Ethiopia - Ethiopia Premier LeagueData current as of 23 July 2026

Mekelakeya vs Adama Kenema: match statistics

Mekelakeya crest
Mekelakeya
0 : 0half-time 0:0
Adama Kenema crest
Adama Kenema

Mekelakeya vs Adama Kenema: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Mekelakeya play Adama Kenema in Ethiopia Premier League (Ethiopia). The match date is 4 May 2026 at 15:00. Final score: 0:0.

Current form

Mekelakeya: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match. Adama Kenema: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.

Goal statistics

Mekelakeya scores 1.15 and concedes 0.85 goals per match. Adama Kenema scores 0.92 and concedes 1.00. League average: 1.78 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Mekelakeya 41%, Adama Kenema 42%. Over 2.5: Mekelakeya 31%, Adama Kenema 32%. League level: BTTS 40%, Over 2.5 28%.

xG, shots and style

Mekelakeya has higher xG: 1.32 vs 1.12. Mekelakeya: 8.6 shots per match, Adama Kenema: 6.4.

Match halves

Mekelakeya: half-time lead 31%, second-half goals 0.46. Adama Kenema: half-time lead 21%, second-half goals 0.47.

Goals by minute

Mekelakeya: 31-45+ (13 goals). Adama Kenema: 16-30 (8 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Ethiopia Premier League: 1.78 goals per match, BTTS 40%, Over 2.5 28%.

Head-to-head

1 H2H matches: 1-0-0. Average goals 4.00, BTTS 100%.

Match description

Mekelakeya holds a clear table advantage (2nd place, 11 wins and 35 goals scored) over Adama Kenema (15th place, 7 wins and 25 goals). In the last 5 matches the hosts have scored 7 goals and recorded 3 wins and 2 draws (average 2.2 points per game), whereas Adama have 3 goals, 0 wins and 4 losses (average 0.2 points per game). At home Mekelakeya concedes on average 0.64 goals and keeps 50% clean sheets with an average offensive xG of 1.31, while Adama on the road score 1.00 goals on average with an offensive xG of 1.06 and concede 1.00 goals, which highlights the hosts' defensive advantage. The hosts generate 8.71 shots and 2.86 on target per home match with an 8% conversion rate, whereas Adama manage only 5.83 shots and 2.42 on target with a 19% conversion, so the visitors are efficient but create fewer opportunities. Considering form (3-2-0 vs 0-1-4), positional difference and defensive stability, I forecast a Mekelakeya win, albeit in a low-scoring outcome.

Half-by-half

0 : 0
1st half
0 : 0
2nd half

Match statistics

51Possession (%)49
MekelakeyaAdama Kenema
5Shots4
MekelakeyaAdama Kenema
2Shots on target1
MekelakeyaAdama Kenema
0.88xG0.83
MekelakeyaAdama Kenema
3Corners3
MekelakeyaAdama Kenema
58Dangerous attacks69
MekelakeyaAdama Kenema
-1Fouls-1
MekelakeyaAdama Kenema
-1Cards-1
MekelakeyaAdama Kenema

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

MekelakeyaAdama Kenema
1.15Goals scored / match0.92
MekelakeyaAdama Kenema
0.85Goals conceded / match1
MekelakeyaAdama Kenema
56%Average possession52%
MekelakeyaAdama Kenema
2.9Shots on target / match2.5
MekelakeyaAdama Kenema

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

8.64Shots per match6.39
MekelakeyaAdama Kenema
2.9Shots on target2.5
MekelakeyaAdama Kenema
13.4%Shot conversion14.4%
MekelakeyaAdama Kenema
56%Possession52%
MekelakeyaAdama Kenema
1.32xG for1.12
MekelakeyaAdama Kenema
0.98xG against1.1
MekelakeyaAdama Kenema

Shooting quality

Mekelakeya: Efficient finishingAdama Kenema: Efficient finishing
MekelakeyaAdama Kenema
Accuracy (shots on target)34%39%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.150.18
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.400.37

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Adama Kenema is 75% better for: last-5 form.

0.8 pts / match - Mekelakeya · 1.4 pts / match - Adama Kenema

Mekelakeya
LLWLD
Season result split
36% W41% R23% P
Season (W-D-L)
14-16-9
1.49 pts / match · goal difference +12
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-1-3
0.80 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
5-9-5
Last 5 at home
2-2-1
DWLWD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 0.4Goals conceded: 1.4xG: 1.33Opponent xG: 0.99BTTS: 20%Over 2.5: 40%
Adama Kenema
LWDLW
Season result split
26% W42% R32% P
Season (W-D-L)
10-16-12
1.21 pts / match · goal difference -3
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-1-2
1.40 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
5-8-6
Last 5 away
1-2-2
DLLDW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.0Goals conceded: 1.2xG: 1.12Opponent xG: 0.80BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 40%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Mekelakeya is 25% better for: goals scored per match.

1.15 goals / match - Mekelakeya · 0.92 goals / match - Adama Kenema

Mekelakeya is 18% better for: goals conceded per match.

0.85 goals / match - Mekelakeya · 1 goals / match - Adama Kenema

Mekelakeya scoring profile: strong

Mekelakeya scores in 67% of matches (26 of 39 matches), while Adama Kenema keeps a clean sheet in 42% (16 of 38 matches).

Adama Kenema scoring profile: mixed

Adama Kenema scores in 61% of matches (23 of 38 matches), while Mekelakeya keeps a clean sheet in 46% (18 of 39 matches).

45Goals scored (season)35
MekelakeyaAdama Kenema
33Goals conceded (season)38
MekelakeyaAdama Kenema
2Average goals in match1.92
MekelakeyaAdama Kenema
2Goals scored (last 5)5
MekelakeyaAdama Kenema
7Goals conceded (last 5)6
MekelakeyaAdama Kenema

How often they score at least...

67%1 goal61%
MekelakeyaAdama Kenema
33%2 goals18%
MekelakeyaAdama Kenema
13%3 goals11%
MekelakeyaAdama Kenema
3%4 goals3%
MekelakeyaAdama Kenema

How often they concede at least...

54%1 goal58%
MekelakeyaAdama Kenema
23%2 goals32%
MekelakeyaAdama Kenema
5%3 goals11%
MekelakeyaAdama Kenema
3%4 goals0%
MekelakeyaAdama Kenema

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

40%
League average

Goal patterns

18%BTTS at half-time16%
MekelakeyaAdama Kenema
0%BTTS in both halves3%
MekelakeyaAdama Kenema
15%Scored in both halves11%
MekelakeyaAdama Kenema

BTTS and goal count

26%Min. 3 goals and BTTS29%
MekelakeyaAdama Kenema
5%Min. 3 goals without BTTS3%
MekelakeyaAdama Kenema
20%BTTS - last 540%
MekelakeyaAdama Kenema

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

59%Min. 1 goal before half-time53%
MekelakeyaAdama Kenema
38%Min. 2 goals before half-time24%
MekelakeyaAdama Kenema
8%Min. 3 goals before half-time8%
MekelakeyaAdama Kenema

2nd half

54%Min. 1 goal after half-time61%
MekelakeyaAdama Kenema
26%Min. 2 goals after half-time29%
MekelakeyaAdama Kenema
5%Min. 3 goals after half-time8%
MekelakeyaAdama Kenema

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Mekelakeya is 19% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.44 pts / match - Mekelakeya · 1.21 pts / match - Adama Kenema

Mekelakeya - half-time state
31% leading51% draw18% trailing
Adama Kenema - half-time state
21% leading58% draw21% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.44Points per match (1st half)1.21
MekelakeyaAdama Kenema
0.64Goals scored (1st half)0.45
MekelakeyaAdama Kenema
0.41Goals conceded (1st half)0.45
MekelakeyaAdama Kenema
1.05Average goals (1st half)0.89
MekelakeyaAdama Kenema
64%Clean sheet before half-time63%
MekelakeyaAdama Kenema
59%No goal before half-time68%
MekelakeyaAdama Kenema

After half-time (2nd half)

1.26Points per match (2nd half)1.13
MekelakeyaAdama Kenema
0.46Goals scored (2nd half)0.47
MekelakeyaAdama Kenema
0.44Goals conceded (2nd half)0.55
MekelakeyaAdama Kenema
0.9Average goals (2nd half)1.03
MekelakeyaAdama Kenema
69%Clean sheet after half-time61%
MekelakeyaAdama Kenema
62%No goal after half-time61%
MekelakeyaAdama Kenema

Mekelakeya - second-half results

23% W56% R21% P
56
Half-time points
25
Half-time goals
+9
Goal difference (1st half)
49
Second-half points
+1
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.44
PPG before half-time
Lead holding116%

Leads at half-time in 31% of matches and wins 36%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.0

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Adama Kenema - second-half results

21% W50% R29% P
46
Half-time points
17
Half-time goals
0
Goal difference (1st half)
43
Second-half points
-3
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.21
PPG before half-time
Lead holding124%

Leads at half-time in 21% of matches and wins 26%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.1

Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Mekelakeya - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.401.20
Goals scored / match0.00.4
Goals conceded / match0.80.6
Average goals in match0.81.0
1 goal60%60%
2 goals20%40%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet40%60%
No goal100%60%
Goal difference-4-1
Half-time: 0% leading - 40% draw - 60% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 60% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 0
Adama Kenema - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.600.60
Goals scored / match0.80.2
Goals conceded / match0.40.8
Average goals in match1.21.0
1 goal60%60%
2 goals20%40%
3 goals20%0%
Clean sheet60%40%
No goal60%80%
Goal difference+2-3
Half-time: 40% leading - 40% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 60% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 4

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Mekelakeya
ScoredConceded
7
4
0-15
7
5
16-30
13
7
31-45
4
6
46-60
6
4
61-75
8
7
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (13 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.

Adama Kenema
ScoredConceded
6
1
0-15
8
11
16-30
3
5
31-45
5
4
46-60
5
8
61-75
8
9
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (8 goli). Concedes most in 16-30 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

1.96
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.1 : 0.9
Estimated goal split
home : away
110%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
42%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+104%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
41%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
13%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 8 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Mekelakeya

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.34
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.04
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-18.1 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.17
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.13
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
126%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
98%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.69
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.2
Late goals
18% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 16% come in the first quarter-hour.
18%

Adama Kenema

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.02
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.10
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-6.3 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.20
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.10
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
106%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
110%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.19
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.0
Late goals
23% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 17% come in the first quarter-hour.
23%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ethiopia Premier League).

Teams vs league

MekelakeyaLigaAdama Kenema
Average goals in match 2.001.78 1.92
Both teams scored 41%40% 42%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 31%28% 32%
Clean sheets 46%40% 42%
Goal before half-time 59%56% 53%
Goal after half-time 54%59% 61%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

1.78
Average goals per match
40%
Both teams scored
28%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
40%
Clean sheets
0.91
Home goals / match
0.87
Away goals / match
+5%
Home attack advantage
+4%
Home defence advantage
+1%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
56%
1 goal
22%
2 goals
4%
3 goals
1%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
59%
1 goal
27%
2 goals
6%
3 goals
2%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Previous meeting: Mekelakeya 1 - 0 - 0 Adama Kenema. Average goals 4.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.

FAQ

What was the result of Mekelakeya vs Adama Kenema?

The Ethiopia Premier League match finished Mekelakeya 0:0 Adama Kenema. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before Mekelakeya vs Adama Kenema?

Mekelakeya score 1.15 goals per game on average and Adama Kenema 0.92. The Ethiopia Premier League average is 1.78 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 28% of games. Both teams score in 41% of Mekelakeya's matches and 42% of Adama Kenema's.

What form are Mekelakeya and Adama Kenema in?

Over the last 5 games Mekelakeya have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and Adama Kenema 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Mekelakeya vs Adama Kenema?

This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.