Mazatlán vs León: match statistics
Mazatlán seems to have the advantage in this encounter, even though both teams are presenting poor form this season. The hosts show significantly better efficiency in home matches with 23% wins and 46% draws, while León has a catastrophic away record with just 8% victories and as many as 75% defeats. A key factor is the fact that León has not scored a goal in 67% of away matches, making them extremely ineffective on foreign pitches. Mazatlán has a better average of goals scored at home (1.46) compared to just 0.33 goals for León away. León's goal difference is -19 in away matches, confirming their huge problems away from home. The recent form of both teams is unstable, but Mazatlán's home statistics and León's tragic away record speak in favor of the hosts, although a draw also remains a realistic scenario due to Mazatlán's high percentage of draws at home.
Mazatlán vs León: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Mazatlán played León in Liga MX (Mexico). The match was played on 7 March 2026. Final score: 4:2.
Current form
Mazatlán: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. León: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Mazatlán scores 1.12 and concedes 1.81 goals per match. León scores 0.92 and concedes 1.68. League average: 2.95 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Mazatlán 73%, León 52%. Over 2.5: Mazatlán 62%, León 48%. League level: BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 56%.
xG, shots and style
León has higher xG: 1.32 vs 1.10. Mazatlán: 9.6 shots per match, León: 12.6.
Match halves
Mazatlán: half-time lead 19%, second-half goals 0.65. León: half-time lead 24%, second-half goals 0.48.
Goals by minute
Mazatlán: 76-90+ (7 goals). León: 31-45+ (6 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Liga MX: 2.95 goals per match, BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 56%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-0. Average goals 4.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Mazatlán seems to have the advantage in this encounter, even though both teams are presenting poor form this season. The hosts show significantly better efficiency in home matches with 23% wins and 46% draws, while León has a catastrophic away record with just 8% victories and as many as 75% defeats. A key factor is the fact that León has not scored a goal in 67% of away matches, making them extremely ineffective on foreign pitches. Mazatlán has a better average of goals scored at home (1.46) compared to just 0.33 goals for León away. León's goal difference is -19 in away matches, confirming their huge problems away from home. The recent form of both teams is unstable, but Mazatlán's home statistics and León's tragic away record speak in favor of the hosts, although a draw also remains a realistic scenario due to Mazatlán's high percentage of draws at home.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Mazatlán | León | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 35% | 32% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.33 | 0.23 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Mazatlán is 17% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / match - Mazatlán · 1.2 pts / match - León
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Mazatlán is 22% better for: goals scored per match.
1.12 goals / match - Mazatlán · 0.92 goals / match - León
León is 8% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.81 goals / match - Mazatlán · 1.68 goals / match - León
Mazatlán scores in 77% of matches (20 of 26 matches), while León keeps a clean sheet in 16% (4 of 25 matches).
León scores in 64% of matches (16 of 25 matches), while Mazatlán keeps a clean sheet in 8% (2 of 26 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Mazatlán
Over / Under - León
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
León is 27% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.85 pts / match - Mazatlán · 1.08 pts / match - León
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Mazatlán - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 19% of matches and wins 15%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
León - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 24% of matches and wins 24%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 80% |
| No goal | 60% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -2 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -2 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (7 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): -5 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (6 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): -6 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Mazatlán
León
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Liga MX).
Teams vs league
| Mazatlán | Liga | León | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.92 | 2.95 | ▼ 2.60 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 73% | 58% | ▼ 52% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 62% | 56% | ▼ 48% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 8% | 24% | ▼ 16% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 81% | 74% | ▼ 72% |
| Goal after half-time | • 77% | 76% | • 76% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Mazatlán 0 - 1 - 0 León. Average goals 4.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Mazatlán vs León?
The Liga MX match finished Mazatlán 4:2 León. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Mazatlán vs León?
Mazatlán score 1.12 goals per game on average and León 0.92. The Liga MX average is 2.95 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 56% of games. Both teams score in 73% of Mazatlán's matches and 52% of León's.
What form are Mazatlán and León in?
Over the last 5 games Mazatlán have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and León 2-0-3 (1.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Mazatlán vs León?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.