Mbeya City vs Singida Black Stars: match statistics
Statistical analysis indicates balanced chances for both teams, which speaks in favor of a draw. Mbeya City presents a poor home form with a 0% win rate and as much as 57% of matches ending in a draw at their own stadium. Despite a higher league standing (3rd place), Singida Black Stars have merely a 20% away win rate alongside a 40% draw rate on the road. Both teams hold an identical goal difference in their respective splits (-4), similar xG metrics, and comparable averages for goals scored and conceded. Their form over the last five fixtures is similar (Mbeya 1.0 PPG vs Singida 1.4 PPG), and a high percentage of matches without a goal scored for both sides (57% and 50%) suggests low offensive efficiency. These factors, combined with the hosts' tendency to draw at home, indicate a sharing of points as the most probable scenario.
Mbeya City vs Singida Black Stars: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Mbeya City played Singida Black Stars in Ligi kuu Bara (Tanzania). The match was played on 15 March 2026. Final score: 1:4.
Current form
Mbeya City: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match. Singida Black Stars: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Mbeya City scores 0.73 and concedes 1.20 goals per match. Singida Black Stars scores 0.72 and concedes 1.00. League average: 1.92 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Mbeya City 27%, Singida Black Stars 28%. Over 2.5: Mbeya City 27%, Singida Black Stars 17%. League level: BTTS 31%, Over 2.5 31%.
xG, shots and style
Singida Black Stars has higher xG: 1.42 vs 1.09. Mbeya City: 5.0 shots per match, Singida Black Stars: 3.9.
Match halves
Mbeya City: half-time lead 20%, second-half goals 0.27. Singida Black Stars: half-time lead 11%, second-half goals 0.22.
Goals by minute
Mbeya City: 16-30 (4 goals). Singida Black Stars: 0-15 (7 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Ligi kuu Bara: 1.92 goals per match, BTTS 31%, Over 2.5 31%.
Head-to-head
No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Statistical analysis indicates balanced chances for both teams, which speaks in favor of a draw. Mbeya City presents a poor home form with a 0% win rate and as much as 57% of matches ending in a draw at their own stadium. Despite a higher league standing (3rd place), Singida Black Stars have merely a 20% away win rate alongside a 40% draw rate on the road. Both teams hold an identical goal difference in their respective splits (-4), similar xG metrics, and comparable averages for goals scored and conceded. Their form over the last five fixtures is similar (Mbeya 1.0 PPG vs Singida 1.4 PPG), and a high percentage of matches without a goal scored for both sides (57% and 50%) suggests low offensive efficiency. These factors, combined with the hosts' tendency to draw at home, indicate a sharing of points as the most probable scenario.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Mbeya City | Singida Black Stars | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 33% | 29% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.22 | 0.37 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.44 | 0.65 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Singida Black Stars is 40% better for: last-5 form.
1 pts / match - Mbeya City · 1.4 pts / match - Singida Black Stars
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Singida Black Stars is 20% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.2 goals / match - Mbeya City · 1 goals / match - Singida Black Stars
Mbeya City scores in 47% of matches (7 of 15 matches), while Singida Black Stars keeps a clean sheet in 39% (7 of 18 matches).
Singida Black Stars scores in 61% of matches (11 of 18 matches), while Mbeya City keeps a clean sheet in 27% (4 of 15 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Mbeya City
Over / Under - Singida Black Stars
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Mbeya City - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 20% of matches and wins 20%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Singida Black Stars - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 11% of matches and wins 39%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 0.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 20% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 20% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (4 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (7 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Mbeya City
Singida Black Stars
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ligi kuu Bara).
Teams vs league
| Mbeya City | Liga | Singida Black Stars | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 1.93 | 1.92 | ▼ 1.72 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 27% | 31% | ▼ 28% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 27% | 31% | ▼ 17% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 27% | 42% | ▼ 39% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 67% | 51% | ▼ 22% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 67% | 59% | ▼ 33% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Away team
Other recorded players
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
- Singida Black StarsGoalMossi NduwumweAssist: Lamine Diadhiou
FAQ
What was the result of Mbeya City vs Singida Black Stars?
The Ligi kuu Bara match finished Mbeya City 1:4 Singida Black Stars. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Mbeya City vs Singida Black Stars?
Mbeya City score 0.73 goals per game on average and Singida Black Stars 0.72. The Ligi kuu Bara average is 1.92 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 31% of games. Both teams score in 27% of Mbeya City's matches and 28% of Singida Black Stars's.
What form are Mbeya City and Singida Black Stars in?
Over the last 5 games Mbeya City have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Singida Black Stars 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Mbeya City vs Singida Black Stars?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Mbeya City vs Singida Black Stars: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.