Melgar vs Real Garcilaso: match statistics
Melgar vs Real Garcilaso: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Melgar play Real Garcilaso in Primera División (Peru). The match date is 4 April 2026 at 22:30. Final score: 1:3.
Current form
Melgar: 3-2-0, 2.20 points/match. Real Garcilaso: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Melgar scores 1.78 and concedes 1.17 goals per match. Real Garcilaso scores 1.39 and concedes 1.39. League average: 2.67 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Melgar 72%, Real Garcilaso 61%. Over 2.5: Melgar 61%, Real Garcilaso 56%. League level: BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 53%.
xG, shots and style
Melgar has higher xG: 1.46 vs 1.37. Melgar: 14.0 shots per match, Real Garcilaso: 12.6.
Match halves
Melgar: half-time lead 50%, second-half goals 0.89. Real Garcilaso: half-time lead 28%, second-half goals 0.67.
Goals by minute
Melgar: 31-45+ (8 goals). Real Garcilaso: 76-90+ (7 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Primera División: 2.67 goals per match, BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 53%.
Head-to-head
2 H2H matches: 1-0-1. Average goals 1.50, BTTS 0%.
Match description
Melgar is the favorite to win: at home they average 1.75 goals scored and concede only 0.5 goals per match, keeping 75% clean sheets, with home xG of 1.42 and 14 shots (4.5 on target) with a conversion rate around 13%. Real Garcilaso have serious finishing issues on the road — only 0.75 goals per match on average with xG 1.3, 7% conversion and 50% of away matches without a goal. Additionally, the visitors concede 1.25 goals per away match on average and have 0% clean sheets, while their away loss rate is 75% (away goal difference -2). Melgar haven’t won any of their last 5 matches (0 wins, 3 draws, 2 losses) and have 0.6 points per match in that period, but home form 'wwld' (2-1-1), the advantage in conversion (13% vs 7%) and a +5 home goal difference favor the hosts. Therefore I tip a Melgar victory.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Melgar | Real Garcilaso | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 33% | 37% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.10 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.39 | 0.30 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Melgar is 10% better for: last-5 form.
2.2 pts / match - Melgar · 2 pts / match - Real Garcilaso
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Melgar is 28% better for: goals scored per match.
1.78 goals / match - Melgar · 1.39 goals / match - Real Garcilaso
Melgar is 19% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.17 goals / match - Melgar · 1.39 goals / match - Real Garcilaso
Melgar scores in 89% of matches (16 of 18 matches), while Real Garcilaso keeps a clean sheet in 17% (3 of 18 matches).
Real Garcilaso scores in 78% of matches (14 of 18 matches), while Melgar keeps a clean sheet in 22% (4 of 18 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Melgar
Over / Under — Real Garcilaso
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Melgar is 22% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.83 pts / match - Melgar · 1.5 pts / match - Real Garcilaso
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Melgar - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 50% of matches and wins 50%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Real Garcilaso - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 28% of matches and wins 50%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.00 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 1.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 2.2 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 20% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +2 | +5 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +3 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (8 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (7 goli). Concedes most in 46-60 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Melgar
Real Garcilaso
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Primera División).
Teams vs league
| Melgar | Liga | Real Garcilaso | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.94 | 2.67 | ▲ 2.78 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 72% | 58% | ▲ 61% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 61% | 53% | ▲ 56% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 22% | 24% | ▼ 17% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 78% | 65% | ▼ 56% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 89% | 80% | ▲ 89% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Melgar 1 - 0 - 1 Real Garcilaso. Average goals 1.50, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Melgar vs Real Garcilaso?
The Primera División match finished Melgar 1:3 Real Garcilaso. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Melgar and Real Garcilaso?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Melgar won 1, Real Garcilaso won 1 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 1.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Melgar vs Real Garcilaso?
Melgar score 1.78 goals per game on average and Real Garcilaso 1.39. The Primera División average is 2.67 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 53% of games. Both teams score in 72% of Melgar's matches and 61% of Real Garcilaso's.
What form are Melgar and Real Garcilaso in?
Over the last 5 games Melgar have a 3-2-0 record (2.20 points per game) and Real Garcilaso 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Melgar vs Real Garcilaso?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.