Melgar vs Sporting Cristal: match statistics
Melgar vs Sporting Cristal: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Melgar played Sporting Cristal in Primera División (Peru). The match was played on 26 July 2026. Venue: Estadio de la Universidad Nacional San Agustín. Final score: 2:1.
Current form
Melgar: 3-2-0, 2.20 points/match. Sporting Cristal: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Melgar scores 1.78 and concedes 1.17 goals per match. Sporting Cristal scores 1.61 and concedes 1.67. League average: 2.66 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Melgar 72%, Sporting Cristal 78%. Over 2.5: Melgar 61%, Sporting Cristal 72%. League level: BTTS 57%, Over 2.5 53%.
xG, shots and style
Sporting Cristal has higher xG: 1.71 vs 1.46. Melgar: 14.0 shots per match, Sporting Cristal: 15.6.
Match halves
Melgar: half-time lead 50%, second-half goals 0.89. Sporting Cristal: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 1.00.
Goals by minute
Melgar: 31-45+ (8 goals). Sporting Cristal: 76-90+ (9 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Primera División: 2.66 goals per match, BTTS 57%, Over 2.5 53%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 3 previous H2H matches were available: 2-0-1. Average goals 1.67, BTTS 33%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Melgar is the clear favorite at home: they score 2.11 goals per home match and concede only 0.89, have a 67% home win rate and 44% clean sheets at home. Sporting Cristal average 1.22 goals and concede 2.00 per away match, with only an 11% away win rate and 11% clean sheets, indicating defensive issues on the road. In the last 5 matches Melgar scored 12 goals (2.4 avg) and averages 2.2 points per match, while Sporting scored 7 goals (1.4 avg) and has 1.2 points per match, confirming the hosts’ superior form. Melgar also generates higher-quality chances — home xG 1.56 vs away xG 1.46, 5 shots on target per match versus 4.33 and a higher shot conversion rate 14% compared to Sporting’s 9%, so more of their attempts turn into goals. Considering Melgar’s lower expected goals conceded (xG against 1.22 vs Sporting 1.86) along with advantages in form and efficiency, I predict a home win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Both teams have a very high BTTS rate this season: Melgar 78% and Sporting Cristal 78%, versus a league average of 57%. Melgar averages 2.0 goals scored and concedes 1.33, while Sporting scores 1.22 and concedes 2.0, indicating offensive potential on both sides and defensive vulnerability. In the last 5 matches Melgar has BTTS at 100% (5/5) scoring 12 goals (2.4/match), and Sporting has 60% BTTS with 7 goals (1.4/match) and 9 conceded (1.8/match), further increasing the likelihood of goals at both ends. xG confirms this: attacking xG is 1.95 for Melgar versus 1.46 for Sporting, and xG against is 1.09 versus 1.86; Melgar averages 6.22 shots on target compared to Sporting's 4.33, suggesting a home offensive edge alongside the visitors' defensive susceptibility. Considering 78% for both teams, Melgar's 100% BTTS in the last 5 and low clean sheet percentages (22% vs 11%), I pick BTTS - Yes and estimate BTTS probability at 85% vs 15%.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Both teams have 89% of season matches with over 1.5 goals, and both teams scoring (BTTS) occurs in 78% of games, strongly supporting at least two goals. Estimated xG is roughly 1.90 for Melgar (attacking xG 1.95 and Sporting conceded xG 1.86 -> (1.95+1.86)/2=1.905) and 1.28 for Sporting (attacking xG 1.46 and Melgar conceded xG 1.09 -> (1.46+1.09)/2=1.275), totalling about 3.18 goals. Melgar in the last 5 matches scores on average 2.4 goals and registers 6.22 shots on target with an 11% conversion rate, while Sporting scores 1.4 goals on average, records 4.33 shots on target and has a 9% conversion; Sporting also concedes 1.8 goals on average in the last five. Given the 89% occurrence of over 1.5, the high 78% rate of BTTS, and combined xG=3.18, I recommend playing Over 1.5 goals as the strongest and safest signal.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Statistical analysis indicates the most likely scenario is Melgar leading at half-time and the hosts winning at full-time (1/1). In their last 5 matches Melgar led at the break in 3 of 5 (60%), while Sporting Cristal led in only 1 of 5 (20%), giving Melgar the advantage for the first half. Melgar produces on average 1.95 xG versus Cristal’s 1.46 and registers 6.22 shots on target per game compared to the visitors’ 4.33, and the season-long home win rate is 56% versus the visitors’ 11%, which confirms the advantage for the full match. After the break Melgar scores on average 1.33 goals while Cristal scores 0.67, and Sporting Cristal concedes on average 1.86 xG, so a visitor turnaround after half-time is unlikely. Therefore I strongly back 1/1 as the clearest signal, with alternatives X/1 (20%) and 1/X (15%) remaining possible due to the high season percentage of both-teams-to-score matches (78%).
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Melgar | Sporting Cristal | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 33% | 34% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.10 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.39 | 0.30 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Melgar is 57% better for: last-5 form.
2.2 pts / match - Melgar · 1.4 pts / match - Sporting Cristal
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Melgar is 11% better for: goals scored per match.
1.78 goals / match - Melgar · 1.61 goals / match - Sporting Cristal
Melgar is 43% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.17 goals / match - Melgar · 1.67 goals / match - Sporting Cristal
Melgar scores in 89% of matches (16 of 18 matches), while Sporting Cristal keeps a clean sheet in 17% (3 of 18 matches).
Sporting Cristal scores in 94% of matches (17 of 18 matches), while Melgar keeps a clean sheet in 22% (4 of 18 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Melgar
Over / Under - Sporting Cristal
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Melgar is 38% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.83 pts / match - Melgar · 1.33 pts / match - Sporting Cristal
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Melgar - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 50% of matches and wins 50%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Sporting Cristal - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 33%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.5 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.00 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 1.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 2.2 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 20% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +2 | +5 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (8 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (9 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Melgar
Sporting Cristal
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Primera División).
Teams vs league
| Melgar | Liga | Sporting Cristal | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.94 | 2.66 | ▲ 3.28 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 72% | 57% | ▲ 78% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 61% | 53% | ▲ 72% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 22% | 25% | ▼ 17% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 78% | 64% | ▲ 72% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 89% | 80% | ▲ 89% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (3): Melgar 2 - 0 - 1 Sporting Cristal. Average goals 1.67, both teams scored in 33% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Melgar vs Sporting Cristal?
The Primera División match finished Melgar 2:1 Sporting Cristal. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Melgar and Sporting Cristal?
In the last 3 head-to-head matches Melgar won 2, Sporting Cristal won 1 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 1.67 goals, with both teams scoring in 33% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Melgar vs Sporting Cristal?
Melgar score 1.78 goals per game on average and Sporting Cristal 1.61. The Primera División average is 2.66 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 53% of games. Both teams score in 72% of Melgar's matches and 78% of Sporting Cristal's.
What form are Melgar and Sporting Cristal in?
Over the last 5 games Melgar have a 3-2-0 record (2.20 points per game) and Sporting Cristal 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Melgar vs Sporting Cristal?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.