Meizhou Hakka vs Shenzhen Juniors: match statistics
Meizhou Hakka vs Shenzhen Juniors: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Meizhou Hakka played Shenzhen Juniors in China League One (China). The match was played on 3 May 2026. Final score: 1:4.
Current form
Meizhou Hakka: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match. Shenzhen Juniors: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Meizhou Hakka scores 0.67 and concedes 2.00 goals per match. Shenzhen Juniors scores 1.33 and concedes 1.33. League average: 2.25 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Meizhou Hakka 33%, Shenzhen Juniors 17%. Over 2.5: Meizhou Hakka 83%, Shenzhen Juniors 67%. League level: BTTS 45%, Over 2.5 49%.
xG, shots and style
Shenzhen Juniors has higher xG: 1.48 vs 0.92. Meizhou Hakka: 6.3 shots per match, Shenzhen Juniors: 11.2.
Match halves
Meizhou Hakka: half-time lead 0%, second-half goals 0.67. Shenzhen Juniors: half-time lead 50%, second-half goals 0.67.
Goals by minute
Meizhou Hakka: 61-75 (2 goals). Shenzhen Juniors: 76-90+ (3 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
China League One: 2.25 goals per match, BTTS 45%, Over 2.5 49%.
Head-to-head
No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Shenzhen Juniors appear to be the favorites: they sit 4th versus Meizhou Hakka’s 12th, have 4 wins compared to 2, and have scored 8 goals versus the home side’s 4. In the last 5 matches Shenzhen have 7 goals to Meizhou’s 4. Away, the visitors create on average 9.67 shots and 4.67 on target per game with a 21% conversion rate, equating to 2.0 goals per game, while the hosts register 7 shots and 2.5 on target with an 11% conversion and 0.75 goals per game. Defensively Meizhou concedes 2.25 goals at home on average and has 0% clean sheets, despite an average xG against of 0.94, which suggests organizational issues; Shenzhen concede 1.67 goals away and have 33% clean sheets. Form also favors the visitors: Shenzhen have 3 wins in the last 5 and 1.8 points per game in that period, Meizhou have 2 wins and 1.2 points per game, and the home record for Meizhou is 75% losses with a goal difference of -6. Considering the superior quality of chances (9.67 vs 7 shots), higher efficiency (21% vs 11%) and substantially higher goals average (2.0 vs 0.75), I predict a win for the visitors.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
I recommend BTTS - No, because Meizhou Hakka has a season BTTS rate of 0% and has kept a clean sheet in 67% of matches, a strong indicator against Goal/Goal. Shenzhen Juniors average 2.0 goals per match and have a high conversion rate of 21%, but their seasonal BTTS share is only 33% and BTTS occurred in just 20% of their last 5 fixtures. Additionally, xG shows Meizhou generates 1.62 xG with an average of 0.67 goals scored (difference ~0.95), and a conversion rate of 5% indicates significant home inefficiency. League context also supports No BTTS — the league has 40% of matches with BTTS while clean sheets occur in 70% of games, so the scenario that one team fails to score is more likely; based on this I assess No at 70% vs Yes at 30%.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The forecast is based on xG and shot statistics: the modeled total xG is approximately 2.97 (home xG ≈1.63 vs away xG ≈1.34). Considering finishing differences, Meizhou Hakka has a seasonal goals average of 0.67 with a shot conversion of 5%, while Shenzhen Juniors average 2.00 goals with a 21% conversion, so I adjusted expected goals to 1.33 (home) and 1.64 (away), total 2.97. Both teams register an average of 4.67 shots on target per match, and Meizhou generates 12.67 shots versus Shenzhen's 9.67, which confirms the volume of scoring opportunities; in the last 5 matches both sides had 80% of games Over 2.5 goals. The combined xG level and the visitors' high finishing point toward a result with at least two goals: I estimate the probability of Over 1.5 at 80% (Under 20%), Over 2.5 at 57% (Under 43%) and Over 3.5 at 35% (Under 65%). The strongest and safest signal is Over 1.5, because the predicted total ~2.97 and Shenzhen's seasonal 2.00 goals significantly increase the chance of at least two strikes.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Statistically, Shenzhen has the advantage: the visitors average 2.0 goals per match versus Meizhou’s 0.67, and at half-time they score on average 1.0 compared to the hosts’ 0.33. Shenzhen led at the break in 67% of season matches, while Meizhou only in 33%; in the last five matches the visitors had 40% leads at the break versus 0% for the hosts. Although Meizhou generate higher xG (1.62 vs 1.33) and more shots (12.67 vs 9.67), their conversion rate is very low at 5% versus Shenzhen’s 21%, meaning the visitors turn chances into goals more efficiently. Form supports the advantage: Shenzhen’s last five form is L W W W L with a 60% win rate, Meizhou L W W L L and a 40% win rate, and the goals averages and efficiency suggest the visitors’ advantage will hold through 90 minutes. Therefore the most likely scenario is Shenzhen leading at half-time and the visitors winning at full-time (2/2).
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Meizhou Hakka | Shenzhen Juniors | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 29% | 42% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.15 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.37 | 0.28 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Shenzhen Juniors is 50% better for: last-5 form.
1.2 pts / match - Meizhou Hakka · 1.8 pts / match - Shenzhen Juniors
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Shenzhen Juniors is 99% better for: goals scored per match.
0.67 goals / match - Meizhou Hakka · 1.33 goals / match - Shenzhen Juniors
Shenzhen Juniors is 50% better for: goals conceded per match.
2 goals / match - Meizhou Hakka · 1.33 goals / match - Shenzhen Juniors
Meizhou Hakka scores in 50% of matches (3 of 6 matches), while Shenzhen Juniors keeps a clean sheet in 50% (3 of 6 matches).
Shenzhen Juniors scores in 67% of matches (4 of 6 matches), while Meizhou Hakka keeps a clean sheet in 17% (1 of 6 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Meizhou Hakka
Over / Under - Shenzhen Juniors
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Shenzhen Juniors is 882% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.17 pts / match - Meizhou Hakka · 1.67 pts / match - Shenzhen Juniors
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Meizhou Hakka - second-half results
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Shenzhen Juniors - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 50% of matches and wins 67%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.7 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.20 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 40% |
| No goal | 100% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -5 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (2 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (3 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Meizhou Hakka
Shenzhen Juniors
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (China League One).
Teams vs league
| Meizhou Hakka | Liga | Shenzhen Juniors | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.67 | 2.25 | ▲ 2.67 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 33% | 45% | ▼ 17% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 83% | 49% | ▲ 67% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 17% | 32% | ▲ 50% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 83% | 72% | ▲ 83% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 100% | 68% | ▲ 83% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
FAQ
What was the result of Meizhou Hakka vs Shenzhen Juniors?
The China League One match finished Meizhou Hakka 1:4 Shenzhen Juniors. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Meizhou Hakka vs Shenzhen Juniors?
Meizhou Hakka score 0.67 goals per game on average and Shenzhen Juniors 1.33. The China League One average is 2.25 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 49% of games. Both teams score in 33% of Meizhou Hakka's matches and 17% of Shenzhen Juniors's.
What form are Meizhou Hakka and Shenzhen Juniors in?
Over the last 5 games Meizhou Hakka have a 2-0-3 record (1.20 points per game) and Shenzhen Juniors 3-0-2 (1.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Meizhou Hakka vs Shenzhen Juniors?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.