Melbourne Victory FC vs Wellington Phoenix: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Melbourne Victory FC played Wellington Phoenix in A-League (Australia). The match was played on 29 December 2025. Final score: 5:1.

Current form

Melbourne Victory FC: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. Wellington Phoenix: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match.

Goal statistics

Melbourne Victory FC scores 0.78 and concedes 1.33 goals per match. Wellington Phoenix scores 1.44 and concedes 1.67. League average: 2.54 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Melbourne Victory FC 22%, Wellington Phoenix 89%. Over 2.5: Melbourne Victory FC 33%, Wellington Phoenix 78%. League level: BTTS 51%, Over 2.5 47%.

xG, shots and style

Melbourne Victory FC has higher xG: 1.72 vs 1.62. Melbourne Victory FC: 16.2 shots per match, Wellington Phoenix: 14.3.

Match halves

Melbourne Victory FC: half-time lead 22%, second-half goals 0.44. Wellington Phoenix: half-time lead 22%, second-half goals 0.89.

Goals by minute

Melbourne Victory FC: 46-60 (3 goals). Wellington Phoenix: 46-60 (4 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

A-League: 2.54 goals per match, BTTS 51%, Over 2.5 47%.

Head-to-head

No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.

Half-by-half

2 : 1
1st half
3 : 0
2nd half

Match statistics

58Possession (%)42
Melbourne Victory FCWellington Phoenix
17Shots8
Melbourne Victory FCWellington Phoenix
6Shots on target2
Melbourne Victory FCWellington Phoenix
1.91xG0.9
Melbourne Victory FCWellington Phoenix
4Corners2
Melbourne Victory FCWellington Phoenix
57Dangerous attacks34
Melbourne Victory FCWellington Phoenix
12Fouls10
Melbourne Victory FCWellington Phoenix
1Cards1
Melbourne Victory FCWellington Phoenix

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

Melbourne Victory FCWellington Phoenix
0.78Goals scored / match1.44
Melbourne Victory FCWellington Phoenix
1.33Goals conceded / match1.67
Melbourne Victory FCWellington Phoenix
Melbourne Victory FCWellington Phoenix
49%Average possession56%
Melbourne Victory FCWellington Phoenix
4.89Shots on target / match5.67
Melbourne Victory FCWellington Phoenix
Melbourne Victory FCWellington Phoenix

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

16.22Shots per match14.33
Melbourne Victory FCWellington Phoenix
4.89Shots on target5.67
Melbourne Victory FCWellington Phoenix
4.8%Shot conversion10.1%
Melbourne Victory FCWellington Phoenix
49%Possession56%
Melbourne Victory FCWellington Phoenix
1.72xG for1.62
Melbourne Victory FCWellington Phoenix
1.42xG against1.39
Melbourne Victory FCWellington Phoenix

Shooting quality

Melbourne Victory FC: AttackingWellington Phoenix: Dominant
Melbourne Victory FCWellington Phoenix
Accuracy (shots on target)30%40%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.110.11
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.160.25

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Melbourne Victory FC is 17% better for: last-5 form.

1.4 pts / match - Melbourne Victory FC · 1.2 pts / match - Wellington Phoenix

Melbourne Victory FC
LLDWW
Season result split
33% W22% R44% P
Season (W-D-L)
3-2-4
1.22 pts / match · goal difference -5
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-1-2
1.40 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
1-1-1
Last 5 at home
1-1-1
DLW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 0.6Goals conceded: 1.0xG: 1.77Opponent xG: 1.34BTTS: 20%Over 2.5: 40%
Wellington Phoenix
LWLLW
Season result split
33% W22% R44% P
Season (W-D-L)
3-2-4
1.22 pts / match · goal difference -2
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-0-3
1.20 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
0-2-1
Last 5 away
0-2-1
DDL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.4Goals conceded: 1.8xG: 1.54Opponent xG: 1.66BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 80%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Wellington Phoenix is 85% better for: goals scored per match.

0.78 goals / match - Melbourne Victory FC · 1.44 goals / match - Wellington Phoenix

Melbourne Victory FC is 26% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.33 goals / match - Melbourne Victory FC · 1.67 goals / match - Wellington Phoenix

Melbourne Victory FC scoring profile: strong

Melbourne Victory FC scores in 44% of matches (4 of 9 matches), while Wellington Phoenix keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 9 matches).

Wellington Phoenix scoring profile: very strong

Wellington Phoenix scores in 89% of matches (8 of 9 matches), while Melbourne Victory FC keeps a clean sheet in 44% (4 of 9 matches).

7Goals scored (season)13
Melbourne Victory FCWellington Phoenix
12Goals conceded (season)15
Melbourne Victory FCWellington Phoenix
2.11Average goals in match3.11
Melbourne Victory FCWellington Phoenix
3Goals scored (last 5)7
Melbourne Victory FCWellington Phoenix
5Goals conceded (last 5)9
Melbourne Victory FCWellington Phoenix

How often they score at least...

44%1 goal89%
Melbourne Victory FCWellington Phoenix
33%2 goals44%
Melbourne Victory FCWellington Phoenix
0%3 goals11%
Melbourne Victory FCWellington Phoenix
0%4 goals0%
Melbourne Victory FCWellington Phoenix

How often they concede at least...

56%1 goal100%
Melbourne Victory FCWellington Phoenix
33%2 goals44%
Melbourne Victory FCWellington Phoenix
22%3 goals22%
Melbourne Victory FCWellington Phoenix
11%4 goals0%
Melbourne Victory FCWellington Phoenix

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

22%
Melbourne Victory FC - BTTSBTTS - percentage of matches where both teams scored.2 of 9 matches
89%
Wellington Phoenix - BTTSBTTS - percentage of matches where both teams scored.8 of 9 matches
51%
League average

Goal patterns

11%BTTS at half-time33%
Melbourne Victory FCWellington Phoenix
11%BTTS in both halves0%
Melbourne Victory FCWellington Phoenix
33%Scored in both halves33%
Melbourne Victory FCWellington Phoenix

BTTS and goal count

22%Min. 3 goals and BTTS78%
Melbourne Victory FCWellington Phoenix
11%Min. 3 goals without BTTS0%
Melbourne Victory FCWellington Phoenix
20%BTTS - last 580%
Melbourne Victory FCWellington Phoenix

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

Full match - team comparison (Over)

Melbourne Victory FCWellington Phoenix
Melbourne Victory FCWellington Phoenix

1st half

56%Min. 1 goal before half-time78%
Melbourne Victory FCWellington Phoenix
11%Min. 2 goals before half-time33%
Melbourne Victory FCWellington Phoenix
11%Min. 3 goals before half-time22%
Melbourne Victory FCWellington Phoenix

2nd half

67%Min. 1 goal after half-time89%
Melbourne Victory FCWellington Phoenix
33%Min. 2 goals after half-time56%
Melbourne Victory FCWellington Phoenix
22%Min. 3 goals after half-time22%
Melbourne Victory FCWellington Phoenix

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Melbourne Victory FC is 11% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.11 pts / match - Melbourne Victory FC · 1 pts / match - Wellington Phoenix

Melbourne Victory FC - half-time state
22% leading44% draw33% trailing
Wellington Phoenix - half-time state
22% leading33% draw44% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.11Points per match (1st half)1
Melbourne Victory FCWellington Phoenix
0.33Goals scored (1st half)0.56
Melbourne Victory FCWellington Phoenix
0.56Goals conceded (1st half)0.78
Melbourne Victory FCWellington Phoenix
0.89Average goals (1st half)1.33
Melbourne Victory FCWellington Phoenix
67%Clean sheet before half-time44%
Melbourne Victory FCWellington Phoenix
67%No goal before half-time44%
Melbourne Victory FCWellington Phoenix

After half-time (2nd half)

1.11Points per match (2nd half)1.22
Melbourne Victory FCWellington Phoenix
0.44Goals scored (2nd half)0.89
Melbourne Victory FCWellington Phoenix
0.78Goals conceded (2nd half)0.89
Melbourne Victory FCWellington Phoenix
1.22Average goals (2nd half)1.78
Melbourne Victory FCWellington Phoenix
56%Clean sheet after half-time44%
Melbourne Victory FCWellington Phoenix
56%No goal after half-time33%
Melbourne Victory FCWellington Phoenix

Melbourne Victory FC - second-half results

22% W44% R33% P
10
Half-time points
3
Half-time goals
-2
Goal difference (1st half)
10
Second-half points
-3
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.11
PPG before half-time
Lead holding150%

Leads at half-time in 22% of matches and wins 33%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.2

Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Wellington Phoenix - second-half results

33% W22% R44% P
9
Half-time points
5
Half-time goals
-2
Goal difference (1st half)
11
Second-half points
0
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.00
PPG before half-time
Lead holding150%

Leads at half-time in 22% of matches and wins 33%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.1

Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Melbourne Victory FC - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.201.20
Goals scored / match0.20.4
Goals conceded / match0.20.8
Average goals in match0.41.2
1 goal40%60%
2 goals0%40%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet80%60%
No goal80%60%
Goal difference0-2
Half-time: 20% leading - 60% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 60% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 1
Wellington Phoenix - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.200.80
Goals scored / match0.41.0
Goals conceded / match0.41.4
Average goals in match0.82.4
1 goal60%100%
2 goals20%80%
3 goals0%40%
Clean sheet60%20%
No goal60%20%
Goal difference0-2
Half-time: 20% leading - 60% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 20% draw - 60% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 2

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Melbourne Victory FC
ScoredConceded
1
3
0-15
2
1
16-30
0
1
31-45
3
2
46-60
0
1
61-75
1
4
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (3 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.

Wellington Phoenix
ScoredConceded
3
2
0-15
0
2
16-30
2
3
31-45
4
4
46-60
2
2
61-75
2
2
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (4 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.61
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.2 : 1.4
Estimated goal split
home : away
103%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
56%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-100%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
39%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
6%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 17 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Melbourne Victory FC

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.30
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.85
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+4.1 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.94
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.09
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
56%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
117%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.18
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.1
Late goals
14% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 14% come in the first quarter-hour.
14%

Wellington Phoenix

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.23
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.46
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-0.6 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.18
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.28
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
126%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
119%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.02
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.3
Late goals
15% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 23% come in the first quarter-hour.
15%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (A-League).

Teams vs league

Melbourne Victory FCLigaWellington Phoenix
Average goals in match 2.112.54 3.11
Both teams scored 22%51% 89%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 33%47% 78%
Clean sheets 44%29% 0%
Goal before half-time 56%65% 78%
Goal after half-time 67%68% 89%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.54
Average goals per match
51%
Both teams scored
47%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
29%
Clean sheets
1.40
Home goals / match
1.14
Away goals / match
+23%
Home attack advantage
+19%
Home defence advantage
+11%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
65%
1 goal
35%
2 goals
14%
3 goals
4%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
68%
1 goal
42%
2 goals
16%
3 goals
5%
4 goals

Lineups and player events

Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.

Match timeline

Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.

  1. Melbourne Victory FCGoalNikolaos VergosAssist: Nishan Velupillay
  2. Wellington PhoenixGoalRamy Najjarine
  3. Melbourne Victory FCGoalNikolaos VergosAssist: Joshua Rawlins
  4. Wellington PhoenixYellow cardManjrekar James
  5. Melbourne Victory FCGoalNikolaos VergosAssist: Joshua Rawlins
  6. Melbourne Victory FCSubstitutionOn: Matthew GrimaldiOff: Nishan Velupillay
  7. Wellington PhoenixSubstitutionOn: Paulo Ricardo Pereira RetreOff: Alex Arthur Rufer
  8. Melbourne Victory FCGoalKeegan JelacicAssist: Jing Reec
  9. Melbourne Victory FCYellow cardAdama Traoré

Referee and managers

Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.

Referee context

See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.

Shaun EvansMatches officiated: 14
4.07Cards per match
0Penalties per match
1 / X / 256%Home wins28%Draws14%Away wins

FAQ

What was the result of Melbourne Victory FC vs Wellington Phoenix?

The A-League match finished Melbourne Victory FC 5:1 Wellington Phoenix. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before Melbourne Victory FC vs Wellington Phoenix?

Melbourne Victory FC score 0.78 goals per game on average and Wellington Phoenix 1.44. The A-League average is 2.54 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 47% of games. Both teams score in 22% of Melbourne Victory FC's matches and 89% of Wellington Phoenix's.

What form are Melbourne Victory FC and Wellington Phoenix in?

Over the last 5 games Melbourne Victory FC have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Wellington Phoenix 2-0-3 (1.20 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Melbourne Victory FC vs Wellington Phoenix?

This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.