Mekelakeya vs Sheger Ketema: match statistics
Mekelakeya holds a high 2nd position in the table and is displaying significantly better form than Sheger Ketema, who find themselves in 16th place. The hosts have won 3 out of their last 5 matches overall, averaging 1.8 points per match, while the visitors have recorded a series of 5 consecutive draws with just 1 point per match. In home matches, Mekelakeya boasts a positive goal difference (+2), an 11% conversion rate, and 44% clean sheets, which surpasses Sheger Ketema's away stats (goal difference -3, 0.75 goals per match). Sheger Ketema has a tendency to draw (38% away, a series of 5 draws), increasing the likelihood of a points split. However, the hosts' advantage in ball possession (54% vs 46%) and higher xG (1.34 vs 1.16) indicate their greater chances of victory. Taking all factors into account, Mekelakeya should win, although the visitors' defensive approach could lead to a tightly contested match.
Mekelakeya vs Sheger Ketema: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Mekelakeya played Sheger Ketema in Ethiopia Premier League (Ethiopia). The match was played on 31 January 2026. Final score: 0:1.
Current form
Mekelakeya: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match. Sheger Ketema: 0-5-0, 1.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Mekelakeya scores 1.33 and concedes 0.83 goals per match. Sheger Ketema scores 0.81 and concedes 1.00. League average: 1.72 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Mekelakeya 44%, Sheger Ketema 50%. Over 2.5: Mekelakeya 33%, Sheger Ketema 31%. League level: BTTS 40%, Over 2.5 27%.
xG, shots and style
Mekelakeya has higher xG: 1.35 vs 1.10. Mekelakeya: 8.9 shots per match, Sheger Ketema: 7.7.
Match halves
Mekelakeya: half-time lead 44%, second-half goals 0.39. Sheger Ketema: half-time lead 13%, second-half goals 0.38.
Goals by minute
Mekelakeya: 31-45+ (9 goals). Sheger Ketema: 16-30 (3 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Ethiopia Premier League: 1.72 goals per match, BTTS 40%, Over 2.5 27%.
Head-to-head
No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Mekelakeya holds a high 2nd position in the table and is displaying significantly better form than Sheger Ketema, who find themselves in 16th place. The hosts have won 3 out of their last 5 matches overall, averaging 1.8 points per match, while the visitors have recorded a series of 5 consecutive draws with just 1 point per match. In home matches, Mekelakeya boasts a positive goal difference (+2), an 11% conversion rate, and 44% clean sheets, which surpasses Sheger Ketema's away stats (goal difference -3, 0.75 goals per match). Sheger Ketema has a tendency to draw (38% away, a series of 5 draws), increasing the likelihood of a points split. However, the hosts' advantage in ball possession (54% vs 46%) and higher xG (1.34 vs 1.16) indicate their greater chances of victory. Taking all factors into account, Mekelakeya should win, although the visitors' defensive approach could lead to a tightly contested match.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Mekelakeya | Sheger Ketema | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 38% | 31% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.15 | 0.14 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.39 | 0.34 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Mekelakeya is 80% better for: last-5 form.
1.8 pts / match - Mekelakeya · 1 pts / match - Sheger Ketema
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Mekelakeya is 64% better for: goals scored per match.
1.33 goals / match - Mekelakeya · 0.81 goals / match - Sheger Ketema
Mekelakeya is 20% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.83 goals / match - Mekelakeya · 1 goals / match - Sheger Ketema
Mekelakeya scores in 78% of matches (14 of 18 matches), while Sheger Ketema keeps a clean sheet in 38% (6 of 16 matches).
Sheger Ketema scores in 63% of matches (10 of 16 matches), while Mekelakeya keeps a clean sheet in 44% (8 of 18 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Mekelakeya
Over / Under - Sheger Ketema
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Mekelakeya is 38% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.72 pts / match - Mekelakeya · 1.25 pts / match - Sheger Ketema
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Mekelakeya - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 44% of matches and wins 44%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Sheger Ketema - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 13% of matches and wins 19%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 80% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.0 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 0.0 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 0% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 100% |
| No goal | 60% | 100% |
| Goal difference | 0 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (9 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (3 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Mekelakeya
Sheger Ketema
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ethiopia Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Mekelakeya | Liga | Sheger Ketema | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.17 | 1.72 | • 1.81 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 44% | 40% | ▲ 50% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 33% | 27% | ▲ 31% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 44% | 41% | ▼ 38% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 67% | 55% | ▼ 44% |
| Goal after half-time | • 56% | 57% | • 56% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
FAQ
What was the result of Mekelakeya vs Sheger Ketema?
The Ethiopia Premier League match finished Mekelakeya 0:1 Sheger Ketema. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Mekelakeya vs Sheger Ketema?
Mekelakeya score 1.33 goals per game on average and Sheger Ketema 0.81. The Ethiopia Premier League average is 1.72 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 27% of games. Both teams score in 44% of Mekelakeya's matches and 50% of Sheger Ketema's.
What form are Mekelakeya and Sheger Ketema in?
Over the last 5 games Mekelakeya have a 3-0-2 record (1.80 points per game) and Sheger Ketema 0-5-0 (1.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Mekelakeya vs Sheger Ketema?
The statistical background for Mekelakeya vs Sheger Ketema — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.