Melbourne Victory FC vs Macarthur: match statistics
Melbourne Victory FC displays significantly better form in their last five matches, boasting an unbeaten record of 2 wins and 3 draws, while Macarthur is going through a crisis with 4 losses and only 1 draw. The hosts have a clear advantage at their stadium with a 44% home win rate and a positive goal difference of +7, whereas the visitors win only 33% of their away fixtures with a -1 goal difference. Melbourne Victory dominates in terms of gameplay quality in home matches, averaging 1.92 xG and 53% ball possession, outperforming Macarthur (1.67 xG and 47% possession away). Another key factor is efficiency – the hosts score an average of 1.78 goals per home game, while the visitors score only 1.11 goals on the road and concede an average of 1.22 goals. Taking into account the current form of both teams and their home/away statistics, Melbourne Victory holds a clear edge, although their tendency to draw (33% in home matches) and the visitors' solid defense suggest the possibility of shared points.
Melbourne Victory FC vs Macarthur: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Melbourne Victory FC played Macarthur in A-League (Australia). The match was played on 15 March 2026. Final score: 4:1.
Current form
Melbourne Victory FC: 2-3-0, 1.80 points/match. Macarthur: 0-2-3, 0.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Melbourne Victory FC scores 1.50 and concedes 1.30 goals per match. Macarthur scores 1.25 and concedes 1.55. League average: 2.81 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Melbourne Victory FC 50%, Macarthur 55%. Over 2.5: Melbourne Victory FC 50%, Macarthur 40%. League level: BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 55%.
xG, shots and style
Melbourne Victory FC has higher xG: 1.84 vs 1.57. Melbourne Victory FC: 17.0 shots per match, Macarthur: 14.3.
Match halves
Melbourne Victory FC: half-time lead 30%, second-half goals 0.90. Macarthur: half-time lead 20%, second-half goals 0.80.
Goals by minute
Melbourne Victory FC: 46-60 (7 goals). Macarthur: 61-75 (10 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
A-League: 2.81 goals per match, BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 55%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-0. Average goals 0.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Melbourne Victory FC displays significantly better form in their last five matches, boasting an unbeaten record of 2 wins and 3 draws, while Macarthur is going through a crisis with 4 losses and only 1 draw. The hosts have a clear advantage at their stadium with a 44% home win rate and a positive goal difference of +7, whereas the visitors win only 33% of their away fixtures with a -1 goal difference. Melbourne Victory dominates in terms of gameplay quality in home matches, averaging 1.92 xG and 53% ball possession, outperforming Macarthur (1.67 xG and 47% possession away). Another key factor is efficiency – the hosts score an average of 1.78 goals per home game, while the visitors score only 1.11 goals on the road and concede an average of 1.22 goals. Taking into account the current form of both teams and their home/away statistics, Melbourne Victory holds a clear edge, although their tendency to draw (33% in home matches) and the visitors' solid defense suggest the possibility of shared points.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Melbourne Victory FC | Macarthur | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 33% | 29% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.27 | 0.30 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Melbourne Victory FC is 350% better for: last-5 form.
1.8 pts / match - Melbourne Victory FC · 0.4 pts / match - Macarthur
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Melbourne Victory FC is 20% better for: goals scored per match.
1.5 goals / match - Melbourne Victory FC · 1.25 goals / match - Macarthur
Melbourne Victory FC is 19% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.3 goals / match - Melbourne Victory FC · 1.55 goals / match - Macarthur
Melbourne Victory FC scores in 65% of matches (13 of 20 matches), while Macarthur keeps a clean sheet in 15% (3 of 20 matches).
Macarthur scores in 65% of matches (13 of 20 matches), while Melbourne Victory FC keeps a clean sheet in 25% (5 of 20 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Melbourne Victory FC
Over / Under - Macarthur
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Melbourne Victory FC is 24% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.3 pts / match - Melbourne Victory FC · 1.05 pts / match - Macarthur
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Melbourne Victory FC - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 30% of matches and wins 40%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Macarthur - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 20% of matches and wins 30%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.20 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.2 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.8 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 0% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +3 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.20 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.2 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 20% |
| No goal | 100% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -6 | -1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (7 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (10 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): -6 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Melbourne Victory FC
Macarthur
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (A-League).
Teams vs league
| Melbourne Victory FC | Liga | Macarthur | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.80 | 2.81 | • 2.80 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 50% | 58% | ▼ 55% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 50% | 55% | ▼ 40% |
| Clean sheets | • 25% | 24% | ▼ 15% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 75% | 73% | ▼ 65% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 70% | 78% | ▲ 80% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Melbourne Victory FC 0 - 1 - 0 Macarthur. Average goals 0.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Melbourne Victory FC vs Macarthur?
The A-League match finished Melbourne Victory FC 4:1 Macarthur. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Melbourne Victory FC vs Macarthur?
Melbourne Victory FC score 1.50 goals per game on average and Macarthur 1.25. The A-League average is 2.81 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 55% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Melbourne Victory FC's matches and 55% of Macarthur's.
What form are Melbourne Victory FC and Macarthur in?
Over the last 5 games Melbourne Victory FC have a 2-3-0 record (1.80 points per game) and Macarthur 0-2-3 (0.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Melbourne Victory FC vs Macarthur?
The statistical background for Melbourne Victory FC vs Macarthur — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.