Mekelle Kenema vs Sheger Ketema: match statistics
Statistical analysis points to a close competition between teams low in the table. Mekelle Kenema has not yet won a home match this season (0% Win%), but shows stability with 67% draws and better recent form (1.6 PPG). Sheger Ketema shows 33% win efficiency away, but their recent form is weaker (0.8 PPG) with three losses in five matches. Both teams have an identical goal difference in their respective venues (-3 GD). Mekelle stands out with better average possession (51% vs 46%) and higher shot conversion (17% vs 13%), giving them an edge as hosts. Considering the hosts' struggle to secure wins at home and the visitors' instability away, the most likely scenario is a draw, with a slight advantage for the hosts due to home field advantage and better recent disposition.
Mekelle Kenema vs Sheger Ketema: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Mekelle Kenema played Sheger Ketema in Ethiopia Premier League (Ethiopia). The match was played on 9 January 2026. Final score: 0:0.
Current form
Mekelle Kenema: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match. Sheger Ketema: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Mekelle Kenema scores 1.08 and concedes 1.31 goals per match. Sheger Ketema scores 1.00 and concedes 1.25. League average: 1.73 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Mekelle Kenema 62%, Sheger Ketema 58%. Over 2.5: Mekelle Kenema 46%, Sheger Ketema 42%. League level: BTTS 42%, Over 2.5 27%.
xG, shots and style
Mekelle Kenema has higher xG: 1.23 vs 1.19. Mekelle Kenema: 7.2 shots per match, Sheger Ketema: 8.0.
Match halves
Mekelle Kenema: half-time lead 38%, second-half goals 0.46. Sheger Ketema: half-time lead 17%, second-half goals 0.50.
Goals by minute
Mekelle Kenema: 16-30 (5 goals). Sheger Ketema: 61-75 (3 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Ethiopia Premier League: 1.73 goals per match, BTTS 42%, Over 2.5 27%.
Head-to-head
No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Statistical analysis points to a close competition between teams low in the table. Mekelle Kenema has not yet won a home match this season (0% Win%), but shows stability with 67% draws and better recent form (1.6 PPG). Sheger Ketema shows 33% win efficiency away, but their recent form is weaker (0.8 PPG) with three losses in five matches. Both teams have an identical goal difference in their respective venues (-3 GD). Mekelle stands out with better average possession (51% vs 46%) and higher shot conversion (17% vs 13%), giving them an edge as hosts. Considering the hosts' struggle to secure wins at home and the visitors' instability away, the most likely scenario is a draw, with a slight advantage for the hosts due to home field advantage and better recent disposition.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Mekelle Kenema | Sheger Ketema | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 45% | 32% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.17 | 0.15 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.33 | 0.39 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Mekelle Kenema is 100% better for: last-5 form.
1.6 pts / match - Mekelle Kenema · 0.8 pts / match - Sheger Ketema
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Mekelle Kenema is 8% better for: goals scored per match.
1.08 goals / match - Mekelle Kenema · 1 goals / match - Sheger Ketema
Sheger Ketema is 5% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.31 goals / match - Mekelle Kenema · 1.25 goals / match - Sheger Ketema
Mekelle Kenema scores in 77% of matches (10 of 13 matches), while Sheger Ketema keeps a clean sheet in 25% (3 of 12 matches).
Sheger Ketema scores in 75% of matches (9 of 12 matches), while Mekelle Kenema keeps a clean sheet in 23% (3 of 13 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Mekelle Kenema
Over / Under - Sheger Ketema
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Mekelle Kenema is 10% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.46 pts / match - Mekelle Kenema · 1.33 pts / match - Sheger Ketema
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Mekelle Kenema - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 38% of matches and wins 15%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Sheger Ketema - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 17% of matches and wins 25%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.6 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.00 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +2 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 1.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 20% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +2 | -5 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (5 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (3 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Mekelle Kenema
Sheger Ketema
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ethiopia Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Mekelle Kenema | Liga | Sheger Ketema | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.38 | 1.73 | ▲ 2.25 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 62% | 42% | ▲ 58% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 46% | 27% | ▲ 42% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 23% | 39% | ▼ 25% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 85% | 58% | ▼ 50% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 69% | 57% | ▲ 75% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
FAQ
What was the result of Mekelle Kenema vs Sheger Ketema?
The Ethiopia Premier League match finished Mekelle Kenema 0:0 Sheger Ketema. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Mekelle Kenema vs Sheger Ketema?
Mekelle Kenema score 1.08 goals per game on average and Sheger Ketema 1.00. The Ethiopia Premier League average is 1.73 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 27% of games. Both teams score in 62% of Mekelle Kenema's matches and 58% of Sheger Ketema's.
What form are Mekelle Kenema and Sheger Ketema in?
Over the last 5 games Mekelle Kenema have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Sheger Ketema 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Mekelle Kenema vs Sheger Ketema?
The statistical background for Mekelle Kenema vs Sheger Ketema — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.