Mebrat Hayl vs Welayta Dicha: match statistics
Mebrat Hayl presents a decisive advantage in home matches with an impressive record of 63% wins and merely 0% losses at home. The hosts can boast an excellent defense at their own stadium, conceding on average only 0.25 goals per match and keeping a clean sheet in 75% of fixtures. Welayta Dicha finds themselves in dismal away form—they have not won a single match on the road this season (0% victories) and have lost half of all matches as guests. Additionally, Welayta Dicha have never kept a clean sheet away and concede an average of 1.38 goals per match, which, combined with weak offensive efficiency (0.75 goals per match), puts them in a very difficult situation. Taking into account the goal difference (+6 for the hosts in home matches versus -5 for the visitors away) and the form of both teams, Mebrat Hayl has clear chances of achieving a victory in front of their own crowd.
Mebrat Hayl vs Welayta Dicha: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Mebrat Hayl played Welayta Dicha in Ethiopia Premier League (Ethiopia). The match was played on 26 January 2026. Final score: 0:0.
Current form
Mebrat Hayl: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match. Welayta Dicha: 0-4-1, 0.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Mebrat Hayl scores 0.69 and concedes 0.50 goals per match. Welayta Dicha scores 0.94 and concedes 1.19. League average: 1.76 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Mebrat Hayl 25%, Welayta Dicha 69%. Over 2.5: Mebrat Hayl 19%, Welayta Dicha 38%. League level: BTTS 42%, Over 2.5 29%.
xG, shots and style
Welayta Dicha has higher xG: 1.42 vs 1.12. Mebrat Hayl: 7.1 shots per match, Welayta Dicha: 9.1.
Match halves
Mebrat Hayl: half-time lead 6%, second-half goals 0.63. Welayta Dicha: half-time lead 13%, second-half goals 0.63.
Goals by minute
Mebrat Hayl: 46-60 (6 goals). Welayta Dicha: 61-75 (4 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Ethiopia Premier League: 1.76 goals per match, BTTS 42%, Over 2.5 29%.
Head-to-head
No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Mebrat Hayl presents a decisive advantage in home matches with an impressive record of 63% wins and merely 0% losses at home. The hosts can boast an excellent defense at their own stadium, conceding on average only 0.25 goals per match and keeping a clean sheet in 75% of fixtures. Welayta Dicha finds themselves in dismal away form—they have not won a single match on the road this season (0% victories) and have lost half of all matches as guests. Additionally, Welayta Dicha have never kept a clean sheet away and concede an average of 1.38 goals per match, which, combined with weak offensive efficiency (0.75 goals per match), puts them in a very difficult situation. Taking into account the goal difference (+6 for the hosts in home matches versus -5 for the visitors away) and the form of both teams, Mebrat Hayl has clear chances of achieving a victory in front of their own crowd.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Mebrat Hayl | Welayta Dicha | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 29% | 38% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.16 | 0.16 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.33 | 0.27 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Mebrat Hayl is 25% better for: last-5 form.
1 pts / match - Mebrat Hayl · 0.8 pts / match - Welayta Dicha
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Welayta Dicha is 36% better for: goals scored per match.
0.69 goals / match - Mebrat Hayl · 0.94 goals / match - Welayta Dicha
Mebrat Hayl is 138% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.5 goals / match - Mebrat Hayl · 1.19 goals / match - Welayta Dicha
Mebrat Hayl scores in 50% of matches (8 of 16 matches), while Welayta Dicha keeps a clean sheet in 13% (2 of 16 matches).
Welayta Dicha scores in 69% of matches (11 of 16 matches), while Mebrat Hayl keeps a clean sheet in 63% (10 of 16 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Mebrat Hayl
Over / Under - Welayta Dicha
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Mebrat Hayl is 7% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.94 pts / match - Mebrat Hayl · 0.88 pts / match - Welayta Dicha
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Mebrat Hayl - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 6% of matches and wins 38%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Welayta Dicha - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 13% of matches and wins 13%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -1 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (6 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (4 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Mebrat Hayl
Welayta Dicha
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ethiopia Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Mebrat Hayl | Liga | Welayta Dicha | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 1.19 | 1.76 | ▲ 2.13 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 25% | 42% | ▲ 69% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 19% | 29% | ▲ 38% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 63% | 40% | ▼ 13% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 25% | 57% | ▲ 63% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 63% | 57% | ▲ 81% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
FAQ
What was the result of Mebrat Hayl vs Welayta Dicha?
The Ethiopia Premier League match finished Mebrat Hayl 0:0 Welayta Dicha. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Mebrat Hayl vs Welayta Dicha?
Mebrat Hayl score 0.69 goals per game on average and Welayta Dicha 0.94. The Ethiopia Premier League average is 1.76 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 29% of games. Both teams score in 25% of Mebrat Hayl's matches and 69% of Welayta Dicha's.
What form are Mebrat Hayl and Welayta Dicha in?
Over the last 5 games Mebrat Hayl have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Welayta Dicha 0-4-1 (0.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Mebrat Hayl vs Welayta Dicha?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.