Mazatlán vs Monterrey: match statistics
Monterrey presents much better form and statistics compared to Mazatlán. The visitors have won 12 matches this season with 41 goals scored, while the hosts have recorded only 2 victories and 22 goals. Mazatlán has not won any of their last 5 matches and has an alarming 60% draw rate at home, indicating difficulties in scoring goals. Despite a 50% loss rate away, Monterrey possesses a higher win rate (42%) and better offensive statistics with 5 shots on target per match and 54% possession. Additionally, the hosts' xG (1.14) is significantly lower than the guests' xG (1.47), confirming Monterrey's qualitative advantage. Given Mazatlán's poor form and the visitors' superior offensive potential, I expect a victory for Monterrey.
Mazatlán vs Monterrey: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Mazatlán played Monterrey in Liga MX (Mexico). The match was played on 17 January 2026. Final score: 1:5.
Current form
Mazatlán: 0-2-3, 0.40 points/match. Monterrey: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Mazatlán scores 1.16 and concedes 1.74 goals per match. Monterrey scores 1.78 and concedes 1.52. League average: 2.98 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Mazatlán 74%, Monterrey 57%. Over 2.5: Mazatlán 63%, Monterrey 57%. League level: BTTS 57%, Over 2.5 55%.
xG, shots and style
Monterrey has higher xG: 1.50 vs 1.07. Mazatlán: 9.1 shots per match, Monterrey: 13.2.
Match halves
Mazatlán: half-time lead 21%, second-half goals 0.63. Monterrey: half-time lead 57%, second-half goals 0.65.
Goals by minute
Mazatlán: 76-90+ (6 goals). Monterrey: 31-45+ (16 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Liga MX: 2.98 goals per match, BTTS 57%, Over 2.5 55%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 5.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Monterrey presents much better form and statistics compared to Mazatlán. The visitors have won 12 matches this season with 41 goals scored, while the hosts have recorded only 2 victories and 22 goals. Mazatlán has not won any of their last 5 matches and has an alarming 60% draw rate at home, indicating difficulties in scoring goals. Despite a 50% loss rate away, Monterrey possesses a higher win rate (42%) and better offensive statistics with 5 shots on target per match and 54% possession. Additionally, the hosts' xG (1.14) is significantly lower than the guests' xG (1.47), confirming Monterrey's qualitative advantage. Given Mazatlán's poor form and the visitors' superior offensive potential, I expect a victory for Monterrey.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Mazatlán | Monterrey | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 33% | 39% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.38 | 0.35 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Monterrey is 200% better for: last-5 form.
0.4 pts / match - Mazatlán · 1.2 pts / match - Monterrey
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Monterrey is 53% better for: goals scored per match.
1.16 goals / match - Mazatlán · 1.78 goals / match - Monterrey
Monterrey is 14% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.74 goals / match - Mazatlán · 1.52 goals / match - Monterrey
Mazatlán scores in 74% of matches (14 of 19 matches), while Monterrey keeps a clean sheet in 30% (7 of 23 matches).
Monterrey scores in 87% of matches (20 of 23 matches), while Mazatlán keeps a clean sheet in 5% (1 of 19 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Mazatlán
Over / Under - Monterrey
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Monterrey is 115% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.89 pts / match - Mazatlán · 1.91 pts / match - Monterrey
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Mazatlán - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 21% of matches and wins 11%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Monterrey - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 57% of matches and wins 52%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.8 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | 0 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (6 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (16 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Mazatlán
Monterrey
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Liga MX).
Teams vs league
| Mazatlán | Liga | Monterrey | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.89 | 2.98 | ▲ 3.30 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 74% | 57% | • 57% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 63% | 55% | ▲ 57% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 5% | 24% | ▲ 30% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 79% | 72% | ▲ 91% |
| Goal after half-time | • 79% | 78% | ▼ 74% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Mazatlán 0 - 0 - 1 Monterrey. Average goals 5.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Mazatlán vs Monterrey?
The Liga MX match finished Mazatlán 1:5 Monterrey. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Mazatlán vs Monterrey?
Mazatlán score 1.16 goals per game on average and Monterrey 1.78. The Liga MX average is 2.98 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 55% of games. Both teams score in 74% of Mazatlán's matches and 57% of Monterrey's.
What form are Mazatlán and Monterrey in?
Over the last 5 games Mazatlán have a 0-2-3 record (0.40 points per game) and Monterrey 2-0-3 (1.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Mazatlán vs Monterrey?
The statistical background for Mazatlán vs Monterrey — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.