Mekelle Kenema vs Fasil Ketema: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Mekelle Kenema played Fasil Ketema in Ethiopia Premier League (Ethiopia). The match was played on 7 December 2025. Final score: 1:1.

Current form

Mekelle Kenema: 0-3-2, 0.60 points/match. Fasil Ketema: 2-3-0, 1.80 points/match.

Goal statistics

Mekelle Kenema scores 1.00 and concedes 1.63 goals per match. Fasil Ketema scores 0.88 and concedes 0.25. League average: 1.80 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Mekelle Kenema 63%, Fasil Ketema 25%. Over 2.5: Mekelle Kenema 63%, Fasil Ketema 0%. League level: BTTS 42%, Over 2.5 28%.

xG, shots and style

Fasil Ketema has higher xG: 1.25 vs 1.21. Mekelle Kenema: 7.4 shots per match, Fasil Ketema: 7.6.

Match halves

Mekelle Kenema: half-time lead 25%, second-half goals 0.38. Fasil Ketema: half-time lead 38%, second-half goals 0.38.

Goals by minute

Mekelle Kenema: 16-30 (3 goals). Fasil Ketema: 0-15 (2 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Ethiopia Premier League: 1.80 goals per match, BTTS 42%, Over 2.5 28%.

Head-to-head

No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.

Half-by-half

0 : 0
1st half
1 : 1
2nd half

Match statistics

49Possession (%)51
Mekelle KenemaFasil Ketema
8Shots7
Mekelle KenemaFasil Ketema
5Shots on target1
Mekelle KenemaFasil Ketema
1.36xG1.05
Mekelle KenemaFasil Ketema
3Corners2
Mekelle KenemaFasil Ketema
69Dangerous attacks73
Mekelle KenemaFasil Ketema
9Fouls14
Mekelle KenemaFasil Ketema
0Cards0
Mekelle KenemaFasil Ketema

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

Mekelle KenemaFasil Ketema
1Goals scored / match0.88
Mekelle KenemaFasil Ketema
1.63Goals conceded / match0.25
Mekelle KenemaFasil Ketema
50%Average possession45%
Mekelle KenemaFasil Ketema
3Shots on target / match3.13
Mekelle KenemaFasil Ketema

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

7.38Shots per match7.63
Mekelle KenemaFasil Ketema
3Shots on target3.13
Mekelle KenemaFasil Ketema
13.6%Shot conversion11.5%
Mekelle KenemaFasil Ketema
50%Possession45%
Mekelle KenemaFasil Ketema
1.21xG for1.25
Mekelle KenemaFasil Ketema
1.22xG against1.14
Mekelle KenemaFasil Ketema

Shooting quality

Mekelle Kenema: Efficient finishingFasil Ketema: Balanced
Mekelle KenemaFasil Ketema
Accuracy (shots on target)41%41%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.160.16
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.330.28

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Fasil Ketema is 200% better for: last-5 form.

0.6 pts / match - Mekelle Kenema · 1.8 pts / match - Fasil Ketema

Mekelle Kenema
LDDDL
No win in the last 5 matches
Season result split
0% W50% R50% P
Season (W-D-L)
0-4-4
0.50 pts / match · goal difference -5
Last 5 (W-D-L)
0-3-2
0.60 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
0-2-1
Last 5 at home
0-2-1
DLD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.0Goals conceded: 1.6xG: 1.05Opponent xG: 1.20BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 60%
Fasil Ketema
WDDWD
Unbeaten in the last 5 matches
Season result split
50% W50% R0% P
Season (W-D-L)
4-4-0
2.00 pts / match · goal difference +5
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-3-0
1.80 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
2-1-0
Last 5 away
2-1-0
WDW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 0.6Goals conceded: 0.2xG: 1.27Opponent xG: 1.15BTTS: 20%Over 2.5: 0%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Mekelle Kenema is 14% better for: goals scored per match.

1 goals / match - Mekelle Kenema · 0.88 goals / match - Fasil Ketema

Fasil Ketema is 552% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.63 goals / match - Mekelle Kenema · 0.25 goals / match - Fasil Ketema

Mekelle Kenema scoring profile: more difficult

Mekelle Kenema scores in 63% of matches (5 of 8 matches), while Fasil Ketema keeps a clean sheet in 75% (6 of 8 matches).

Fasil Ketema scoring profile: very strong

Fasil Ketema scores in 75% of matches (6 of 8 matches), while Mekelle Kenema keeps a clean sheet in 13% (1 of 8 matches).

8Goals scored (season)7
Mekelle KenemaFasil Ketema
13Goals conceded (season)2
Mekelle KenemaFasil Ketema
2.63Average goals in match1.13
Mekelle KenemaFasil Ketema
5Goals scored (last 5)3
Mekelle KenemaFasil Ketema
8Goals conceded (last 5)1
Mekelle KenemaFasil Ketema

How often they score at least...

63%1 goal75%
Mekelle KenemaFasil Ketema
38%2 goals13%
Mekelle KenemaFasil Ketema
0%3 goals0%
Mekelle KenemaFasil Ketema
0%4 goals0%
Mekelle KenemaFasil Ketema

How often they concede at least...

88%1 goal25%
Mekelle KenemaFasil Ketema
63%2 goals0%
Mekelle KenemaFasil Ketema
13%3 goals0%
Mekelle KenemaFasil Ketema
0%4 goals0%
Mekelle KenemaFasil Ketema

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

42%
League average

Goal patterns

38%BTTS at half-time13%
Mekelle KenemaFasil Ketema
13%BTTS in both halves0%
Mekelle KenemaFasil Ketema
38%Scored in both halves0%
Mekelle KenemaFasil Ketema

BTTS and goal count

63%Min. 3 goals and BTTS0%
Mekelle KenemaFasil Ketema
0%Min. 3 goals without BTTS0%
Mekelle KenemaFasil Ketema
60%BTTS - last 520%
Mekelle KenemaFasil Ketema

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

88%Min. 1 goal before half-time50%
Mekelle KenemaFasil Ketema
38%Min. 2 goals before half-time13%
Mekelle KenemaFasil Ketema
13%Min. 3 goals before half-time0%
Mekelle KenemaFasil Ketema

2nd half

63%Min. 1 goal after half-time38%
Mekelle KenemaFasil Ketema
50%Min. 2 goals after half-time13%
Mekelle KenemaFasil Ketema
13%Min. 3 goals after half-time0%
Mekelle KenemaFasil Ketema

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Fasil Ketema is 55% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.13 pts / match - Mekelle Kenema · 1.75 pts / match - Fasil Ketema

Mekelle Kenema - half-time state
25% leading38% draw38% trailing
Fasil Ketema - half-time state
38% leading63% draw0% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.13Points per match (1st half)1.75
Mekelle KenemaFasil Ketema
0.63Goals scored (1st half)0.5
Mekelle KenemaFasil Ketema
0.75Goals conceded (1st half)0.13
Mekelle KenemaFasil Ketema
1.38Average goals (1st half)0.63
Mekelle KenemaFasil Ketema
38%Clean sheet before half-time88%
Mekelle KenemaFasil Ketema
38%No goal before half-time50%
Mekelle KenemaFasil Ketema

After half-time (2nd half)

0.88Points per match (2nd half)1.38
Mekelle KenemaFasil Ketema
0.38Goals scored (2nd half)0.38
Mekelle KenemaFasil Ketema
0.88Goals conceded (2nd half)0.13
Mekelle KenemaFasil Ketema
1.25Average goals (2nd half)0.5
Mekelle KenemaFasil Ketema
50%Clean sheet after half-time88%
Mekelle KenemaFasil Ketema
63%No goal after half-time75%
Mekelle KenemaFasil Ketema

Mekelle Kenema - second-half results

13% W50% R38% P
9
Half-time points
5
Half-time goals
-1
Goal difference (1st half)
7
Second-half points
-4
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.13
PPG before half-time
Lead holding0%

Leads at half-time in 25% of matches and wins 0%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.

Defence after half-time+0.1

Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Fasil Ketema - second-half results

25% W63% R13% P
14
Half-time points
4
Half-time goals
+3
Goal difference (1st half)
11
Second-half points
+2
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.75
PPG before half-time
Lead holding132%

Leads at half-time in 38% of matches and wins 50%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time0.0

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Mekelle Kenema - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.200.60
Goals scored / match0.60.4
Goals conceded / match0.61.0
Average goals in match1.21.4
1 goal80%60%
2 goals40%60%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet40%40%
No goal40%60%
Goal difference0-3
Half-time: 20% leading - 60% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 60% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 3
Fasil Ketema - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.801.20
Goals scored / match0.40.2
Goals conceded / match0.00.2
Average goals in match0.40.4
1 goal40%40%
2 goals0%0%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet100%80%
No goal60%80%
Goal difference+20
Half-time: 40% leading - 60% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 60% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 2

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Mekelle Kenema
ScoredConceded
1
1
0-15
3
3
16-30
1
2
31-45
1
3
46-60
1
1
61-75
1
3
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (3 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.

Fasil Ketema
ScoredConceded
2
1
0-15
0
0
16-30
2
0
31-45
1
1
46-60
1
0
61-75
1
0
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (2 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (1). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

1.88
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
0.6 : 1.3
Estimated goal split
home : away
104%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
44%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-100%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
47%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
10%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 10 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Mekelle Kenema

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.01
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.62
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-2.6 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.21
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.41
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
110%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
183%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.10
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.3
Late goals
13% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 13% come in the first quarter-hour.
13%

Fasil Ketema

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.11
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.52
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-6.2 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.37
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.89
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
99%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
27%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.20
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.1
Late goals
14% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 29% come in the first quarter-hour.
14%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ethiopia Premier League).

Teams vs league

Mekelle KenemaLigaFasil Ketema
Average goals in match 2.631.80 1.13
Both teams scored 63%42% 25%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 63%28% 0%
Clean sheets 13%38% 75%
Goal before half-time 88%57% 50%
Goal after half-time 63%60% 38%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

1.80
Average goals per match
42%
Both teams scored
28%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
38%
Clean sheets
0.91
Home goals / match
0.89
Away goals / match
+2%
Home attack advantage
+2%
Home defence advantage
+4%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
57%
1 goal
23%
2 goals
6%
3 goals
1%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
60%
1 goal
22%
2 goals
7%
3 goals
2%
4 goals

Lineups and player events

Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.

Home team

Other recorded players

Fitsum Alemu Fekir⚽ 1

Away team

Match timeline

Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.

  1. Mekelle KenemaGoalFitsum Alemu Fekir

FAQ

What was the result of Mekelle Kenema vs Fasil Ketema?

The Ethiopia Premier League match finished Mekelle Kenema 1:1 Fasil Ketema. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before Mekelle Kenema vs Fasil Ketema?

Mekelle Kenema score 1.00 goals per game on average and Fasil Ketema 0.88. The Ethiopia Premier League average is 1.80 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 28% of games. Both teams score in 63% of Mekelle Kenema's matches and 25% of Fasil Ketema's.

What form are Mekelle Kenema and Fasil Ketema in?

Over the last 5 games Mekelle Kenema have a 0-3-2 record (0.60 points per game) and Fasil Ketema 2-3-0 (1.80 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Mekelle Kenema vs Fasil Ketema?

This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.