Mebrat Hayl vs Welwalo Adigrat Uni: match statistics
Mebrat Hayl is showcasing impressive home form, boasting a 67% win rate and remaining unbeaten at their own ground with 0% losses. The hosts are extremely solid defensively on home turf, conceding an average of just 0.17 goals per game and keeping clean sheets in 83% of their fixtures. Welwalo Adigrat Uni sits in the relegation zone (19th place) with a dismal away record – suffering 60% defeats and managing only 20% wins on the road. The visitors concede an average of 1.2 goals per away game, which significantly diminishes their chances when facing the hosts' resolute defense. The disparity in quality, league position, and home/away statistics clearly points to a Mebrat Hayl victory, although a draw remains a possibility given the hosts' recent streak of three draws.
Mebrat Hayl vs Welwalo Adigrat Uni: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Mebrat Hayl played Welwalo Adigrat Uni in Ethiopia Premier League (Ethiopia). The match was played on 3 January 2026. Final score: 0:0.
Current form
Mebrat Hayl: 1-3-1, 1.20 points/match. Welwalo Adigrat Uni: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Mebrat Hayl scores 0.67 and concedes 0.42 goals per match. Welwalo Adigrat Uni scores 0.54 and concedes 1.38. League average: 1.79 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Mebrat Hayl 17%, Welwalo Adigrat Uni 38%. Over 2.5: Mebrat Hayl 8%, Welwalo Adigrat Uni 31%. League level: BTTS 44%, Over 2.5 29%.
xG, shots and style
Mebrat Hayl has higher xG: 1.12 vs 1.04. Mebrat Hayl: 7.2 shots per match, Welwalo Adigrat Uni: 5.2.
Match halves
Mebrat Hayl: half-time lead 0%, second-half goals 0.67. Welwalo Adigrat Uni: half-time lead 15%, second-half goals 0.23.
Goals by minute
Mebrat Hayl: 46-60 (5 goals). Welwalo Adigrat Uni: 16-30 (2 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Ethiopia Premier League: 1.79 goals per match, BTTS 44%, Over 2.5 29%.
Head-to-head
No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Mebrat Hayl is showcasing impressive home form, boasting a 67% win rate and remaining unbeaten at their own ground with 0% losses. The hosts are extremely solid defensively on home turf, conceding an average of just 0.17 goals per game and keeping clean sheets in 83% of their fixtures. Welwalo Adigrat Uni sits in the relegation zone (19th place) with a dismal away record – suffering 60% defeats and managing only 20% wins on the road. The visitors concede an average of 1.2 goals per away game, which significantly diminishes their chances when facing the hosts' resolute defense. The disparity in quality, league position, and home/away statistics clearly points to a Mebrat Hayl victory, although a draw remains a possibility given the hosts' recent streak of three draws.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Mebrat Hayl | Welwalo Adigrat Uni | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 27% | 40% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.16 | 0.20 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.35 | 0.26 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Welwalo Adigrat Uni is 33% better for: last-5 form.
1.2 pts / match - Mebrat Hayl · 1.6 pts / match - Welwalo Adigrat Uni
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Mebrat Hayl is 24% better for: goals scored per match.
0.67 goals / match - Mebrat Hayl · 0.54 goals / match - Welwalo Adigrat Uni
Mebrat Hayl is 229% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.42 goals / match - Mebrat Hayl · 1.38 goals / match - Welwalo Adigrat Uni
Mebrat Hayl scores in 50% of matches (6 of 12 matches), while Welwalo Adigrat Uni keeps a clean sheet in 23% (3 of 13 matches).
Welwalo Adigrat Uni scores in 46% of matches (6 of 13 matches), while Mebrat Hayl keeps a clean sheet in 67% (8 of 12 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Mebrat Hayl
Over / Under - Welwalo Adigrat Uni
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Welwalo Adigrat Uni is 20% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.83 pts / match - Mebrat Hayl · 1 pts / match - Welwalo Adigrat Uni
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Mebrat Hayl - second-half results
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Welwalo Adigrat Uni - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 15% of matches and wins 15%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| 1 goal | 20% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 80% |
| No goal | 100% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 0.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 20% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 100% |
| No goal | 60% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (5 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (2 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Mebrat Hayl
Welwalo Adigrat Uni
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ethiopia Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Mebrat Hayl | Liga | Welwalo Adigrat Uni | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 1.08 | 1.79 | ▲ 1.92 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 17% | 44% | ▼ 38% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 8% | 29% | ▲ 31% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 67% | 37% | ▼ 23% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 17% | 58% | ▲ 62% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 67% | 61% | ▼ 46% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
FAQ
What was the result of Mebrat Hayl vs Welwalo Adigrat Uni?
The Ethiopia Premier League match finished Mebrat Hayl 0:0 Welwalo Adigrat Uni. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Mebrat Hayl vs Welwalo Adigrat Uni?
Mebrat Hayl score 0.67 goals per game on average and Welwalo Adigrat Uni 0.54. The Ethiopia Premier League average is 1.79 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 29% of games. Both teams score in 17% of Mebrat Hayl's matches and 38% of Welwalo Adigrat Uni's.
What form are Mebrat Hayl and Welwalo Adigrat Uni in?
Over the last 5 games Mebrat Hayl have a 1-3-1 record (1.20 points per game) and Welwalo Adigrat Uni 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Mebrat Hayl vs Welwalo Adigrat Uni?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.