Mekelle Kenema vs Welayta Dicha: match statistics
Statistical analysis indicates even chances for both teams, with a slight edge for a draw scenario. Mekelle Kenema shows poor form over their last five matches (0.8 PPG), but at home, they have a solid draw record (55% Draw%) and a low loss rate (27%). Welayta Dicha is in better recent form (2.0 PPG), but they win only 9% of their away matches and draw a massive 45% of their road fixtures. Expected goals (xG) are even for both teams, which supports the prediction of a low-scoring game. Given the hosts' tendency to draw at home and the visitors' poor away efficiency, a share of the spoils is the most likely outcome.
Mekelle Kenema vs Welayta Dicha: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Mekelle Kenema played Welayta Dicha in Ethiopia Premier League (Ethiopia). The match was played on 15 March 2026. Final score: 0:0.
Current form
Mekelle Kenema: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match. Welayta Dicha: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Mekelle Kenema scores 0.83 and concedes 1.00 goals per match. Welayta Dicha scores 1.13 and concedes 1.13. League average: 1.78 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Mekelle Kenema 48%, Welayta Dicha 65%. Over 2.5: Mekelle Kenema 35%, Welayta Dicha 35%. League level: BTTS 41%, Over 2.5 27%.
xG, shots and style
Welayta Dicha has higher xG: 1.35 vs 1.18. Mekelle Kenema: 6.5 shots per match, Welayta Dicha: 8.5.
Match halves
Mekelle Kenema: half-time lead 26%, second-half goals 0.35. Welayta Dicha: half-time lead 17%, second-half goals 0.74.
Goals by minute
Mekelle Kenema: 16-30 (6 goals). Welayta Dicha: 61-75 (7 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Ethiopia Premier League: 1.78 goals per match, BTTS 41%, Over 2.5 27%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-0. Average goals 4.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Statistical analysis indicates even chances for both teams, with a slight edge for a draw scenario. Mekelle Kenema shows poor form over their last five matches (0.8 PPG), but at home, they have a solid draw record (55% Draw%) and a low loss rate (27%). Welayta Dicha is in better recent form (2.0 PPG), but they win only 9% of their away matches and draw a massive 45% of their road fixtures. Expected goals (xG) are even for both teams, which supports the prediction of a low-scoring game. Given the hosts' tendency to draw at home and the visitors' poor away efficiency, a share of the spoils is the most likely outcome.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Mekelle Kenema | Welayta Dicha | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 47% | 39% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.18 | 0.16 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.27 | 0.34 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Welayta Dicha is 150% better for: last-5 form.
0.8 pts / match - Mekelle Kenema · 2 pts / match - Welayta Dicha
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Welayta Dicha is 36% better for: goals scored per match.
0.83 goals / match - Mekelle Kenema · 1.13 goals / match - Welayta Dicha
Mekelle Kenema is 13% better for: goals conceded per match.
1 goals / match - Mekelle Kenema · 1.13 goals / match - Welayta Dicha
Mekelle Kenema scores in 61% of matches (14 of 23 matches), while Welayta Dicha keeps a clean sheet in 17% (4 of 23 matches).
Welayta Dicha scores in 70% of matches (16 of 23 matches), while Mekelle Kenema keeps a clean sheet in 35% (8 of 23 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Mekelle Kenema
Over / Under - Welayta Dicha
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Mekelle Kenema is 26% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.26 pts / match - Mekelle Kenema · 1 pts / match - Welayta Dicha
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Mekelle Kenema - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 26% of matches and wins 17%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Welayta Dicha - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 17% of matches and wins 22%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.60 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 100% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -2 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 1.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +5 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (6 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (7 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Mekelle Kenema
Welayta Dicha
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ethiopia Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Mekelle Kenema | Liga | Welayta Dicha | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 1.83 | 1.78 | ▲ 2.26 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 48% | 41% | ▲ 65% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 35% | 27% | ▲ 35% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 35% | 40% | ▼ 17% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 65% | 54% | ▲ 65% |
| Goal after half-time | • 57% | 58% | ▲ 74% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Mekelle Kenema 0 - 1 - 0 Welayta Dicha. Average goals 4.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Mekelle Kenema vs Welayta Dicha?
The Ethiopia Premier League match finished Mekelle Kenema 0:0 Welayta Dicha. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Mekelle Kenema vs Welayta Dicha?
Mekelle Kenema score 0.83 goals per game on average and Welayta Dicha 1.13. The Ethiopia Premier League average is 1.78 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 27% of games. Both teams score in 48% of Mekelle Kenema's matches and 65% of Welayta Dicha's.
What form are Mekelle Kenema and Welayta Dicha in?
Over the last 5 games Mekelle Kenema have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and Welayta Dicha 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Mekelle Kenema vs Welayta Dicha?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.