts have the worst goal difference in home matches (-6), conceding an average of over 2 goals per game, and their offensive efficiency is low (xG 1.14). Guadalajara dominates in terms of possession (53% vs 43%), has better xG metrics (1.55 vs 1.14), and a more solid defense (27% clean sheets away). The visitors' form in the last 5 matches (2 points per game) and a positive goal difference (+3) on the road support their victory. Mazatlán has not kept a single clean sheet at home this season, which further increases Guadalajara's chances of securing three points.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Mazatlán | Guadalajara | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 34% | 31% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.10 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.35 | 0.38 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Guadalajara is 1100% better for: last-5 form.
0.2 pts / match - Mazatlán · 2.4 pts / match - Guadalajara
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Guadalajara is 55% better for: goals scored per match.
1.1 goals / match - Mazatlán · 1.7 goals / match - Guadalajara
Guadalajara is 52% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.86 goals / match - Mazatlán · 1.22 goals / match - Guadalajara
Mazatlán scores in 71% of matches (15 of 21 matches), while Guadalajara keeps a clean sheet in 30% (7 of 23 matches).
Guadalajara scores in 74% of matches (17 of 23 matches), while Mazatlán keeps a clean sheet in 5% (1 of 21 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Mazatlán
Over / Under - Guadalajara
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Guadalajara is 99% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.81 pts / match - Mazatlán · 1.61 pts / match - Guadalajara
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Mazatlán - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 19% of matches and wins 10%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Guadalajara - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 43% of matches and wins 57%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.60 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.6 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 2.0 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -6 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.60 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.4 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.8 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 20% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +5 | -1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (7 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (11 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +6 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Mazatlán
Guadalajara
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Liga MX).
Teams vs league
| Mazatlán | Liga | Guadalajara | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.95 | 2.97 | • 2.91 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 71% | 57% | ▼ 52% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 62% | 54% | ▲ 57% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 5% | 25% | ▲ 30% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 81% | 72% | ▼ 70% |
| Goal after half-time | • 76% | 76% | ▼ 65% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Mazatlán 0 - 0 - 1 Guadalajara. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Mazatlán vs Guadalajara?
The Liga MX match finished Mazatlán 1:2 Guadalajara. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Mazatlán vs Guadalajara?
Mazatlán score 1.10 goals per game on average and Guadalajara 1.70. The Liga MX average is 2.97 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 54% of games. Both teams score in 71% of Mazatlán's matches and 52% of Guadalajara's.
What form are Mazatlán and Guadalajara in?
Over the last 5 games Mazatlán have a 0-1-4 record (0.20 points per game) and Guadalajara 4-0-1 (2.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Mazatlán vs Guadalajara?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.