MC Alger vs El Bayadh: match statistics
MC Alger vs El Bayadh: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
MC Alger played El Bayadh in Ligue 1 (Algeria). The match was played on 9 April 2026. Final score: 3:0.
Current form
MC Alger: 4-0-1, 2.40 points/match. El Bayadh: 0-3-2, 0.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
MC Alger scores 1.30 and concedes 0.48 goals per match. El Bayadh scores 0.56 and concedes 1.28. League average: 2.15 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: MC Alger 30%, El Bayadh 40%. Over 2.5: MC Alger 30%, El Bayadh 20%. League level: BTTS 47%, Over 2.5 35%.
xG, shots and style
MC Alger has higher xG: 1.48 vs 1.42. MC Alger: 10.4 shots per match, El Bayadh: 11.0.
Match halves
MC Alger: half-time lead 26%, second-half goals 0.83. El Bayadh: half-time lead 4%, second-half goals 0.44.
Goals by minute
MC Alger: 76-90+ (8 goals). El Bayadh: 76-90+ (5 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Ligue 1: 2.15 goals per match, BTTS 47%, Over 2.5 35%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-0. Average goals 1.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
MC Alger sit 1st in the table and win 91% of home matches, with 16 wins this season and a goal record of 30:11; El Bayadh are 16th, have only 2 wins this season, a record of 14:32 and 0% away wins. In the form of the last 5 matches the home side have 4 wins and 1 loss (average 2.4 points per game), while the visitors have not won any match in that period, with 3 draws and 2 losses (average 0.6 points per game). MC Alger’s home attack averages 1.45 goals per game with 12.55 shots and 5.64 on target (conversion 12%), whereas El Bayadh score only 0.33 goals on average away with 7.33 shots and 3.67 on target (conversion 5%) and failed to score in 67% of away matches. Defensively MC Alger also perform better: they concede 0.45 goals at home on average, have 64% clean sheets and an average xG against of 0.83, while El Bayadh concede 1.42 goals away, have xG against 1.49 and only 17% clean sheets on the road. Considering the positional advantage (1 vs 16), superior efficiency and clearly better defensive record and form (2.4 vs 0.6 pts/game), I predict a home win and assess the probabilities as 80% for MC Alger, 12% for a draw and 8% for El Bayadh.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
El Bayadh has a poor away scoring record: 0.33 goals per match and 14 goals in the season, while MC Alger have 30 home goals this season and a seasonal average of 0.77 goals (rising to 1.4 in the last 5 matches). In their last 5 matches MC Alger scored 7 and conceded 3 (1.4 scored and 0.6 conceded per match), whereas El Bayadh scored 3 and conceded 6 (0.6 and 1.2), indicating a more stable home defense and weaker attacking output from the visitors. BTTS percentage stands at 46% for the home side and 33% for the away side, with a league average of 46%, so historically both teams scoring occurs in under half of matches, with a clear downturn on El Bayadh’s side. xG analysis shows MC Alger generates 1.71 xG per match, while El Bayadh concedes around 1.49 xG away; conversely El Bayadh’s xG_for is 1.11 but they actually score only 0.33 on the road, meaning the visitors fail to convert chances. Considering the visitors’ low seasonal scoring output (0.33 away), the home side’s improved recent defense (0.6 conceded in the last 5) and the lower seasonal BTTS for the visitors (33%), I predict No Goal / No BTTS as the more likely outcome.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Calculated expected goals based on xG are approximately 1.60 for the home side (MC Alger xG_for 1.71 vs El Bayadh xG_against 1.49 → average 1.60) and 1.16 for the away side (El Bayadh xG_for 1.11 vs MC Alger xG_against 1.21 → 1.16), total ≈2.76. From a Poisson distribution with λ=2.76 the probabilities are: Over 1.5 ≈76%, Over 2.5 ≈52% and Over 3.5 ≈30%, therefore the strongest signal is Over 1.5. Support comes from shot statistics: MC Alger averages 14.31 shots and 4.92 on target per match versus 7.33 and 3.67 for El Bayadh, which increases scoring likelihood. Despite low season scoring averages (0.77 homes, 0.33 away), the last 5 matches show an uptick (home average 1.4 goals and away 0.6) and higher xG, while season % of matches over 1.5 is 69% for homes and 58% for aways, further supporting Over 1.5.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The strongest signal indicates a Half-Time/Full-Time X/1: a draw at half-time and a home win after the match. Seasonally, home teams led at the break in only 8% of matches, while a draw occurs in 54% of their games and in 42% of away teams’ games, making a draw HT the most reliable scenario. The second key indicator is a home advantage in the second half — home teams average 1.15 goals after the break (AVG_2hg_home 1.15) and exceed 0.5 second-half goals in 85% of cases, versus 1.08 and 67% for away teams, suggesting a turnaround after half-time. Additionally, home teams have higher xG (1.71 vs 1.11) and more shots on average (14.31 vs 7.33), and in the last five matches home teams won 80% of games compared to 0% for away teams, which increases the likelihood of a home win in regulation. Seasonally, however, home teams score little by half-time (scoredAVGHT_home 0.23 vs 0.0 for away teams) and HT BTTS is rare (15% vs 0%), so I expect a draw at the break and the outcome after the break in favor of MC Alger.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| MC Alger | El Bayadh | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 49% | 39% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.14 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.26 | 0.13 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
MC Alger is 300% better for: last-5 form.
2.4 pts / match - MC Alger · 0.6 pts / match - El Bayadh
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
MC Alger is 132% better for: goals scored per match.
1.3 goals / match - MC Alger · 0.56 goals / match - El Bayadh
MC Alger is 167% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.48 goals / match - MC Alger · 1.28 goals / match - El Bayadh
MC Alger scores in 83% of matches (19 of 23 matches), while El Bayadh keeps a clean sheet in 20% (5 of 25 matches).
El Bayadh scores in 48% of matches (12 of 25 matches), while MC Alger keeps a clean sheet in 65% (15 of 23 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - MC Alger
Over / Under - El Bayadh
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
MC Alger is 138% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.43 pts / match - MC Alger · 0.6 pts / match - El Bayadh
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
MC Alger - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 26% of matches and wins 70%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
El Bayadh - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 4% of matches and wins 8%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.00 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 0.6 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 80% |
| No goal | 20% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +3 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (8 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (5 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): -6 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
MC Alger
El Bayadh
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ligue 1).
Teams vs league
| MC Alger | Liga | El Bayadh | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 1.78 | 2.15 | ▼ 1.84 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 30% | 47% | ▼ 40% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 30% | 35% | ▼ 20% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 65% | 31% | ▼ 20% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 48% | 61% | • 60% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 65% | 71% | ▲ 76% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: MC Alger 1 - 0 - 0 El Bayadh. Average goals 1.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of MC Alger vs El Bayadh?
The Ligue 1 match finished MC Alger 3:0 El Bayadh. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before MC Alger vs El Bayadh?
MC Alger score 1.30 goals per game on average and El Bayadh 0.56. The Ligue 1 average is 2.15 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 35% of games. Both teams score in 30% of MC Alger's matches and 40% of El Bayadh's.
What form are MC Alger and El Bayadh in?
Over the last 5 games MC Alger have a 4-0-1 record (2.40 points per game) and El Bayadh 0-3-2 (0.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for MC Alger vs El Bayadh?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for MC Alger vs El Bayadh: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.