Mekelle Kenema vs Ethiopia Bunna: match statistics
Analysis indicates a draw as the most likely outcome of this match. Mekelle Kenema is showing solid form in their last five matches (1.8 points per game, WDDWD run), remaining unbeaten, which is their biggest asset. Ethiopia Bunna, on the other hand, has poorer current form (0.8 points per game, LWDLL run), but away from home this season they have been decent with a 38% win rate and an impressive 50% clean sheets. The hosts have an advantage in expected goals at home (xG 1.35 vs xGA 1.23), but their low scoring efficiency (only 1.25 goals on average at home) and high percentage of draws in home matches (63%) suggest difficulties in breaking down the visitors' defense. Considering Ethiopia Bunna's defensive solidity away from home (0.75 goals conceded on average) and the hosts' tendency to draw, I expect a closely contested match ending in a share of the points.
Mekelle Kenema vs Ethiopia Bunna: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Mekelle Kenema played Ethiopia Bunna in Ethiopia Premier League (Ethiopia). The match was played on 1 February 2026. Final score: 1:1.
Current form
Mekelle Kenema: 2-3-0, 1.80 points/match. Ethiopia Bunna: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Mekelle Kenema scores 0.94 and concedes 1.06 goals per match. Ethiopia Bunna scores 0.82 and concedes 1.12. League average: 1.72 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Mekelle Kenema 53%, Ethiopia Bunna 41%. Over 2.5: Mekelle Kenema 41%, Ethiopia Bunna 35%. League level: BTTS 41%, Over 2.5 27%.
xG, shots and style
Mekelle Kenema has higher xG: 1.23 vs 1.16. Mekelle Kenema: 6.7 shots per match, Ethiopia Bunna: 7.5.
Match halves
Mekelle Kenema: half-time lead 35%, second-half goals 0.35. Ethiopia Bunna: half-time lead 24%, second-half goals 0.35.
Goals by minute
Mekelle Kenema: 16-30 (6 goals). Ethiopia Bunna: 31-45+ (5 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Ethiopia Premier League: 1.72 goals per match, BTTS 41%, Over 2.5 27%.
Head-to-head
No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Analysis indicates a draw as the most likely outcome of this match. Mekelle Kenema is showing solid form in their last five matches (1.8 points per game, WDDWD run), remaining unbeaten, which is their biggest asset. Ethiopia Bunna, on the other hand, has poorer current form (0.8 points per game, LWDLL run), but away from home this season they have been decent with a 38% win rate and an impressive 50% clean sheets. The hosts have an advantage in expected goals at home (xG 1.35 vs xGA 1.23), but their low scoring efficiency (only 1.25 goals on average at home) and high percentage of draws in home matches (63%) suggest difficulties in breaking down the visitors' defense. Considering Ethiopia Bunna's defensive solidity away from home (0.75 goals conceded on average) and the hosts' tendency to draw, I expect a closely contested match ending in a share of the points.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Mekelle Kenema | Ethiopia Bunna | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 47% | 32% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.18 | 0.16 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.30 | 0.34 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Mekelle Kenema is 125% better for: last-5 form.
1.8 pts / match - Mekelle Kenema · 0.8 pts / match - Ethiopia Bunna
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Mekelle Kenema is 15% better for: goals scored per match.
0.94 goals / match - Mekelle Kenema · 0.82 goals / match - Ethiopia Bunna
Mekelle Kenema is 6% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.06 goals / match - Mekelle Kenema · 1.12 goals / match - Ethiopia Bunna
Mekelle Kenema scores in 65% of matches (11 of 17 matches), while Ethiopia Bunna keeps a clean sheet in 29% (5 of 17 matches).
Ethiopia Bunna scores in 59% of matches (10 of 17 matches), while Mekelle Kenema keeps a clean sheet in 35% (6 of 17 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Mekelle Kenema
Over / Under - Ethiopia Bunna
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Mekelle Kenema is 14% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.47 pts / match - Mekelle Kenema · 1.29 pts / match - Ethiopia Bunna
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Mekelle Kenema - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 35% of matches and wins 18%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Ethiopia Bunna - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 24% of matches and wins 29%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 20% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 80% |
| No goal | 60% | 100% |
| Goal difference | +3 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 20% |
| No goal | 60% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (6 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (5 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Mekelle Kenema
Ethiopia Bunna
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ethiopia Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Mekelle Kenema | Liga | Ethiopia Bunna | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.00 | 1.72 | ▲ 1.94 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 53% | 41% | • 41% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 41% | 27% | ▲ 35% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 35% | 41% | ▼ 29% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 71% | 54% | ▲ 59% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 59% | 57% | ▲ 71% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Away team
Other recorded players
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
- Ethiopia BunnaGoalRamkel James
FAQ
What was the result of Mekelle Kenema vs Ethiopia Bunna?
The Ethiopia Premier League match finished Mekelle Kenema 1:1 Ethiopia Bunna. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Mekelle Kenema vs Ethiopia Bunna?
Mekelle Kenema score 0.94 goals per game on average and Ethiopia Bunna 0.82. The Ethiopia Premier League average is 1.72 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 27% of games. Both teams score in 53% of Mekelle Kenema's matches and 41% of Ethiopia Bunna's.
What form are Mekelle Kenema and Ethiopia Bunna in?
Over the last 5 games Mekelle Kenema have a 2-3-0 record (1.80 points per game) and Ethiopia Bunna 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Mekelle Kenema vs Ethiopia Bunna?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Mekelle Kenema vs Ethiopia Bunna: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.