Melbourne Victory FC vs Adelaide United: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Melbourne Victory FC played Adelaide United in A-League (Australia). The match was played on 13 December 2025. Final score: 2:1.

Current form

Melbourne Victory FC: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match. Adelaide United: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match.

Goal statistics

Melbourne Victory FC scores 0.57 and concedes 1.57 goals per match. Adelaide United scores 1.57 and concedes 1.29. League average: 2.36 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Melbourne Victory FC 14%, Adelaide United 71%. Over 2.5: Melbourne Victory FC 29%, Adelaide United 71%. League level: BTTS 48%, Over 2.5 45%.

xG, shots and style

Melbourne Victory FC has higher xG: 1.62 vs 1.45. Melbourne Victory FC: 15.4 shots per match, Adelaide United: 12.4.

Match halves

Melbourne Victory FC: half-time lead 14%, second-half goals 0.29. Adelaide United: half-time lead 14%, second-half goals 1.00.

Goals by minute

Melbourne Victory FC: 46-60 (2 goals). Adelaide United: 61-75 (4 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

A-League: 2.36 goals per match, BTTS 48%, Over 2.5 45%.

Head-to-head

No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.

Half-by-half

1 : 0
1st half
1 : 1
2nd half

Match statistics

42Possession (%)58
Melbourne Victory FCAdelaide United
24Shots8
Melbourne Victory FCAdelaide United
10Shots on target2
Melbourne Victory FCAdelaide United
2.6xG1.06
Melbourne Victory FCAdelaide United
5Corners5
Melbourne Victory FCAdelaide United
57Dangerous attacks58
Melbourne Victory FCAdelaide United
11Fouls9
Melbourne Victory FCAdelaide United
1Cards1
Melbourne Victory FCAdelaide United

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

Melbourne Victory FCAdelaide United
0.57Goals scored / match1.57
Melbourne Victory FCAdelaide United
1.57Goals conceded / match1.29
Melbourne Victory FCAdelaide United
Melbourne Victory FCAdelaide United
51%Average possession52%
Melbourne Victory FCAdelaide United
4.29Shots on target / match5.14
Melbourne Victory FCAdelaide United
Melbourne Victory FCAdelaide United

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

15.43Shots per match12.43
Melbourne Victory FCAdelaide United
4.29Shots on target5.14
Melbourne Victory FCAdelaide United
3.7%Shot conversion12.6%
Melbourne Victory FCAdelaide United
51%Possession52%
Melbourne Victory FCAdelaide United
1.62xG for1.45
Melbourne Victory FCAdelaide United
1.47xG against1.64
Melbourne Victory FCAdelaide United

Shooting quality

Melbourne Victory FC: AttackingAdelaide United: Balanced
Melbourne Victory FCAdelaide United
Accuracy (shots on target)28%41%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.100.12
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.130.31

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Adelaide United is 50% better for: last-5 form.

0.8 pts / match - Melbourne Victory FC · 1.2 pts / match - Adelaide United

Melbourne Victory FC
WLLLD
Season result split
14% W29% R57% P
Season (W-D-L)
1-2-4
0.71 pts / match · goal difference -7
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-1-3
0.80 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
0-1-1
Last 5 at home
0-1-1
DL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 0.4Goals conceded: 1.2xG: 1.66Opponent xG: 1.38BTTS: 0%Over 2.5: 20%
Adelaide United
LWWLL
Season result split
43% W0% R57% P
Season (W-D-L)
3-0-4
1.29 pts / match · goal difference +2
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-0-3
1.20 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
0-0-3
Last 5 away
0-0-3
LLL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.6Goals conceded: 1.2xG: 1.27Opponent xG: 1.62BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 60%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Adelaide United is 175% better for: goals scored per match.

0.57 goals / match - Melbourne Victory FC · 1.57 goals / match - Adelaide United

Adelaide United is 22% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.57 goals / match - Melbourne Victory FC · 1.29 goals / match - Adelaide United

Melbourne Victory FC scoring profile: mixed

Melbourne Victory FC scores in 29% of matches (2 of 7 matches), while Adelaide United keeps a clean sheet in 14% (1 of 7 matches).

Adelaide United scoring profile: strong

Adelaide United scores in 86% of matches (6 of 7 matches), while Melbourne Victory FC keeps a clean sheet in 43% (3 of 7 matches).

4Goals scored (season)11
Melbourne Victory FCAdelaide United
11Goals conceded (season)9
Melbourne Victory FCAdelaide United
2.14Average goals in match2.86
Melbourne Victory FCAdelaide United
2Goals scored (last 5)8
Melbourne Victory FCAdelaide United
6Goals conceded (last 5)6
Melbourne Victory FCAdelaide United

How often they score at least...

29%1 goal86%
Melbourne Victory FCAdelaide United
29%2 goals43%
Melbourne Victory FCAdelaide United
0%3 goals14%
Melbourne Victory FCAdelaide United
0%4 goals14%
Melbourne Victory FCAdelaide United

How often they concede at least...

57%1 goal86%
Melbourne Victory FCAdelaide United
43%2 goals43%
Melbourne Victory FCAdelaide United
29%3 goals0%
Melbourne Victory FCAdelaide United
14%4 goals0%
Melbourne Victory FCAdelaide United

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

14%
Melbourne Victory FC - BTTSBTTS - percentage of matches where both teams scored.1 of 7 matches
48%
League average

Goal patterns

14%BTTS at half-time43%
Melbourne Victory FCAdelaide United
14%BTTS in both halves0%
Melbourne Victory FCAdelaide United
29%Scored in both halves14%
Melbourne Victory FCAdelaide United

BTTS and goal count

14%Min. 3 goals and BTTS71%
Melbourne Victory FCAdelaide United
14%Min. 3 goals without BTTS0%
Melbourne Victory FCAdelaide United
0%BTTS - last 560%
Melbourne Victory FCAdelaide United

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

Full match - team comparison (Over)

1st half

57%Min. 1 goal before half-time57%
Melbourne Victory FCAdelaide United
14%Min. 2 goals before half-time43%
Melbourne Victory FCAdelaide United
14%Min. 3 goals before half-time14%
Melbourne Victory FCAdelaide United

2nd half

57%Min. 1 goal after half-time100%
Melbourne Victory FCAdelaide United
29%Min. 2 goals after half-time57%
Melbourne Victory FCAdelaide United
29%Min. 3 goals after half-time14%
Melbourne Victory FCAdelaide United

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Adelaide United is 33% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

0.86 pts / match - Melbourne Victory FC · 1.14 pts / match - Adelaide United

Melbourne Victory FC - half-time state
14% leading43% draw43% trailing
Adelaide United - half-time state
14% leading71% draw14% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

0.86Points per match (1st half)1.14
Melbourne Victory FCAdelaide United
0.29Goals scored (1st half)0.57
Melbourne Victory FCAdelaide United
0.71Goals conceded (1st half)0.57
Melbourne Victory FCAdelaide United
1Average goals (1st half)1.14
Melbourne Victory FCAdelaide United
57%Clean sheet before half-time43%
Melbourne Victory FCAdelaide United
71%No goal before half-time57%
Melbourne Victory FCAdelaide United

After half-time (2nd half)

0.86Points per match (2nd half)1.43
Melbourne Victory FCAdelaide United
0.29Goals scored (2nd half)1
Melbourne Victory FCAdelaide United
0.86Goals conceded (2nd half)0.71
Melbourne Victory FCAdelaide United
1.14Average goals (2nd half)1.71
Melbourne Victory FCAdelaide United
57%Clean sheet after half-time29%
Melbourne Victory FCAdelaide United
71%No goal after half-time43%
Melbourne Victory FCAdelaide United

Melbourne Victory FC - second-half results

14% W43% R43% P
6
Half-time points
2
Half-time goals
-3
Goal difference (1st half)
6
Second-half points
-4
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.86
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at half-time in 14% of matches and wins 14%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.2

Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Adelaide United - second-half results

43% W14% R43% P
8
Half-time points
4
Half-time goals
0
Goal difference (1st half)
10
Second-half points
+2
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.14
PPG before half-time
Lead holding307%

Leads at half-time in 14% of matches and wins 43%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.1

Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Melbourne Victory FC - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.001.00
Goals scored / match0.20.2
Goals conceded / match0.40.8
Average goals in match0.61.0
1 goal60%60%
2 goals0%20%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet60%60%
No goal80%80%
Goal difference-1-3
Half-time: 20% leading - 40% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 40% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 1
Adelaide United - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.201.40
Goals scored / match0.61.0
Goals conceded / match0.60.6
Average goals in match1.21.6
1 goal60%100%
2 goals40%60%
3 goals20%0%
Clean sheet40%40%
No goal60%40%
Goal difference0+2
Half-time: 20% leading - 60% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 20% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 3

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Melbourne Victory FC
ScoredConceded
1
3
0-15
1
1
16-30
0
1
31-45
2
2
46-60
0
1
61-75
0
3
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (2 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.

Adelaide United
ScoredConceded
2
2
0-15
0
1
16-30
2
1
31-45
1
1
46-60
4
1
61-75
2
3
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (4 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.50
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
0.9 : 1.6
Estimated goal split
home : away
106%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
43%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-100%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
25%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
10%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 10 matches
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Melbourne Victory FC

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.15
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-1.15
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+2.5 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-1.05
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.10
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
41%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
160%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.09
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
0.0
Late goals
0% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 25% come in the first quarter-hour.
0%

Adelaide United

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.19
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.47
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-3.6 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.12
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.35
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
160%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
93%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.09
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.4
Late goals
18% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 18% come in the first quarter-hour.
18%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (A-League).

Teams vs league

Melbourne Victory FCLigaAdelaide United
Average goals in match 2.142.36 2.86
Both teams scored 14%48% 71%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 29%45% 71%
Clean sheets 43%32% 14%
Goal before half-time 57%66% 57%
Goal after half-time 57%66% 100%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.36
Average goals per match
48%
Both teams scored
45%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
32%
Clean sheets
1.39
Home goals / match
0.98
Away goals / match
+42%
Home attack advantage
+29%
Home defence advantage
+18%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
66%
1 goal
36%
2 goals
16%
3 goals
5%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
66%
1 goal
34%
2 goals
11%
3 goals
0%
4 goals

Lineups and player events

Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.

Match timeline

Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.

  1. Adelaide UnitedSubstitutionOn: Jay BarnettOff: Bart Vriends
  2. Melbourne Victory FCGoalNikolaos VergosAssist: Jordi Valadon
  3. Melbourne Victory FCGoalNikolaos VergosAssist: Juan Manuel Mata García
  4. Melbourne Victory FCYellow cardNikolaos Vergos
  5. Melbourne Victory FCSubstitutionOn: Matthew GrimaldiOff: Nishan Velupillay
  6. Adelaide UnitedYellow cardLuke Duzel
  7. Adelaide UnitedSubstitutionOn: Ryan WhiteOff: Luke Duzel
  8. Adelaide UnitedGoalDylan PieriasAssist: Ben Folami
  9. Melbourne Victory FCSubstitutionOn: Lachlan Robert Tua JacksonOff: Louis Joseph D'Arrigo

Referee and managers

Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.

Referee context

See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.

Shaun EvansMatches officiated: 14
4.07Cards per match
0Penalties per match
1 / X / 256%Home wins28%Draws14%Away wins

FAQ

What was the result of Melbourne Victory FC vs Adelaide United?

The A-League match finished Melbourne Victory FC 2:1 Adelaide United. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before Melbourne Victory FC vs Adelaide United?

Melbourne Victory FC score 0.57 goals per game on average and Adelaide United 1.57. The A-League average is 2.36 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 45% of games. Both teams score in 14% of Melbourne Victory FC's matches and 71% of Adelaide United's.

What form are Melbourne Victory FC and Adelaide United in?

Over the last 5 games Melbourne Victory FC have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and Adelaide United 2-0-3 (1.20 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Melbourne Victory FC vs Adelaide United?

The statistical background for Melbourne Victory FC vs Adelaide United — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.