Melbourne City FC vs Brisbane Roar: match statistics
Melbourne City FC is displaying very poor home form, with a mere 20% win rate and an alarming winless streak across their last five matches overall. Brisbane Roar occupies a higher table position and demonstrates better recent form with 1.4 PPG, though their away statistics are mediocre with a 33% win rate. A key factor is the hosts' significant advantage in possession (62% vs 48%) and superior xG (1.82 vs 1.35), suggesting greater control over proceedings. Both teams share an identical conversion rate (8%) and similar goal averages, indicating comparable offensive strength. Considering the hosts' struggle for form despite their statistical dominance, combined with the visitors' decent away results, a draw in a tightly contested match appears the most likely scenario.
Melbourne City FC vs Brisbane Roar: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Melbourne City FC played Brisbane Roar in A-League (Australia). The match was played on 6 January 2026. Final score: 1:0.
Current form
Melbourne City FC: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match. Brisbane Roar: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Melbourne City FC scores 1.00 and concedes 0.91 goals per match. Brisbane Roar scores 1.00 and concedes 0.82. League average: 2.62 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Melbourne City FC 36%, Brisbane Roar 36%. Over 2.5: Melbourne City FC 27%, Brisbane Roar 45%. League level: BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 50%.
xG, shots and style
Melbourne City FC has higher xG: 1.57 vs 1.34. Melbourne City FC: 13.3 shots per match, Brisbane Roar: 12.6.
Match halves
Melbourne City FC: half-time lead 27%, second-half goals 0.36. Brisbane Roar: half-time lead 36%, second-half goals 0.45.
Goals by minute
Melbourne City FC: 0-15 (3 goals). Brisbane Roar: 31-45+ (4 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
A-League: 2.62 goals per match, BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 50%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-0. Average goals 0.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Melbourne City FC is displaying very poor home form, with a mere 20% win rate and an alarming winless streak across their last five matches overall. Brisbane Roar occupies a higher table position and demonstrates better recent form with 1.4 PPG, though their away statistics are mediocre with a 33% win rate. A key factor is the hosts' significant advantage in possession (62% vs 48%) and superior xG (1.82 vs 1.35), suggesting greater control over proceedings. Both teams share an identical conversion rate (8%) and similar goal averages, indicating comparable offensive strength. Considering the hosts' struggle for form despite their statistical dominance, combined with the visitors' decent away results, a draw in a tightly contested match appears the most likely scenario.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Melbourne City FC | Brisbane Roar | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 32% | 28% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.23 | 0.28 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Brisbane Roar is 40% better for: last-5 form.
1 pts / match - Melbourne City FC · 1.4 pts / match - Brisbane Roar
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Brisbane Roar is 11% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.91 goals / match - Melbourne City FC · 0.82 goals / match - Brisbane Roar
Melbourne City FC scores in 64% of matches (7 of 11 matches), while Brisbane Roar keeps a clean sheet in 55% (6 of 11 matches).
Brisbane Roar scores in 73% of matches (8 of 11 matches), while Melbourne City FC keeps a clean sheet in 55% (6 of 11 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Melbourne City FC
Over / Under - Brisbane Roar
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Brisbane Roar is 21% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.36 pts / match - Melbourne City FC · 1.64 pts / match - Brisbane Roar
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Melbourne City FC - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 27% of matches and wins 27%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Brisbane Roar - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 36% of matches and wins 45%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 0.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (3 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (4 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Melbourne City FC
Brisbane Roar
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (A-League).
Teams vs league
| Melbourne City FC | Liga | Brisbane Roar | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 1.91 | 2.62 | ▼ 1.82 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 36% | 52% | ▼ 36% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 27% | 50% | ▼ 45% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 55% | 29% | ▲ 55% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 64% | 68% | ▼ 64% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 45% | 70% | ▼ 55% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Melbourne City FC 0 - 1 - 0 Brisbane Roar. Average goals 0.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Melbourne City FC vs Brisbane Roar?
The A-League match finished Melbourne City FC 1:0 Brisbane Roar. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Melbourne City FC vs Brisbane Roar?
Melbourne City FC score 1.00 goals per game on average and Brisbane Roar 1.00. The A-League average is 2.62 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 50% of games. Both teams score in 36% of Melbourne City FC's matches and 36% of Brisbane Roar's.
What form are Melbourne City FC and Brisbane Roar in?
Over the last 5 games Melbourne City FC have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Brisbane Roar 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Melbourne City FC vs Brisbane Roar?
The statistical background for Melbourne City FC vs Brisbane Roar — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.