Mebrat Hayl vs Ethiopia Nigd Bank: match statistics
Mebrat Hayl presents impressive home form with a 57% win rate and conceding just 0.14 goals on average per home match, making their stadium a true fortress. The hosts boast 86% clean sheets in home games and a positive goal difference of +5, while Ethiopia Nigd Bank has not won a single away match this season (0% Win%). The visitors have a tendency to draw on the road (71% Draw%), which explains the high probability of a split in points. Despite the visitors' better recent form (1.8 PPG vs 1.2 PPG), their complete lack of away wins and weak defense (conceding 1.43 goals on average) favor the hosts. Considering all statistics, I expect a tight victory for Mebrat Hayl or potentially a draw, but the defensive solidity of the hosts gives them the edge.
Mebrat Hayl vs Ethiopia Nigd Bank: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Mebrat Hayl played Ethiopia Nigd Bank in Ethiopia Premier League (Ethiopia). The match was played on 16 January 2026. Final score: 2:1.
Current form
Mebrat Hayl: 1-3-1, 1.20 points/match. Ethiopia Nigd Bank: 2-3-0, 1.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Mebrat Hayl scores 0.57 and concedes 0.36 goals per match. Ethiopia Nigd Bank scores 1.14 and concedes 1.07. League average: 1.70 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Mebrat Hayl 14%, Ethiopia Nigd Bank 71%. Over 2.5: Mebrat Hayl 7%, Ethiopia Nigd Bank 36%. League level: BTTS 42%, Over 2.5 27%.
xG, shots and style
Ethiopia Nigd Bank has higher xG: 1.18 vs 1.09. Mebrat Hayl: 7.3 shots per match, Ethiopia Nigd Bank: 7.1.
Match halves
Mebrat Hayl: half-time lead 0%, second-half goals 0.57. Ethiopia Nigd Bank: half-time lead 21%, second-half goals 0.64.
Goals by minute
Mebrat Hayl: 46-60 (5 goals). Ethiopia Nigd Bank: 76-90+ (5 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Ethiopia Premier League: 1.70 goals per match, BTTS 42%, Over 2.5 27%.
Head-to-head
No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Mebrat Hayl presents impressive home form with a 57% win rate and conceding just 0.14 goals on average per home match, making their stadium a true fortress. The hosts boast 86% clean sheets in home games and a positive goal difference of +5, while Ethiopia Nigd Bank has not won a single away match this season (0% Win%). The visitors have a tendency to draw on the road (71% Draw%), which explains the high probability of a split in points. Despite the visitors' better recent form (1.8 PPG vs 1.2 PPG), their complete lack of away wins and weak defense (conceding 1.43 goals on average) favor the hosts. Considering all statistics, I expect a tight victory for Mebrat Hayl or potentially a draw, but the defensive solidity of the hosts gives them the edge.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Mebrat Hayl | Ethiopia Nigd Bank | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 26% | 37% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.15 | 0.17 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.30 | 0.43 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Ethiopia Nigd Bank is 50% better for: last-5 form.
1.2 pts / match - Mebrat Hayl · 1.8 pts / match - Ethiopia Nigd Bank
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Ethiopia Nigd Bank is 100% better for: goals scored per match.
0.57 goals / match - Mebrat Hayl · 1.14 goals / match - Ethiopia Nigd Bank
Mebrat Hayl is 197% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.36 goals / match - Mebrat Hayl · 1.07 goals / match - Ethiopia Nigd Bank
Mebrat Hayl scores in 43% of matches (6 of 14 matches), while Ethiopia Nigd Bank keeps a clean sheet in 21% (3 of 14 matches).
Ethiopia Nigd Bank scores in 79% of matches (11 of 14 matches), while Mebrat Hayl keeps a clean sheet in 71% (10 of 14 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Mebrat Hayl
Over / Under - Ethiopia Nigd Bank
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Ethiopia Nigd Bank is 24% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.86 pts / match - Mebrat Hayl · 1.07 pts / match - Ethiopia Nigd Bank
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Mebrat Hayl - second-half results
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Ethiopia Nigd Bank - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 21% of matches and wins 21%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 0.0 | 0.4 |
| 1 goal | 0% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 80% |
| No goal | 100% | 80% |
| Goal difference | 0 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 2.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 80% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +4 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (5 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (5 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Mebrat Hayl
Ethiopia Nigd Bank
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ethiopia Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Mebrat Hayl | Liga | Ethiopia Nigd Bank | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 0.93 | 1.70 | ▲ 2.21 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 14% | 42% | ▲ 71% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 7% | 27% | ▲ 36% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 71% | 40% | ▼ 21% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 14% | 55% | ▲ 86% |
| Goal after half-time | • 57% | 57% | • 57% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
FAQ
What was the result of Mebrat Hayl vs Ethiopia Nigd Bank?
The Ethiopia Premier League match finished Mebrat Hayl 2:1 Ethiopia Nigd Bank. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Mebrat Hayl vs Ethiopia Nigd Bank?
Mebrat Hayl score 0.57 goals per game on average and Ethiopia Nigd Bank 1.14. The Ethiopia Premier League average is 1.70 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 27% of games. Both teams score in 14% of Mebrat Hayl's matches and 71% of Ethiopia Nigd Bank's.
What form are Mebrat Hayl and Ethiopia Nigd Bank in?
Over the last 5 games Mebrat Hayl have a 1-3-1 record (1.20 points per game) and Ethiopia Nigd Bank 2-3-0 (1.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Mebrat Hayl vs Ethiopia Nigd Bank?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.