MC Alger vs USM Alger: match statistics
MC Alger vs USM Alger: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
MC Alger played USM Alger in Ligue 1 (Algeria). The match was played on 30 March 2026. Final score: 1:0.
Current form
MC Alger: 4-1-0, 2.60 points/match. USM Alger: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
MC Alger scores 1.33 and concedes 0.43 goals per match. USM Alger scores 1.05 and concedes 0.75. League average: 2.12 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: MC Alger 29%, USM Alger 50%. Over 2.5: MC Alger 29%, USM Alger 25%. League level: BTTS 46%, Over 2.5 34%.
xG, shots and style
USM Alger has higher xG: 1.66 vs 1.49. MC Alger: 10.6 shots per match, USM Alger: 11.1.
Match halves
MC Alger: half-time lead 24%, second-half goals 0.90. USM Alger: half-time lead 30%, second-half goals 0.50.
Goals by minute
MC Alger: 76-90+ (8 goals). USM Alger: 76-90+ (5 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Ligue 1: 2.12 goals per match, BTTS 46%, Over 2.5 34%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-0. Average goals 0.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
MC Alger dominate the table and show excellent home form — 90% home wins, 60% clean sheets, 1.5 goals scored and only 0.5 conceded per home match. Hosts have higher home xG (1.67 vs 1.3), better recent run and 2.4 pts in last five, indicating quality and stability. USM Alger are 9th, draw frequently (56% away draws) and have a higher share of matches without scoring (FTS 33%), limiting their away offensive potential. Visitors register fewer SOT and lower possession, hindering chances against MC Alger’s organized defense. Based on home dominance in key metrics and consistent form, I predict an MC Alger win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Stat analysis shows moderately higher BTTS probability: home xG_for 1.89 vs away 1.30 suggests both create chances, league BTTS 46% and away seasonal BTTS 56%. Although last5 indicates weaker away finishing (gf_last5_away = 4) and both teams have decent defensive stats (seasonConcededAVG ~0.7–0.8, home CS% 45%), disparity in chance creation (shotsOnTargetAVG 7.0 vs 4.13) and higher away conversion (15% vs 7%) support both teams scoring. Home recent scoring increases pressure and chance for a reply. Considering xG balance, away BTTS history and home offensive dynamics, recommend BTTS = Yes.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
xG and shot metrics point to a moderately offensive fixture: MC Alger posts high xG (1.89) and many shots (14.18), USM creates fewer chances but is more clinical. Efficiency differences (7% vs 15%) suggest home dominance in chance volume but not full conversion. Season Over 1.5 rates (64% home, 56% away) and BTTS ~50% support at least two goals. Considering last 5 form (MC Alger 2.4 g/p) and opponent defensive coefficients, project ~1.55 goals for home and ~1.05 for away (total ~2.60). Strongest signal: Over 1.5 as best line to play.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Statistical analysis shows a strong draw signal: high HT draw percentages (especially for the away team) and a generally high share of draws over the season. A high percentage of HT clean sheets suggests few first-half goals, boosting the probability of a half-time draw. Second-half greater home activity (higher xG, more shots and better late form) gives MC Alger a chance to win, making X/1 the secondary scenario. Nevertheless, goal balance and the high share of full-time draws incline toward X/X as the most likely and safest signal.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| MC Alger | USM Alger | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 48% | 49% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.14 | 0.15 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.26 | 0.19 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
MC Alger is 160% better for: last-5 form.
2.6 pts / match - MC Alger · 1 pts / match - USM Alger
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
MC Alger is 27% better for: goals scored per match.
1.33 goals / match - MC Alger · 1.05 goals / match - USM Alger
MC Alger is 74% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.43 goals / match - MC Alger · 0.75 goals / match - USM Alger
MC Alger scores in 81% of matches (17 of 21 matches), while USM Alger keeps a clean sheet in 40% (8 of 20 matches).
USM Alger scores in 70% of matches (14 of 20 matches), while MC Alger keeps a clean sheet in 67% (14 of 21 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - MC Alger
Over / Under - USM Alger
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
MC Alger - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 24% of matches and wins 71%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
USM Alger - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 30% of matches and wins 30%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 1.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.0 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 100% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +2 | +7 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 0.2 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 20% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 100% |
| No goal | 80% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (8 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): +5 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (5 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
MC Alger
USM Alger
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ligue 1).
Teams vs league
| MC Alger | Liga | USM Alger | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 1.76 | 2.12 | ▼ 1.80 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 29% | 46% | ▲ 50% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 29% | 34% | ▼ 25% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 67% | 32% | ▲ 40% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 43% | 59% | • 60% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 67% | 72% | ▼ 55% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: MC Alger 0 - 1 - 0 USM Alger. Average goals 0.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of MC Alger vs USM Alger?
The Ligue 1 match finished MC Alger 1:0 USM Alger. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before MC Alger vs USM Alger?
MC Alger score 1.33 goals per game on average and USM Alger 1.05. The Ligue 1 average is 2.12 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 34% of games. Both teams score in 29% of MC Alger's matches and 50% of USM Alger's.
What form are MC Alger and USM Alger in?
Over the last 5 games MC Alger have a 4-1-0 record (2.60 points per game) and USM Alger 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for MC Alger vs USM Alger?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for MC Alger vs USM Alger: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.