Meizhou Hakka vs Changchun Yatai: match statistics
Meizhou Hakka vs Changchun Yatai: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Meizhou Hakka played Changchun Yatai in China League One (China). The match was played on 5 July 2026. Venue: Huitang Stadium. Final score: 1:3.
Current form
Meizhou Hakka: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match. Changchun Yatai: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Meizhou Hakka scores 1.00 and concedes 1.83 goals per match. Changchun Yatai scores 1.42 and concedes 1.75. League average: 2.53 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Meizhou Hakka 50%, Changchun Yatai 75%. Over 2.5: Meizhou Hakka 67%, Changchun Yatai 83%. League level: BTTS 54%, Over 2.5 50%.
xG, shots and style
Changchun Yatai has higher xG: 1.25 vs 1.05. Meizhou Hakka: 7.9 shots per match, Changchun Yatai: 10.0.
Match halves
Meizhou Hakka: half-time lead 17%, second-half goals 0.58. Changchun Yatai: half-time lead 17%, second-half goals 0.67.
Goals by minute
Meizhou Hakka: 61-75 (3 goals). Changchun Yatai: 31-45+ (7 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
China League One: 2.53 goals per match, BTTS 54%, Over 2.5 50%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-2. Average goals 2.50, BTTS 50%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
I favor Changchun Yatai (2) due to superior attacking efficiency: the visitors average 1.67 goals away, while Meizhou Hakka score 1.00 at home, and the visitors’ shot conversion is 18% versus the hosts’ 12%. Additionally, Changchun register more shots and shots on target (9.33 and 3.33) than Meizhou at home (8.33 and 2.83) and have a slightly higher xG (1.20 vs 1.09), indicating higher-quality chances. Defense could be decisive — Meizhou concede 2.50 goals per home match on average, while Changchun concede 1.83 away, giving the visitors a defensive edge; on the other hand, in the last 5 matches Meizhou have scored 8 goals and average 1.6 points per game versus Changchun’s 6 goals and 1.0 points per game. Considering the seasonal attacking advantage of the visitors and the hosts’ weaker defense, I back an away win, although I expect an open game with a higher goal count (combined average 3.5).
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Both teams have high seasonal BTTS rates: Meizhou 67% and Changchun 83%, with BTTS in 80% of their last 5 matches. Meizhou averages 1.17 goals scored and concedes 1.67, while Changchun scores 1.67 and concedes 1.83, yielding a combined average of ~2.84 goals per match versus the league average of 2.53. xG indicates Meizhou has xG 1.31 with xG against 1.45, and Changchun 1.20 with xG against 1.14, so both sides generate and concede chances (xG ~1.2–1.45). Additionally, Changchun has 0% clean sheets this season and Meizhou only 17%, and in the last 5 matches Meizhou concedes 1.2 goals on average while Changchun concedes 2.0, which increases the likelihood both teams will score. Based on this, the Goal/Goal scenario is clearly stronger, hence the recommendation BTTS - Yes (approx. 80% vs 20%).
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Average attacking xG is 1.31 for Meizhou and 1.20 for Changchun, while xG conceded is 1.45 and 1.14 respectively; simple averaging (1.31+1.14)/2 and (1.20+1.45)/2 yields predicted 1.23 goals for the home side and 1.33 for the away side, totaling 2.56 expected goals. Seasonally both teams have a high share of Over 2.5 goals matches: 83% for Meizhou and 83% for Changchun, and in the last 5 matches the over2.5 rate was 60% (home) and 80% (away), with combined L5 xG equal to 1.34+1.32=2.66 and 14 goals scored (8+6). Additionally BTTS occurs in 67% of Meizhou’s games and 83% of Changchun’s games, increasing the likelihood of at least one goal from each side. A theoretical Poisson distribution for λ=2.56 would give about a 47% chance of at least 3 goals, but accounting for the seasonal 83% over2.5 and recent form I adjusted the estimate to roughly 76% for Over 2.5. On this basis I recommend backing Over 2.5 as the strongest and most probable signal.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
A draw at half-time is the most likely outcome — the home side have been level at the break in 67% of their matches and the visitors in 50%, yielding an average of about a 59% probability for an HT draw. After the break the hosts are favoured: seasonally they average 1.5 points per match versus 1.17 for the visitors, and in the last five matches they averaged 1.6 points per match versus 1.0 for Changchun. Meizhou also generates more quality chances (xG 1.31 vs 1.20 and 4.33 shots on target vs 3.33) and in the last five games collected an average of 2.2 points in second halves with a 60% rate of winning second halves, whereas the visitors had 0.4 points and a 0% second-half win rate. On that basis the Half-Time/Full-Time scenario of a draw at the break and a home victory (X/1) looks strongest.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Meizhou Hakka | Changchun Yatai | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 36% | 38% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.35 | 0.37 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Meizhou Hakka is 14% better for: last-5 form.
1.6 pts / match - Meizhou Hakka · 1.4 pts / match - Changchun Yatai
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Changchun Yatai is 42% better for: goals scored per match.
1 goals / match - Meizhou Hakka · 1.42 goals / match - Changchun Yatai
Changchun Yatai is 5% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.83 goals / match - Meizhou Hakka · 1.75 goals / match - Changchun Yatai
Meizhou Hakka scores in 67% of matches (8 of 12 matches), while Changchun Yatai keeps a clean sheet in 8% (1 of 12 matches).
Changchun Yatai scores in 83% of matches (10 of 12 matches), while Meizhou Hakka keeps a clean sheet in 17% (2 of 12 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Meizhou Hakka
Over / Under - Changchun Yatai
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Changchun Yatai is 61% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.67 pts / match - Meizhou Hakka · 1.08 pts / match - Changchun Yatai
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Meizhou Hakka - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 17% of matches and wins 33%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Changchun Yatai - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 17% of matches and wins 42%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 20% | 60% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.2 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 2.0 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 80% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 20% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -2 | -1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (3 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (7 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Meizhou Hakka
Changchun Yatai
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (China League One).
Teams vs league
| Meizhou Hakka | Liga | Changchun Yatai | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.83 | 2.53 | ▲ 3.17 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 50% | 54% | ▲ 75% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 67% | 50% | ▲ 83% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 17% | 28% | ▼ 8% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 92% | 72% | ▲ 83% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 83% | 72% | ▲ 75% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Meizhou Hakka 0 - 0 - 2 Changchun Yatai. Average goals 2.50, both teams scored in 50% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Meizhou Hakka vs Changchun Yatai?
The China League One match finished Meizhou Hakka 1:3 Changchun Yatai. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Meizhou Hakka and Changchun Yatai?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Meizhou Hakka won 0, Changchun Yatai won 2 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 2.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Meizhou Hakka vs Changchun Yatai?
Meizhou Hakka score 1.00 goals per game on average and Changchun Yatai 1.42. The China League One average is 2.53 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 50% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Meizhou Hakka's matches and 75% of Changchun Yatai's.
What form are Meizhou Hakka and Changchun Yatai in?
Over the last 5 games Meizhou Hakka have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Changchun Yatai 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Meizhou Hakka vs Changchun Yatai?
The statistical background for Meizhou Hakka vs Changchun Yatai — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.