Mekelakeya vs Bahardar: match statistics
Mekelakeya occupies a higher position in the table (5th place) and possesses a better goal difference at their own stadium (+1) compared to Bahardar, who have a negative goal difference in away matches (-3). The hosts demonstrate significantly better scoring efficiency at home (0.86 goals/match) and a higher xG (1.42) than the guests do on the road (0.33 goals/match and xG 1.06). Bahardar has not won a single away match this season (0% wins) and has failed to score in as many as 67% of matches. The form of both teams in the last five matches is poor; however, Mekelakeya holds home field advantage and better offensive stats. Bahardar's high percentage of away draws (67%) suggests a defensive approach, which could lead to a close contest, but the statistical advantage of the hosts points to their victory.
Mekelakeya vs Bahardar: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Mekelakeya played Bahardar in Ethiopia Premier League (Ethiopia). The match was played on 10 January 2026. Final score: 1:2.
Current form
Mekelakeya: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match. Bahardar: 0-4-1, 0.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Mekelakeya scores 1.29 and concedes 0.93 goals per match. Bahardar scores 0.69 and concedes 0.69. League average: 1.71 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Mekelakeya 50%, Bahardar 31%. Over 2.5: Mekelakeya 36%, Bahardar 23%. League level: BTTS 42%, Over 2.5 26%.
xG, shots and style
Mekelakeya has higher xG: 1.44 vs 1.25. Mekelakeya: 9.6 shots per match, Bahardar: 8.8.
Match halves
Mekelakeya: half-time lead 43%, second-half goals 0.29. Bahardar: half-time lead 8%, second-half goals 0.46.
Goals by minute
Mekelakeya: 31-45+ (7 goals). Bahardar: 76-90+ (4 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Ethiopia Premier League: 1.71 goals per match, BTTS 42%, Over 2.5 26%.
Head-to-head
No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Mekelakeya occupies a higher position in the table (5th place) and possesses a better goal difference at their own stadium (+1) compared to Bahardar, who have a negative goal difference in away matches (-3). The hosts demonstrate significantly better scoring efficiency at home (0.86 goals/match) and a higher xG (1.42) than the guests do on the road (0.33 goals/match and xG 1.06). Bahardar has not won a single away match this season (0% wins) and has failed to score in as many as 67% of matches. The form of both teams in the last five matches is poor; however, Mekelakeya holds home field advantage and better offensive stats. Bahardar's high percentage of away draws (67%) suggests a defensive approach, which could lead to a close contest, but the statistical advantage of the hosts points to their victory.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Mekelakeya | Bahardar | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 37% | 33% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.15 | 0.14 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.37 | 0.24 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Mekelakeya is 25% better for: last-5 form.
1 pts / match - Mekelakeya · 0.8 pts / match - Bahardar
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Mekelakeya is 87% better for: goals scored per match.
1.29 goals / match - Mekelakeya · 0.69 goals / match - Bahardar
Bahardar is 35% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.93 goals / match - Mekelakeya · 0.69 goals / match - Bahardar
Mekelakeya scores in 71% of matches (10 of 14 matches), while Bahardar keeps a clean sheet in 62% (8 of 13 matches).
Bahardar scores in 46% of matches (6 of 13 matches), while Mekelakeya keeps a clean sheet in 36% (5 of 14 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Mekelakeya
Over / Under - Bahardar
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Mekelakeya is 52% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.64 pts / match - Mekelakeya · 1.08 pts / match - Bahardar
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Mekelakeya - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 43% of matches and wins 36%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Bahardar - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 8% of matches and wins 23%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 0.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 80% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| 1 goal | 20% | 20% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 80% |
| No goal | 80% | 100% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (7 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (4 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Mekelakeya
Bahardar
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ethiopia Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Mekelakeya | Liga | Bahardar | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.21 | 1.71 | ▼ 1.38 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 50% | 42% | ▼ 31% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 36% | 26% | ▼ 23% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 36% | 39% | ▲ 62% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 71% | 57% | ▼ 23% |
| Goal after half-time | • 57% | 57% | ▼ 46% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
FAQ
What was the result of Mekelakeya vs Bahardar?
The Ethiopia Premier League match finished Mekelakeya 1:2 Bahardar. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Mekelakeya vs Bahardar?
Mekelakeya score 1.29 goals per game on average and Bahardar 0.69. The Ethiopia Premier League average is 1.71 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 26% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Mekelakeya's matches and 31% of Bahardar's.
What form are Mekelakeya and Bahardar in?
Over the last 5 games Mekelakeya have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Bahardar 0-4-1 (0.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Mekelakeya vs Bahardar?
The statistical background for Mekelakeya vs Bahardar — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.