Mes Kerman vs Saipa: match statistics
Statistical analysis points to a highly competitive fixture. Mes Kerman displays solid home form, boasting 63% clean sheets and a loss rate of just 13% on home turf, though their offensive output is weak (0.63 goals/match). Saipa holds a superior league position (4th) and an impressive 78% clean sheet rate on the road, yet also suffers from low scoring efficiency (0.67 goals/match). Recent form is comparable: Mes Kerman is on a streak of 4 draws in their last 5 games, while Saipa averages 1.6 points per match. xG metrics are similar (1.32 vs 1.39 for the visitors), and both sides are characterized by a defensive style of play. I anticipate a low-scoring affair and a draw, a scenario supported by the high percentage of stalemates recorded by both teams this season.
Mes Kerman vs Saipa: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Mes Kerman play Saipa in Azadegan League (Iran). The match date is 20 January 2026 at 12:00. Final score: 1:0.
Current form
Mes Kerman: 1-3-1, 1.20 points/match. Saipa: 4-0-1, 2.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Mes Kerman scores 0.68 and concedes 0.53 goals per match. Saipa scores 0.88 and concedes 0.53. League average: 1.59 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Mes Kerman 26%, Saipa 26%. Over 2.5: Mes Kerman 15%, Saipa 26%. League level: BTTS 30%, Over 2.5 22%.
xG, shots and style
Saipa has higher xG: 1.18 vs 1.10. Mes Kerman: 3.6 shots per match, Saipa: 4.1.
Match halves
Mes Kerman: half-time lead 18%, second-half goals 0.35. Saipa: half-time lead 26%, second-half goals 0.47.
Goals by minute
Mes Kerman: 76-90+ (7 goals). Saipa: 76-90+ (7 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Azadegan League: 1.59 goals per match, BTTS 30%, Over 2.5 22%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 0-1-0. Average goals 0.00, BTTS 0%.
Match description
Statistical analysis points to a highly competitive fixture. Mes Kerman displays solid home form, boasting 63% clean sheets and a loss rate of just 13% on home turf, though their offensive output is weak (0.63 goals/match). Saipa holds a superior league position (4th) and an impressive 78% clean sheet rate on the road, yet also suffers from low scoring efficiency (0.67 goals/match). Recent form is comparable: Mes Kerman is on a streak of 4 draws in their last 5 games, while Saipa averages 1.6 points per match. xG metrics are similar (1.32 vs 1.39 for the visitors), and both sides are characterized by a defensive style of play. I anticipate a low-scoring affair and a draw, a scenario supported by the high percentage of stalemates recorded by both teams this season.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Mes Kerman | Saipa | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 38% | 28% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.31 | 0.29 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.50 | 0.77 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Saipa is 100% better for: last-5 form.
1.2 pts / match - Mes Kerman · 2.4 pts / match - Saipa
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Saipa is 29% better for: goals scored per match.
0.68 goals / match - Mes Kerman · 0.88 goals / match - Saipa
Mes Kerman scores in 53% of matches (18 of 34 matches), while Saipa keeps a clean sheet in 68% (23 of 34 matches).
Saipa scores in 68% of matches (23 of 34 matches), while Mes Kerman keeps a clean sheet in 56% (19 of 34 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Mes Kerman
Over / Under — Saipa
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Saipa is 16% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.24 pts / match - Mes Kerman · 1.44 pts / match - Saipa
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Mes Kerman - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 18% of matches and wins 29%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Saipa - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 26% of matches and wins 47%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 0.2 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 20% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 2.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 80% |
| No goal | 60% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (7 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (7 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Mes Kerman
Saipa
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Azadegan League).
Teams vs league
| Mes Kerman | Liga | Saipa | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 1.21 | 1.59 | ▼ 1.41 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 26% | 30% | ▼ 26% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 15% | 22% | ▲ 26% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 56% | 46% | ▲ 68% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 35% | 46% | ▼ 44% |
| Goal after half-time | • 56% | 57% | ▲ 62% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Mes Kerman 0 - 1 - 0 Saipa. Average goals 0.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Mes Kerman vs Saipa?
The Azadegan League match finished Mes Kerman 1:0 Saipa. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Mes Kerman vs Saipa?
Mes Kerman score 0.68 goals per game on average and Saipa 0.88. The Azadegan League average is 1.59 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 22% of games. Both teams score in 26% of Mes Kerman's matches and 26% of Saipa's.
What form are Mes Kerman and Saipa in?
Over the last 5 games Mes Kerman have a 1-3-1 record (1.20 points per game) and Saipa 4-0-1 (2.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Mes Kerman vs Saipa?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Mes Kerman vs Saipa: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.