Mazatlán vs Pachuca: match statistics
Pachuca presents significantly better form than Mazatlán, confirmed by recent results - the visitors have won three of their last five matches, earning 2.2 points per game compared to just 0.8 for the hosts. Mazatlán has a catastrophic home record with 50% draws, 33% losses, and only 17% wins, while failing to keep a single clean sheet at home. The visitors are much more effective in attack (4.31 shots on target per match vs 3.17) and control the game better (50% possession vs 42%). Pachuca has a balanced away goal difference (0), while Mazatlán concedes an average of 2.08 goals per home match. All statistics, including higher xG values for the visitors (1.4 vs 1.11), point to an advantage for Pachuca in this encounter.
Mazatlán vs Pachuca: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Mazatlán played Pachuca in Liga MX (Mexico). The match was played on 28 February 2026. Final score: 1:0.
Current form
Mazatlán: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match. Pachuca: 3-2-0, 2.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Mazatlán scores 1.13 and concedes 1.79 goals per match. Pachuca scores 1.31 and concedes 1.12. League average: 2.93 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Mazatlán 75%, Pachuca 46%. Over 2.5: Mazatlán 63%, Pachuca 50%. League level: BTTS 57%, Over 2.5 55%.
xG, shots and style
Pachuca has higher xG: 1.44 vs 1.09. Mazatlán: 9.4 shots per match, Pachuca: 13.7.
Match halves
Mazatlán: half-time lead 17%, second-half goals 0.67. Pachuca: half-time lead 31%, second-half goals 0.58.
Goals by minute
Mazatlán: 76-90+ (7 goals). Pachuca: 31-45+ (12 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Liga MX: 2.93 goals per match, BTTS 57%, Over 2.5 55%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 1.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Pachuca presents significantly better form than Mazatlán, confirmed by recent results - the visitors have won three of their last five matches, earning 2.2 points per game compared to just 0.8 for the hosts. Mazatlán has a catastrophic home record with 50% draws, 33% losses, and only 17% wins, while failing to keep a single clean sheet at home. The visitors are much more effective in attack (4.31 shots on target per match vs 3.17) and control the game better (50% possession vs 42%). Pachuca has a balanced away goal difference (0), while Mazatlán concedes an average of 2.08 goals per home match. All statistics, including higher xG values for the visitors (1.4 vs 1.11), point to an advantage for Pachuca in this encounter.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Mazatlán | Pachuca | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 35% | 32% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.10 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.35 | 0.30 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Pachuca is 175% better for: last-5 form.
0.8 pts / match - Mazatlán · 2.2 pts / match - Pachuca
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Pachuca is 16% better for: goals scored per match.
1.13 goals / match - Mazatlán · 1.31 goals / match - Pachuca
Pachuca is 60% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.79 goals / match - Mazatlán · 1.12 goals / match - Pachuca
Mazatlán scores in 75% of matches (18 of 24 matches), while Pachuca keeps a clean sheet in 27% (7 of 26 matches).
Pachuca scores in 65% of matches (17 of 26 matches), while Mazatlán keeps a clean sheet in 4% (1 of 24 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Mazatlán
Over / Under - Pachuca
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Pachuca is 75% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.75 pts / match - Mazatlán · 1.31 pts / match - Pachuca
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Mazatlán - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 17% of matches and wins 13%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Pachuca - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 31% of matches and wins 42%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.20 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.6 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.8 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 0% | 80% |
| No goal | 80% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -7 | +2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 80% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +2 | +3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (7 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (12 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +5 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Mazatlán
Pachuca
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Liga MX).
Teams vs league
| Mazatlán | Liga | Pachuca | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.92 | 2.93 | ▼ 2.42 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 75% | 57% | ▼ 46% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 63% | 55% | ▼ 50% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 4% | 25% | ▲ 27% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 83% | 73% | ▼ 69% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 79% | 76% | ▼ 62% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Mazatlán 0 - 0 - 1 Pachuca. Average goals 1.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Mazatlán vs Pachuca?
The Liga MX match finished Mazatlán 1:0 Pachuca. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Mazatlán vs Pachuca?
Mazatlán score 1.13 goals per game on average and Pachuca 1.31. The Liga MX average is 2.93 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 55% of games. Both teams score in 75% of Mazatlán's matches and 46% of Pachuca's.
What form are Mazatlán and Pachuca in?
Over the last 5 games Mazatlán have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and Pachuca 3-2-0 (2.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Mazatlán vs Pachuca?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.