Meizhou Hakka vs Heilongjiang Lava Spring: match statistics
Meizhou Hakka vs Heilongjiang Lava Spring: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Meizhou Hakka played Heilongjiang Lava Spring in China League One (China). The match was played on 30 May 2026. Venue: Huitang Stadium. Final score: 0:0.
Current form
Meizhou Hakka: 1-0-4, 0.60 points/match. Heilongjiang Lava Spring: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Meizhou Hakka scores 0.67 and concedes 2.00 goals per match. Heilongjiang Lava Spring scores 1.33 and concedes 1.11. League average: 2.26 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Meizhou Hakka 33%, Heilongjiang Lava Spring 89%. Over 2.5: Meizhou Hakka 67%, Heilongjiang Lava Spring 33%. League level: BTTS 47%, Over 2.5 43%.
xG, shots and style
Heilongjiang Lava Spring has higher xG: 1.27 vs 0.92. Meizhou Hakka: 6.6 shots per match, Heilongjiang Lava Spring: 9.8.
Match halves
Meizhou Hakka: half-time lead 11%, second-half goals 0.44. Heilongjiang Lava Spring: half-time lead 22%, second-half goals 0.89.
Goals by minute
Meizhou Hakka: 61-75 (2 goals). Heilongjiang Lava Spring: 46-60 (3 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
China League One: 2.26 goals per match, BTTS 47%, Over 2.5 43%.
Head-to-head
No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Heilongjiang Lava Spring (6th) shows clearly better numbers than Meizhou Hakka (14th): the visitors have scored 12 goals this season versus the hosts' 6, and goal difference on the road is +2 for the visitors versus -9 for the hosts at home. In attack the visitors average 1.25 goals away with xG 1.05, have a 16% conversion rate and average 4 shots on target per game, while the hosts score 0.8 goals at home with xG 1.0, 12% conversion and 2.8 shots on target. The hosts concede as much as 2.6 goals per home game and have kept 0% clean sheets, whereas the visitors concede only 0.75 goals per away game and have 25% clean sheets, indicating a significant defensive advantage for the visitors. In the last 5 matches the hosts have a record of 1 win and 4 losses with 3:11 goals and 0.6 points per game, while the visitors have 1 win, 2 draws and 2 losses with a 7:9 goal record and 1.0 point per game; given better efficiency, a higher volume of chances (8 vs 6.8 average shots) and a more stable defense, I tip a visitors' win (65%), draw 20%, hosts 15%.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Statistical analysis indicates a higher probability for BTTS - Yes: Meizhou has a season BTTS rate of 100% and 0% clean sheets, while Heilongjiang has 75% BTTS and 25% clean sheets. Offensive and defensive metrics support this conclusion — home xG 1.44 vs away 1.05, and xG conceded are similar: 1.36 vs 1.35, implying both sides create and allow scoring opportunities. Season goals: Meizhou 6 scored and 18 conceded, Heilongjiang 12 scored and 10 conceded; hosts concede on average 1.4 goals per match (season) and visitors 0.75, suggesting at least one away goal is likely. Although in the last 5 matches Meizhou has only 40% BTTS and averages 0.6 goals scored and 2.2 conceded, Heilongjiang has 80% BTTS in the last 5, scores 1.4 and concedes 1.8; therefore the overall seasonal signal and xG lead me to pick 'Yes' at 78%.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
I estimate expected goals at 1.40 for Meizhou Hakka and 1.20 for Heilongjiang (total 2.60), calculated as the average of team xG attack and opponent xG conceded: (1.44+1.35)/2 and (1.05+1.36)/2. The 2.60 total is above the league average of 2.3, and a Poisson model indicates roughly a 73% probability of at least 2 goals, so I adopt 75% for Over 1.5 and 25% for Under 1.5. Seasonal data support this direction: hosts have 100% of home matches Over 1.5, visitors 75%, while Over 2.5 is less frequent (40% for hosts, 25% for visitors), hence 48% for Over 2.5. Over 3.5 is unlikely (26%) — hosts have 20% Over 3.5, visitors 0% — additionally a high BTTS rate (hosts 100%, visitors 75%) and a shooting advantage for hosts 11.2 vs 8.0 and SOT 4.8 vs 4.0 reinforce Over 1.5 as the strongest signal.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The most likely scenario is a draw at half-time followed by an away win (X/2). Both teams frequently level at the break – Meizhou had a half-time draw in 40% of matches, and Heilongjiang in 50% – hence the high share of HT draw scenarios. Heilongjiang have the edge over the full 90 minutes: 50% wins versus 20% for the home side and an average of 2.0 points per match compared with Meizhou’s 1.2, which supports their victory after 90 minutes. Additionally, in the second half the visitors average 1.5 goals and score 1.0 goals after the break versus 0.8 for the hosts, and the visitors’ shot conversion is 16% compared with 13% for the hosts, so greater efficiency after the break may decide the outcome. Based on this I allocated probabilities with X/2 at 35% as the strongest signal, X/X 20% and X/1 10% as alternatives; lower probabilities were assigned to scenarios where the home side leads at the break (1/1 12%, 1/X 6%, 1/2 2%) and to situations where the visitors lead at the break (2/2 8%, 2/X 4%, 2/1 3%).
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Meizhou Hakka | Heilongjiang Lava Spring | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 36% | 45% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.14 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.29 | 0.30 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Heilongjiang Lava Spring is 167% better for: last-5 form.
0.6 pts / match - Meizhou Hakka · 1.6 pts / match - Heilongjiang Lava Spring
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Heilongjiang Lava Spring is 99% better for: goals scored per match.
0.67 goals / match - Meizhou Hakka · 1.33 goals / match - Heilongjiang Lava Spring
Heilongjiang Lava Spring is 80% better for: goals conceded per match.
2 goals / match - Meizhou Hakka · 1.11 goals / match - Heilongjiang Lava Spring
Meizhou Hakka scores in 56% of matches (5 of 9 matches), while Heilongjiang Lava Spring keeps a clean sheet in 11% (1 of 9 matches).
Heilongjiang Lava Spring scores in 100% of matches (9 of 9 matches), while Meizhou Hakka keeps a clean sheet in 22% (2 of 9 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Meizhou Hakka
Over / Under - Heilongjiang Lava Spring
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Heilongjiang Lava Spring is 152% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.44 pts / match - Meizhou Hakka · 1.11 pts / match - Heilongjiang Lava Spring
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Meizhou Hakka - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 11% of matches and wins 33%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Heilongjiang Lava Spring - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 22% of matches and wins 33%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.60 | 0.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.2 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 20% |
| No goal | 60% | 100% |
| Goal difference | -4 | -6 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (2 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (3 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Meizhou Hakka
Heilongjiang Lava Spring
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (China League One).
Teams vs league
| Meizhou Hakka | Liga | Heilongjiang Lava Spring | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.67 | 2.26 | ▲ 2.44 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 33% | 47% | ▲ 89% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 67% | 43% | ▼ 33% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 22% | 32% | ▼ 11% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 89% | 70% | ▲ 78% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 89% | 69% | ▲ 78% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
FAQ
What was the result of Meizhou Hakka vs Heilongjiang Lava Spring?
The China League One match finished Meizhou Hakka 0:0 Heilongjiang Lava Spring. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Meizhou Hakka vs Heilongjiang Lava Spring?
Meizhou Hakka score 0.67 goals per game on average and Heilongjiang Lava Spring 1.33. The China League One average is 2.26 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 43% of games. Both teams score in 33% of Meizhou Hakka's matches and 89% of Heilongjiang Lava Spring's.
What form are Meizhou Hakka and Heilongjiang Lava Spring in?
Over the last 5 games Meizhou Hakka have a 1-0-4 record (0.60 points per game) and Heilongjiang Lava Spring 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Meizhou Hakka vs Heilongjiang Lava Spring?
The statistical background for Meizhou Hakka vs Heilongjiang Lava Spring — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.