Algeria - Ligue 1Ali La Pointe Stadium doueraData current as of 14 October 2026

MC Alger vs USM Khenchela: match statistics

Reasoning:

Full analysis and pick in the app

Check the betting analysis, pick, value bet and full reasoning for this match.

Check analysis and pick

MC Alger vs USM Khenchela: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

MC Alger play USM Khenchela in Ligue 1 (Algeria). The match date is 15 October 2026. Venue: Ali La Pointe Stadium douera.

Current form

MC Alger: 2-1-0, 2.33 points/match. USM Khenchela: 1-2-1, 1.25 points/match.

Goal statistics

MC Alger scores 1.33 and concedes 0.33 goals per match. USM Khenchela scores 0.75 and concedes 0.50. League average: 2.09 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: MC Alger 33%, USM Khenchela 25%. Over 2.5: MC Alger 0%, USM Khenchela 0%. League level: BTTS 26%, Over 2.5 26%.

xG, shots and style

MC Alger has higher xG: 1.81 vs 1.44. MC Alger: 12.7 shots per match, USM Khenchela: 10.0.

Match halves

MC Alger: half-time lead 67%, second-half goals 0.67. USM Khenchela: half-time lead 25%, second-half goals 0.50.

Goals by minute

MC Alger: 0-15 (2 goals). USM Khenchela: 31-45+ (1 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Ligue 1: 2.09 goals per match, BTTS 26%, Over 2.5 26%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 2-0-0. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 50%.

Before the match

1X2 odds

(-)
(-)
(-)

Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

MC AlgerUSM Khenchela
1.33Goals scored / match0.75
MC AlgerUSM Khenchela
0.33Goals conceded / match0.5
MC AlgerUSM Khenchela
58%Average possession41%
MC AlgerUSM Khenchela
7Shots on target / match4.5
MC AlgerUSM Khenchela

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

12.67Shots per match10
MC AlgerUSM Khenchela
7Shots on target4.5
MC AlgerUSM Khenchela
10.5%Shot conversion7.5%
MC AlgerUSM Khenchela
58%Possession41%
MC AlgerUSM Khenchela
1.81xG for1.44
MC AlgerUSM Khenchela
0.9xG against1.39
MC AlgerUSM Khenchela

Shooting quality

MC Alger: BalancedUSM Khenchela: Balanced
MC AlgerUSM Khenchela
Accuracy (shots on target)55%45%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.140.14
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.190.17

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

MC Alger is 86% better for: last-5 form.

2.33 pts / match - MC Alger · 1.25 pts / match - USM Khenchela

MC Alger
WWD
Unbeaten in the last 5 matches
Season result split
67% W33% D0% L
Season (W-D-L)
2-1-0
2.33 pts / match · goal difference +3
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-1-0
2.33 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
2-0-0
Last 5 at home
2-0-0
WW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.3Goals conceded: 0.3xG: 1.81Opponent xG: 0.90BTTS: 33%Over 2.5: 0%
USM Khenchela
DDLW
Season result split
25% W50% D25% L
Season (W-D-L)
1-2-1
1.25 pts / match · goal difference +1
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-2-1
1.25 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
0-0-1
Last 5 away
0-0-1
L
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 0.8Goals conceded: 0.5xG: 1.44Opponent xG: 1.39BTTS: 25%Over 2.5: 0%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

MC Alger is 77% better for: goals scored per match.

1.33 goals / match - MC Alger · 0.75 goals / match - USM Khenchela

MC Alger is 52% better for: goals conceded per match.

0.33 goals / match - MC Alger · 0.5 goals / match - USM Khenchela

MC Alger scoring profile: very strong

MC Alger scores in 100% of matches (3 of 3 matches), while USM Khenchela keeps a clean sheet in 50% (2 of 4 matches).

USM Khenchela scoring profile: more difficult

USM Khenchela scores in 50% of matches (2 of 4 matches), while MC Alger keeps a clean sheet in 67% (2 of 3 matches).

4Goals scored (season)3
MC AlgerUSM Khenchela
1Goals conceded (season)2
MC AlgerUSM Khenchela
1.67Average goals in match1.25
MC AlgerUSM Khenchela
4Goals scored (last 5)3
MC AlgerUSM Khenchela
1Goals conceded (last 5)2
MC AlgerUSM Khenchela

How often they score at least...

100%1 goal50%
MC AlgerUSM Khenchela
33%2 goals25%
MC AlgerUSM Khenchela
0%3 goals0%
MC AlgerUSM Khenchela
0%4 goals0%
MC AlgerUSM Khenchela

How often they concede at least...

33%1 goal50%
MC AlgerUSM Khenchela
0%2 goals0%
MC AlgerUSM Khenchela
0%3 goals0%
MC AlgerUSM Khenchela
0%4 goals0%
MC AlgerUSM Khenchela

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

26%
League average

Goal patterns

0%BTTS at half-time0%
MC AlgerUSM Khenchela
0%BTTS in both halves0%
MC AlgerUSM Khenchela
33%Scored in both halves25%
MC AlgerUSM Khenchela

BTTS and goal count

0%Min. 3 goals and BTTS0%
MC AlgerUSM Khenchela
0%Min. 3 goals without BTTS0%
MC AlgerUSM Khenchela
33%BTTS - last 525%
MC AlgerUSM Khenchela

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

67%Min. 1 goal before half-time25%
MC AlgerUSM Khenchela
0%Min. 2 goals before half-time0%
MC AlgerUSM Khenchela
0%Min. 3 goals before half-time0%
MC AlgerUSM Khenchela

2nd half

100%Min. 1 goal after half-time75%
MC AlgerUSM Khenchela
0%Min. 2 goals after half-time25%
MC AlgerUSM Khenchela
0%Min. 3 goals after half-time0%
MC AlgerUSM Khenchela

Match halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

MC Alger is 55% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

2.33 pts / match - MC Alger · 1.5 pts / match - USM Khenchela

MC Alger - half-time state
67% leading33% draw0% trailing
USM Khenchela - half-time state
25% leading75% draw0% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

2.33Points per match (1st half)1.5
MC AlgerUSM Khenchela
0.67Goals scored (1st half)0.25
MC AlgerUSM Khenchela
0Goals conceded (1st half)0
MC AlgerUSM Khenchela
0.67Average goals (1st half)0.25
MC AlgerUSM Khenchela
100%Clean sheet before half-time100%
MC AlgerUSM Khenchela
33%No goal before half-time75%
MC AlgerUSM Khenchela

After half-time (2nd half)

2Points per match (2nd half)1.25
MC AlgerUSM Khenchela
0.67Goals scored (2nd half)0.5
MC AlgerUSM Khenchela
0.33Goals conceded (2nd half)0.5
MC AlgerUSM Khenchela
1Average goals (2nd half)1
MC AlgerUSM Khenchela
67%Clean sheet after half-time50%
MC AlgerUSM Khenchela
33%No goal after half-time50%
MC AlgerUSM Khenchela

MC Alger - second-half results

67% W0% D33% L
7
Half-time points
2
Half-time goals
+2
Goal difference (1st half)
6
Second-half points
+1
Goal difference (2nd half)
2.33
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at half-time in 67% of matches and wins 67%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.3

Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

USM Khenchela - second-half results

25% W50% D25% L
6
Half-time points
1
Half-time goals
+1
Goal difference (1st half)
5
Second-half points
0
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.50
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at half-time in 25% of matches and wins 25%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.5

Concedes 0.5 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

MC Alger - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match2.332.00
Goals scored / match0.70.7
Goals conceded / match0.00.3
Average goals in match0.71.0
1 goal67%100%
2 goals0%0%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet100%67%
No goal33%33%
Goal difference+2+1
Half-time: 67% leading - 33% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 67% won - 0% draw - 33% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 2
USM Khenchela - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.501.25
Goals scored / match0.30.5
Goals conceded / match0.00.5
Average goals in match0.31.0
1 goal25%75%
2 goals0%25%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet100%50%
No goal75%50%
Goal difference+10
Half-time: 25% leading - 75% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 25% won - 50% draw - 25% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 1

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

MC Alger
ScoredConceded
2
0
0-15
0
0
16-30
0
0
31-45
0
1
46-60
1
0
61-75
1
0
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (2 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (1). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.

USM Khenchela
ScoredConceded
0
0
0-15
0
0
16-30
1
0
31-45
1
0
46-60
1
0
61-75
0
2
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (1 goal). Concedes most in 76-90 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

1.46
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
0.9 : 0.5
Estimated goal split
home : away
70%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
29%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+37%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
50%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
0%
0:0 risk
practically zero
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

MC Alger

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.91
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.09
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-1.5 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.48
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.57
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
94%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
49%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
0.00
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
0.0
Late goals
25% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 50% come in the first quarter-hour.
25%

USM Khenchela

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.05
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.20
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-3.3 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.69
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.89
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
110%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
35%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
0.00
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.3
Late goals
0% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 0% come in the first quarter-hour.
0%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ligue 1).

Teams vs league

MC AlgerLigaUSM Khenchela
Average goals in match▼ 1.672.09▼ 1.25
Both teams scored▲ 33%26%• 25%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▼ 0%26%▼ 0%
Clean sheets▲ 67%43%▲ 50%
Goal before half-time▲ 67%47%▼ 25%
Goal after half-time▲ 100%79%▼ 75%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.09
Average goals per match
26%
Both teams scored
26%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
43%
Clean sheets
1.41
Home goals / match
0.68
Away goals / match
+107%
Home attack advantage
+52%
Home defence advantage
+29%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
47%
1 goal
15%
2 goals
9%
3 goals
3%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
79%
1 goal
32%
2 goals
15%
3 goals
6%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Recent meetings (2): MC Alger 2 - 0 - 0 USM Khenchela. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 50% matches.

MC Alger
2 : 1
USM Khenchela
USM Khenchela
0 : 1
MC Alger

FAQ

When do MC Alger and USM Khenchela play?

MC Alger face USM Khenchela on 15 October 2026 in Ligue 1 at Ali La Pointe Stadium douera. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between MC Alger and USM Khenchela?

In the last 2 head-to-head matches MC Alger won 2, USM Khenchela won 0 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before MC Alger vs USM Khenchela?

MC Alger score 1.33 goals per game on average and USM Khenchela 0.75. The Ligue 1 average is 2.09 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 26% of games. Both teams score in 33% of MC Alger's matches and 25% of USM Khenchela's.

What form are MC Alger and USM Khenchela in?

Over the last 5 games MC Alger have a 2-1-0 record (2.33 points per game) and USM Khenchela 1-2-1 (1.25 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for MC Alger vs USM Khenchela?

This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.