Mebrat Hayl vs Sidama Bunna: match statistics
Sidama Bunna sits in first place in the table and presents significantly better offensive form with 24 goals this season compared to Mebrat Hayl's mere 11. The visitors win 44% of their away matches and have a higher shot conversion rate (18% vs 15%), indicating greater efficiency. While Mebrat Hayl boasts a solid home record (56% wins and 78% clean sheets), the recent form of both teams is similar (PPG 1.0 vs 1.2), and the hosts' poor scoring efficiency (44% FTS%) could be a problem. Taking into account the league leader's quality, as well as the advantage in xG and average goals per match, Sidama Bunna has a real chance of winning, although the hosts' solid defense could lead to a draw.
Mebrat Hayl vs Sidama Bunna: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Mebrat Hayl played Sidama Bunna in Ethiopia Premier League (Ethiopia). The match was played on 4 February 2026. Final score: 0:0.
Current form
Mebrat Hayl: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match. Sidama Bunna: 1-3-1, 1.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Mebrat Hayl scores 0.61 and concedes 0.56 goals per match. Sidama Bunna scores 1.33 and concedes 0.56. League average: 1.71 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Mebrat Hayl 22%, Sidama Bunna 39%. Over 2.5: Mebrat Hayl 17%, Sidama Bunna 28%. League level: BTTS 41%, Over 2.5 27%.
xG, shots and style
Sidama Bunna has higher xG: 1.36 vs 1.12. Mebrat Hayl: 7.1 shots per match, Sidama Bunna: 8.3.
Match halves
Mebrat Hayl: half-time lead 6%, second-half goals 0.56. Sidama Bunna: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 0.78.
Goals by minute
Mebrat Hayl: 46-60 (6 goals). Sidama Bunna: 16-30 (5 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Ethiopia Premier League: 1.71 goals per match, BTTS 41%, Over 2.5 27%.
Head-to-head
No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Sidama Bunna sits in first place in the table and presents significantly better offensive form with 24 goals this season compared to Mebrat Hayl's mere 11. The visitors win 44% of their away matches and have a higher shot conversion rate (18% vs 15%), indicating greater efficiency. While Mebrat Hayl boasts a solid home record (56% wins and 78% clean sheets), the recent form of both teams is similar (PPG 1.0 vs 1.2), and the hosts' poor scoring efficiency (44% FTS%) could be a problem. Taking into account the league leader's quality, as well as the advantage in xG and average goals per match, Sidama Bunna has a real chance of winning, although the hosts' solid defense could lead to a draw.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Mebrat Hayl | Sidama Bunna | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 27% | 40% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.16 | 0.16 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.32 | 0.40 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Sidama Bunna is 20% better for: last-5 form.
1 pts / match - Mebrat Hayl · 1.2 pts / match - Sidama Bunna
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Sidama Bunna is 118% better for: goals scored per match.
0.61 goals / match - Mebrat Hayl · 1.33 goals / match - Sidama Bunna
Mebrat Hayl scores in 44% of matches (8 of 18 matches), while Sidama Bunna keeps a clean sheet in 50% (9 of 18 matches).
Sidama Bunna scores in 72% of matches (13 of 18 matches), while Mebrat Hayl keeps a clean sheet in 61% (11 of 18 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Mebrat Hayl
Over / Under - Sidama Bunna
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Sidama Bunna is 60% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.94 pts / match - Mebrat Hayl · 1.5 pts / match - Sidama Bunna
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Mebrat Hayl - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 6% of matches and wins 33%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Sidama Bunna - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 50%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +3 | -1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (6 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (5 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Mebrat Hayl
Sidama Bunna
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ethiopia Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Mebrat Hayl | Liga | Sidama Bunna | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 1.17 | 1.71 | ▲ 1.89 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 22% | 41% | ▼ 39% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 17% | 27% | • 28% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 61% | 41% | ▲ 50% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 22% | 54% | ▲ 61% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 61% | 57% | ▲ 61% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
FAQ
What was the result of Mebrat Hayl vs Sidama Bunna?
The Ethiopia Premier League match finished Mebrat Hayl 0:0 Sidama Bunna. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Mebrat Hayl vs Sidama Bunna?
Mebrat Hayl score 0.61 goals per game on average and Sidama Bunna 1.33. The Ethiopia Premier League average is 1.71 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 27% of games. Both teams score in 22% of Mebrat Hayl's matches and 39% of Sidama Bunna's.
What form are Mebrat Hayl and Sidama Bunna in?
Over the last 5 games Mebrat Hayl have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Sidama Bunna 1-3-1 (1.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Mebrat Hayl vs Sidama Bunna?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.