Melgar vs Sport Huancayo: match statistics
Melgar vs Sport Huancayo: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Melgar played Sport Huancayo in Primera División (Peru). The match was played on 16 May 2026. Final score: 4:1.
Current form
Melgar: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match. Sport Huancayo: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Melgar scores 1.50 and concedes 1.21 goals per match. Sport Huancayo scores 1.21 and concedes 1.64. League average: 2.70 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Melgar 64%, Sport Huancayo 71%. Over 2.5: Melgar 57%, Sport Huancayo 71%. League level: BTTS 59%, Over 2.5 54%.
xG, shots and style
Sport Huancayo has higher xG: 1.40 vs 1.31. Melgar: 12.7 shots per match, Sport Huancayo: 12.7.
Match halves
Melgar: half-time lead 50%, second-half goals 0.57. Sport Huancayo: half-time lead 14%, second-half goals 0.57.
Goals by minute
Melgar: 31-45+ (7 goals). Sport Huancayo: 31-45+ (4 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Primera División: 2.70 goals per match, BTTS 59%, Over 2.5 54%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 1-1-0. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 50%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Melgar has a clear advantage in home metrics: they average 1.71 goals per home match with 14 shots and 4.29 shots on target (conversion 12%) and xG 1.44, whereas Sport Huancayo away records 1.00 goal with 9.29 shots, 2.86 on target (conversion 11%) and xG 1.07. Defensively the gap is even more pronounced — hosts concede 0.86 goals per home game and keep 57% clean sheets, while visitors concede 2.29 goals away and have only 14% clean sheets. Form confirms Melgar’s edge: in the last 5 matches the hosts scored 8 goals, achieved 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss (average 2.0 points per match), while Sport Huancayo also scored 8 goals but conceded 10 and average 1.4 points per match. Additionally, the hosts win 57% of their home games, and the visitors have yet to win away (0% wins), suggesting a mental and tactical advantage. Considering better shot efficiency, higher xG (1.44 vs 1.07) and more stable defence, I predict a home win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Both teams have a seasonal BTTS rate of 71% (Melgar 71% and Sport Huancayo 71%), while the league average BTTS is 59%, indicating an above-average probability of both teams scoring. In the last 5 matches Sport Huancayo recorded BTTS in 100% of games (5/5) and Melgar in 60% (3/5), so the visitors consistently concede goals. Melgar generates more offensive threat: average xG 1.73 with 16.14 shots and 5.29 shots on target per match, while Sport posts xG 1.07 with 9.29 shots and 2.86 shots on target; simultaneously Sport concedes an average of 2.29 goals this season and 2.0 in the last 5 matches (10 conceded), which increases the chance of goals for the home side. Additionally, clean sheets occur in only 14% of matches for both teams, while Sport Huancayo sees over 2.5 goals in 86% of matches and 71% of matches feature both >2.5 goals and BTTS, confirming the fixtures’ both-teams-to-score nature. Based on these numbers I rate BTTS - Yes as the most likely outcome and price it at 82% versus 18% for No Goal.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Melgar has an xG of 1.73 and averages 1.43 goals scored per match, while Sport Huancayo has an xG of 1.07 and concedes 2.29 goals per match on average, indicating a home advantage in chance creation. Aggregating both sides' xG yields a projection of 1.64 goals for Melgar and 0.93 for Sport Huancayo (total 2.57). Both teams record a high percentage of matches over 1.5 goals: 86% for Melgar and 86% for Sport, therefore I assign an 86% probability to Over 1.5. For the 2.5 line seasonal shares are 57% (Melgar) and 86% (Sport), averaging roughly 72%, and the last 5 matches show 40% (Melgar) and 100% (Sport) Over 2.5, which supports a moderately strong signal for Over 2.5. Over 3.5 appears unlikely (0% for Melgar vs 43% for Sport, average ~22%), so the best and strongest signal from the data is Over 1.5.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Melgar is the clear favorite: at home they score on average 1.43 goals per match and have an xG of 1.73 versus an xG against of 0.79, while Sport Huancayo has an xG of 1.07 and an xG against of 1.54 and concedes on average 2.29 goals per game. The hosts average 16.14 shots (5.29 on target) compared to the visitors' 9.29 (2.86), which—given a similar conversion rate (9% vs 11%)—gives Melgar a significant advantage in chance creation. Although Melgar were level at half-time in 71% of their season matches, in the last 5 games the hosts led at the break in 3 of 5 (60%) and averaged 1.2 goals by half-time, whereas Sport Huancayo did not lead at half-time in that period (0%) and averaged 0.8 goals. Over the season Melgar win 57% of home matches and average 1.86 points per home game, while Huancayo have 0% away wins and only 0.29 points on the road, which increases the hosts’ likelihood of holding a lead. On this basis the most likely scenario is Melgar leading at the break and winning the match (1/1), so I assign the highest weight to this HT/FT outcome.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Melgar | Sport Huancayo | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 30% | 32% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.10 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.39 | 0.30 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Melgar is 43% better for: last-5 form.
2 pts / match - Melgar · 1.4 pts / match - Sport Huancayo
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Melgar is 24% better for: goals scored per match.
1.5 goals / match - Melgar · 1.21 goals / match - Sport Huancayo
Melgar is 36% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.21 goals / match - Melgar · 1.64 goals / match - Sport Huancayo
Melgar scores in 86% of matches (12 of 14 matches), while Sport Huancayo keeps a clean sheet in 14% (2 of 14 matches).
Sport Huancayo scores in 79% of matches (11 of 14 matches), while Melgar keeps a clean sheet in 29% (4 of 14 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Melgar
Over / Under - Sport Huancayo
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Melgar is 74% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.86 pts / match - Melgar · 1.07 pts / match - Sport Huancayo
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Melgar - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 50% of matches and wins 43%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.
Concedes 0.5 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Sport Huancayo - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 14% of matches and wins 29%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.20 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.2 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +5 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.60 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.4 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 2.2 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 80% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 0% | 40% |
| No goal | 20% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -3 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (7 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (4 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Melgar
Sport Huancayo
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Primera División).
Teams vs league
| Melgar | Liga | Sport Huancayo | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.71 | 2.70 | ▲ 2.86 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 64% | 59% | ▲ 71% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 57% | 54% | ▲ 71% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 29% | 24% | ▼ 14% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 71% | 65% | ▲ 71% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 86% | 81% | ▲ 86% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Melgar 1 - 1 - 0 Sport Huancayo. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 50% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Melgar vs Sport Huancayo?
The Primera División match finished Melgar 4:1 Sport Huancayo. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Melgar and Sport Huancayo?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Melgar won 1, Sport Huancayo won 0 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 3.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Melgar vs Sport Huancayo?
Melgar score 1.50 goals per game on average and Sport Huancayo 1.21. The Primera División average is 2.70 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 54% of games. Both teams score in 64% of Melgar's matches and 71% of Sport Huancayo's.
What form are Melgar and Sport Huancayo in?
Over the last 5 games Melgar have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and Sport Huancayo 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Melgar vs Sport Huancayo?
The statistical background for Melgar vs Sport Huancayo — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.